|TEAM STATS||GF||GA||POWER PLAY|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY
The Blackhawks next 6 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 2 games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.
The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 3-3 (32% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 11.4%. Their chances of winning their next 6 are 1.4%. At #11 in the conference, they are behind the Avalanche by 2 points. They have a +0.44 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games and could narrow the gap. They are ahead of the Canucks by 2 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Canucks. There is only a -0.1 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Blackhawks are the 11th least fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Blackhawks are playing 8 games, traveling 19176 miles crossing 12 time zones. They rank #3 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Chicago Blackhawks' next game. They are -129 favorites and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B
At 32-30-10 the Blackhawks have as many wins as were expected. If you add up their per game money line implied probabilities they would have 32 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 18 good wins vs 6 bad losses. They have won 44% of their road games and were expected to win 40%. At home they have a 44% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 49%. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 6-2-1 in a stretch where their projected win rate was 4.2 wins. In simulations, the Blackhawks are a below average team and won 49.4% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on neutral ice with players available in the playoffs (#17 in the league). They have moved up from #30 in the league back on 12/18.
Their record should be slightly better. Their average goal differential is -0.29 which ranks #21 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #22. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #20 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #24 in home games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is +1.5 (#2 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG
The Blackhawks are competing to make the playoffs, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 35.7% chance of making the playoffs. On 10/17 they had a 65% chance before dropping to 0% on 12/18. Their current chances are at 37.3%. Their chances of getting out of the first round is 4% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 1.26%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the West at 2.4% (40/1 odds) and a 1.2% chance of winning it all (80/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Easier
Blackhawks' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|15||Anisimov, Artem||C||6-4||198||05/24/1988||No College|
|91||Caggiula, Drake||LW||5-10||176||06/20/1994||No College|
|50||Crawford, Corey||G||6-2||216||12/31/1984||No College|
|63||Dahlstrom, Carl||D||6-4||231||01/28/1995||No College|
|12||DeBrincat, Alex||LW||5-7||165||12/18/1997||No College|
|42||Forsling, Gustav||D||6-0||186||06/12/1996||No College|
|56||Gustafsson, Erik||D||6-0||197||03/14/1992||No College|
|40||Hayden, John||RW||6-3||215||02/14/1995||No College|
|24||Kahun, Dominik||RW||5-11||175||07/02/1995||No College|
|64||Kampf, David||C||6-2||188||01/12/1995||No College|
|88||Kane, Patrick||RW||5-10||177||11/19/1988||No College|
|2||Keith, Duncan||D||6-1||192||07/16/1983||No College|
|68||Koekkoek, Slater||D||6-2||193||02/18/1994||No College|
|16||Kruger, Marcus||C||6-0||186||05/27/1990||No College|
|14||Kunitz, Chris||LW||6-0||188||09/26/1979||No College|
|5||Murphy, Connor||D||6-4||212||03/26/1993||No College|
|11||Perlini, Brendan||RW||6-3||211||04/27/1996||No College|
|20||Saad, Brandon||LW||6-1||206||10/27/1992||No College|
|7||Seabrook, Brent||D||6-3||220||04/20/1985||No College|
|95||Sikura, Dylan||RW||5-11||158||06/01/1995||No College|
|17||Strome, Dylan||C||6-3||200||03/07/1997||No College|
|19||Toews, Jonathan||C||6-2||201||04/29/1988||No College|
|30||Ward, Cam||G||6-1||194||02/29/1984||No College|