SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Sabres are not contenders to win the championship at 80/1, 1.2%. They are one of 2 teams with these odds (#25 in the league). While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the championship is under 0.1 percent. They are not a good value to win the East either at 40/1, 2.4%. The Sabres are averaging 83.8 points per sim which is essentially the same as their futures line of 83.5 points. At +350 the Sabres are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 19.7% chance. They have less than 1% chance to win the division. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the East.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 33-39-10 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 45%. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-1309) based on a 100 unit risk per game. They were not good on puck lines going 44-38 (-683 loss). They went over 44 times and came in under 35 times. Based on computer simulations they only have a 39% chance to beat the Penguins in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be slightly better. Since 10/2/2018 their average goal differential is -0.57 (includes playoff games) which ranks #26 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #27. They are the #25 ranked team in goal differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #27 ranked team among home teams.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Carter Hutton who is projected to be the #24 Goalie. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.