Boston
Bruins
Stadium TD Garden
27-16-5 Overall | 12-6-2 ATLANTIC 3rd
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Bruins141125 28.1%
Schedule
Regular season
Tue  1/1
@
Blackhawks
W4-2
Thu  1/3
vs
Flames
W6-4
Sat  1/5
vs
Sabres
W2-1
Tue  1/8
vs
Wild
W4-0
Thu  1/10
vs
Capitals
L2-4
Sat  1/12
@
Maple Leafs
W3-2
Mon  1/14
vs
Canadiens
L / OT2-3
Wed  1/16
@
Flyers
L3-4
Thu  1/17
vs
Blues
W5-2
Sat  1/19
vs
Rangers
NHL7:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Bruins are championship contenders but their chances are declining. In our pre-season forecast they had a 5.5% chance of winning it all. On 10/17 they had a 10.2% chance before dropping to 1% on 1/17. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 1.1%. They are projected to finish #5 in the conference and have a 97% chance of making the playoffs. They have a shot (25%) at getting home court advantage in the first round. Their chances of getting out of the first round is 35% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 10.3%. Based on the odds, they have a 14.3% chance of winning the East (6/1) and a 7.7% chance of winning it all (12/1). In simulations they make the Finals 3% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #12 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #11 Toughest

Bruins' Championship Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

At 27-16-5 the Bruins are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 26.7 wins. They have 12 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 3 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game). They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 17-6-1 home record is +10% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (7-3-1, 64%) is better than their expected 59% win percentage. The Bruins are a good team (in simulations) and won 55.9% of the simulations vs every other team playing on neutral ice with players available in the playoffs (#11 in the league). Their peak rank was #4 in the league back on 10/21.

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is +0.31 which ranks #11 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #9. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #5 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #18 in road games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +0.71 (#5 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

According to Sportsline the Boston Bruins are -225 favorites but their simulated win percentage is very different and we see this as a pick with a lot of value. Get the pick for this game at Sportsline.com.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

  • NHL: Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins
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    Miller, Deslauriers have nasty fight

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
55 Acciari, Noel RW5-1020512/01/1991No College
42 Backes, David RW6-321505/01/1984No College
37 Bergeron, Patrice C6-119507/24/1985No College
25 Carlo, Brandon D6-520811/26/1996No College
22 Cehlarik, Peter LW6-220208/02/1995No College
33 Chara, Zdeno D6-925003/18/1977No College
74 DeBrusk, Jake RW6-018810/17/1996No College
17 Donato, Ryan RW6-018104/09/1996No College
23 Forsbacka Karlsson, Jakob C6-118410/31/1996No College
48 Grzelcyk, Matt D5-917401/05/1994No College
41 Halak, Jaroslav G5-1118305/13/1985No College
43 Heinen, Danton LW6-118507/05/1995No College
44 Kampfer, Steven D5-1119509/24/1988No College
46 Krejci, David C6-018804/28/1986No College
47 Krug, Torey D5-918604/12/1991No College
52 Kuraly, Sean LW6-221301/20/1993No College
63 Marchand, Brad LW5-918105/11/1988No College
73 McAvoy, Charlie D6-020812/21/1997No College
86 Miller, Kevan D6-221011/15/1987No College
27 Moore, John D6-221011/19/1990No College
88 Pastrnak, David RW6-018805/25/1996No College
40 Rask, Tuukka G6-317603/10/1987No College
14 Wagner, Chris RW6-019805/27/1991No College