Buffalo
Sabres
Stadium KeyBank Center
24-18-6 Overall | 8-6-3 ATLANTIC 5th
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Sabres140144 17.24%
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  1/3
vs
Panthers
W4-3
Sat  1/5
@
Bruins
L1-2
Tue  1/8
vs
Devils
W5-1
Fri  1/11
@
Hurricanes
L3-4
Sat  1/12
vs
Lightning
L3-5
Mon  1/14
@
Oilers
L2-7
Wed  1/16
@
Flames
W / OT4-3
Fri  1/18
@
Canucks
L3-4
Tue  1/29
@
Blue Jackets
7:00pm
Wed  1/30
@
Stars
8:30pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Sabres are competing to make the playoffs and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had less than a 1% chance of making the playoffs. On 10/20 they had less than a 1% chance before increasing to 54% on 12/18. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 22.7%. They have a very slim chance (

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #12 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #4 Toughest

Sabres' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

At 24-17-6 the Sabres are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 21.3 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 14 good wins vs 4 bad losses. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 14-6-3 home record is +11% better than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 3-6-1, 30%. In simulations where the Sabres played every other team (neutral ice in playoffs) they won just 38.5% of the time (#29 in the league). They have moved up from #31 in the league back on 10/6.

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.11 which ranks #16 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #14. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #15 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #18 in home games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is -0.67 (#23 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

According to Sportsline the Buffalo Sabres are +105 underdogs but their simulated win percentage is very different and we see this as a pick with a lot of value. Get the pick for this game at Sportsline.com.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
82 Beaulieu, Nathan D6-220012/05/1992No College
4 Bogosian, Zach D6-322607/15/1990No College
26 Dahlin, Rasmus D6-319004/13/2000No College
9 Eichel, Jack C6-220010/28/1996No College
81 Elie, Remi LW6-121504/16/1995No College
28 Girgensons, Zemgus RW6-221101/05/1994No College
48 Hunwick, Matt D5-1120005/21/1985No College
40 Hutton, Carter G6-019812/19/1985No College
22 Larsson, Johan C5-1120207/25/1992No College
19 McCabe, Jake D6-120610/12/1993No College
37 Mittelstadt, Casey C6-120211/22/1998No College
21 Okposo, Kyle RW6-021904/16/1988No College
24 Pilut, Lawrence D5-1117912/30/1995No College
29 Pominville, Jason RW5-1118011/30/1982No College
23 Reinhart, Sam RW6-119211/06/1995No College
55 Ristolainen, Rasmus D6-421510/27/1994No College
71 Rodrigues, Evan LW5-1017607/28/1993No College
6 Scandella, Marco D6-321002/23/1990No College
43 Sheary, Conor LW5-817606/08/1992No College
53 Skinner, Jeff LW5-1118705/16/1992No College
17 Sobotka, Vladimir C5-1118907/02/1987No College
72 Thompson, Tage LW6-620510/30/1997No College
35 Ullmark, Linus G6-421307/31/1993No College