Futures

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 8-8-5 Blackhawks 'should have' 10 wins. They have 3 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 2 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game). Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 3-5-2 road record is -14% lower than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 2-5-3, 20%. In simulations where the Blackhawks played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 46.9% of the time (#19 in the league). In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #15 winning 50%.

Their record is better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.62 which ranks #29 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #19. They are the #26 ranked team in goal differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #24 ranked team among home teams. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is -0.5 (#21 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

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NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The Blackhawks next 5 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They have 2 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, and 7 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
NOV 21
LIKELY LOSS
31% @WAS
962 miles
NOV 23
LIKELY LOSS
33% @TB
1622 miles
NOV 24**
LIKELY LOSS
38% @FLA
290 miles
NOV 27
CLOSE GAME
49% LV
--
NOV 29
LIKELY LOSS
28% @WPG
1153 miles
DEC 1
LIKELY LOSS
30% @NSH
642 miles
DEC 2**
CLOSE GAME
53% CGY
642 miles
DEC 5
CLOSE GAME
40% @ANA
2786 miles
DEC 6**
LIKELY LOSS
28% @LV
355 miles
DEC 9
LIKELY WIN
61% MON
--

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 2-3 (36% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 5.5%. At #9 in the conference, they are behind the Canucks by one point. With a -0.65 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. They are in a battle with Ducks in the conference. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Ducks. There is only a -0.28 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Blackhawks are the 18th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Blackhawks are playing 7 games, traveling 11546 miles crossing 5 time zones. They rank #10 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Chicago Blackhawks' next game is on November 21. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

The Blackhawks are competing to make the playoffs, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 35.7% chance of making the playoffs. On 10/17 they had a 65% chance before dropping to 15.5% on 11/13. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 18.6%. They have a very slim chance (

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #3 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 47% #7 Easiest

Blackhawks' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.