Boston
Bruins
Stadium TD Garden
10-6-3 Overall | 5-1-0 ATLANTIC 4th
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Bruins5648 30.77%
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  11/3
@
Predators
L0-1
Mon  11/5
vs
Stars
W / OT2-1
Thu  11/8
vs
Canucks
L5-8
Sat  11/10
vs
Maple Leafs
W5-1
Sun  11/11
vs
Golden Knights
W4-1
Wed  11/14
@
Avalanche
L3-6
Fri  11/16
@
Stars
L / OT0-1
Sat  11/17
@
Coyotes
8:00pm
Wed  11/21
@
Red Wings
7:30pm
Fri  11/23
vs
Penguins
R3607:30pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The Bruins next 5 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 4 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 2 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

NOV 16
CLOSE GAME
52% @DAL
2496 miles
NOV 17**
LIKELY WIN
67% @ARI
1441 miles
NOV 21
CLOSE GAME
59% @DET
986 miles
NOV 23
CLOSE GAME
48% PIT
--
NOV 24**
LIKELY WIN
63% @MON
402 miles
NOV 26
CLOSE GAME
44% @TOR
691 miles
NOV 29
LIKELY WIN
67% NYI
--
DEC 1
LIKELY WIN
74% DET
--
DEC 4
CLOSE GAME
48% @FLA
1992 miles
DEC 6
LIKELY LOSS
36% @TB
1907 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 3-2 (35% chance). Their chances of winning their next 5 are 6.9%. At #3 in the conference, they are behind the Maple Leafs by 2 points. With a -0.44 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. They are in a battle with Blue Jackets in the conference. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Blue Jackets. There is only a 0.38 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Bruins are the 11th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Bruins are playing 7 games, traveling 14072 miles crossing 5 time zones. They rank #6 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

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The Boston Bruins' next game is on November 16. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

At 10-6-2 the Bruins are behind their money line projected win total of 10.3 wins. They have 5 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs just one good win. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 7-2-0 home record is +15% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (5-4-0, 56%) is pretty much what was expected of them and mirrors their season overall. The Bruins are a good team (in simulations) and won 58.8% of the simulations vs every other team playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#5 in the league). They have moved up from #7 in the league back on 10/7.

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is +0.5 which ranks #7 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #6. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #1 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #22 in road games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is +0.17 (#16 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every NHL game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Bruins are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 5.5% chance of winning it all. On 10/17 they had a 10.2% chance before dropping to 4.5% on 11/10. From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 6%. They have a 13.4% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #3 in the conference and have a 96% chance of making the playoffs. They have a good shot at getting home court advantage in the first round (62%). They have a 57% chance of reaching the conference semi-finals and a 28.2% chance of reaching the conference finals. Based on the odds, they have a 16.7% chance of winning the East (5/1) and a 9.1% chance of winning it all (10/1). In simulations they make the Finals 13.2% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #13 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #14 Toughest

Bruins' Championship Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
55 Acciari, Noel RW5-1020812/01/1991No College
42 Backes, David RW6-322105/01/1984No College
37 Bergeron, Patrice C6-119507/24/1985No College
10 Bjork, Anders RW6-018608/05/1996No College
25 Carlo, Brandon D6-520811/26/1996No College
33 Chara, Zdeno D6-925003/18/1977No College
75 Clifton, Connor D5-1117504/28/1995No College
74 DeBrusk, Jake RW6-018810/17/1996No College
23 Forsbacka Karlss, Jakob C6-118410/31/19961Boston U.
23 Forsbacka Karlsson, Jakob C6-118410/31/1996No College
48 Grzelcyk, Matt D5-917401/05/1994No College
41 Halak, Jaroslav G5-1118305/13/1985No College
43 Heinen, Danton LW6-118507/05/1995No College
44 Kampfer, Steven D5-1119509/24/1988No College
46 Krejci, David C6-018804/28/1986No College
47 Krug, Torey D5-918604/12/1991No College
52 Kuraly, Sean C6-221301/20/1993No College
79 Lauzon, Jeremy D6-120404/28/1997No College
63 Marchand, Brad LW5-918105/11/1988No College
27 Moore, John D6-221011/19/1990No College
20 Nordstrom, Joakim LW6-118902/25/1992No College
88 Pastrnak, David RW6-018805/25/1996No College
40 Rask, Tuukka G6-317603/10/1987No College
14 Wagner, Chris LW6-019805/27/1991No College
67 Zboril, Jakub D6-020002/21/1997No College