Carolina
Hurricanes
Stadium PNC Arena
8-7-3 Overall | 2-1-1 METROPOLITAN 5th
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Hurricanes5054 16.92%
Schedule
Regular season
Fri  11/2
@
Coyotes
L / OT3-4
Sat  11/3
@
Golden Knights
L0-3
Tue  11/6
@
Blues
L1-4
Thu  11/8
@
Blackhawks
W4-3
Sat  11/10
vs
Red Wings
L / SO3-4
Mon  11/12
vs
Blackhawks
W / OT3-2
Sat  11/17
vs
Blue Jackets
7:00pm
Sun  11/18
vs
Devils
5:00pm
Wed  11/21
vs
Maple Leafs
RSN7:00pm
Fri  11/23
vs
Panthers
7:30pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Hurricanes are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 17.1% chance of making the playoffs. On 10/14 they had a 22% chance before dropping to 3.8% on 11/8. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 6.8%. They have a very slim chance (

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #5 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #13 Easiest

Hurricanes' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: D

At 8-7-3 the Hurricanes are behind their money line projected win total of 9.7 wins. They have 6 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 2 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game). They have come up especially short at home. Their 4-3-2 home record is -17% lower than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (4-4-2, 40%) is under their expected 56% win percentage. In simulations where the Hurricanes played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 40.7% of the time (#27 in the league). Their peak rank was #22 in the league back on 6/25.

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.22 which ranks #20 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #19. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #18 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #21 in home games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is -0.83 (#24 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The forecast for their next 5 games is not good. They have 4 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 6 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

NOV 17
CLOSE GAME
40% CLB
--
NOV 18**
CLOSE GAME
51% NJ
--
NOV 21
LIKELY LOSS
36% TOR
--
NOV 23
CLOSE GAME
43% FLA
--
NOV 24**
LIKELY LOSS
36% @NYI
683 miles
NOV 27
CLOSE GAME
41% @MON
1163 miles
NOV 30
CLOSE GAME
48% ANA
--
DEC 2
CLOSE GAME
49% @LA
3590 miles
DEC 5
LIKELY LOSS
30% @SJ
3830 miles
DEC 7
CLOSE GAME
48% @ANA
3562 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 2-3 (36% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 10.3%. Their chances of winning their next 5 are 1.4%. At #10 in the conference, they are fighting with the Capitals for positioning. With a -1.07 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. They are in a battle with Flyers in the conference. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Flyers. There is only a -0.4 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Hurricanes are just the 28th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Hurricanes are playing 6 games, traveling 3692 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #27 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Carolina Hurricanes' next game is on November 17. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
20 Aho, Sebastian C5-1117207/26/1997No College
64 Bishop, Clark C6-019403/29/1996No College
33 Darling, Scott G6-623212/22/1988No College
7 Di Giuseppe, Phillip LW6-020010/09/1993No College
27 Faulk, Justin D6-021503/20/1992No College
79 Ferland, Micheal LW6-220804/20/1992No College
4 Fleury, Haydn D6-322107/08/1996No College
13 Foegele, Warren LW6-219004/01/1996No College
19 Hamilton, Dougie D6-621006/17/1993No College
48 Martinook, Jordan LW6-020407/25/1992No College
35 McElhinney, Curtis G6-220305/23/1983No College
23 McGinn, Brock LW6-018502/02/1994No College
34 Mrazek, Petr G6-218102/14/1992No College
22 Pesce, Brett D6-320011/15/1994No College
74 Slavin, Jaccob D6-320505/01/1994No College
11 Staal, Jordan C6-422009/10/1988No College
37 Svechnikov, Andrei RW6-218803/26/2000No College
86 Teravainen, Teuvo RW5-1117809/11/1994No College
71 Wallmark, Lucas C6-017609/05/1995No College
14 Williams, Justin RW6-118810/04/1981No College
44 de Haan, Calvin D6-119805/09/1991No College
57 van Riemsdyk, Trevor D6-218807/24/1991No College