PLAYOFF FORECAST

They have a 10.5% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 2.8% chance of getting past round 2. If they do manage to beat the odds and advance past round 2, their chances of winning the West is 0.8%.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 37.1 wins. Their 39 actual wins was above expectation. They exceeded expectations on the road. Their 48.8% home win percentage was worse than expected (51.3%). They won 46.3% on the road which was much better than expected (39.2%).

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Since 10/3/2018 their average goal differential is -0.13 (includes playoff games) which ranks #19 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #18. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #16 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #19 in road games.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Coyotes in all of their games would be down -340 units. Against the puck line, they have delivered a +236 profit risking 100 units on each game (49-33 PL). They are profitable against the puck line at home and on the road.