|TEAM STATS||GF||GA||POWER PLAY|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY
The forecast for their next 5 games is generally good. They have 3 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 4 more 'toss up' games, and 3 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 3-2 (32% chance). Their chances of winning their next 5 are 3.1%. At #3 in the conference, they are behind the Lightning by 3 points. With a -1.33 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. They are in a battle with Sabres in the conference. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Sabres. There is only a 0.47 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Blue Jackets are the 20th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Blue Jackets are playing 7 games, traveling 3431 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #24 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Stream Columbus games with SlingTV
Sportsline has a free pick on the Columbus Blue Jackets' next game. They are +110 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B
At 11-6-2 the Blue Jackets are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 10.2 wins. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 6-2-1 road record is +20% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (7-2-2, 64%) is better than their expected 54% win percentage. The Blue Jackets should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 52.7% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#11 in the league). Their peak sim% was 53.2% back on 11/4.
Their record is better than it should be. Their average goal differential is +0.21 which ranks #9 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #6. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #11 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #17 in home games. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +0.71 which ranks them #7 over this stretch, slightly better than the season overall.
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)
The Blue Jackets are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had less than a 1% chance of winning it all. On 10/25 they had a 0.3% chance before increasing to 1.3% on 11/2. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 1.1%. Before the start of their 2 game winning streak they were at 0.8%. They have a 12.5% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #3 in the conference and have a 79% chance of making the playoffs. They have a shot (26%) at getting home court advantage in the first round. Their chances of getting out of the first round is 29% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 10.9%. Based on the odds, they have a 9.1% chance of winning the East (10/1) and a 4.8% chance of winning it all (20/1). In simulations they make the Finals 3.4% of the time.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Blue Jackets' Championship Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|77||Anderson, Josh||RW||6-3||221||05/07/1994||4||No College|
|13||Atkinson, Cam||RW||5-8||180||06/05/1989||7||Boston College|
|28||Bjorkstrand, Oliver||RW||6-0||177||04/10/1995||3||No College|
|72||Bobrovsky, Sergei||G||6-2||199||09/20/1988||8||No College|
|53||Carlsson, Gabriel||D||6-4||191||01/02/1997||2||No College|
|17||Dubinsky, Brandon||C||6-2||216||04/29/1986||12||No College|
|18||Dubois, Pierre-Luc||C||6-2||207||06/24/1998||1||No College|
|91||Duclair, Anthony||LW||5-11||185||08/26/1995||4||No College|
|71||Foligno, Nick||LW||6-0||210||10/31/1987||11||No College|
|37||Hannikainen, Markus||LW||6-2||189||03/26/1993||3||No College|
|4||Harrington, Scott||D||6-2||216||03/10/1993||4||No College|
|38||Jenner, Boone||C||6-2||215||06/15/1993||5||No College|
|3||Jones, Seth||D||6-4||208||10/03/1994||5||No College|
|70||Korpisalo, Joonas||G||6-3||182||04/28/1994||3||No College|
|14||Kukan, Dean||D||6-2||198||07/08/1993||2||No College|
|27||Murray, Ryan||D||6-1||208||09/27/1993||5||No College|
|65||Nutivaara, Markus||D||6-0||185||06/06/1994||2||No College|
|9||Panarin, Artemi||LW||5-11||170||10/30/1991||3||No College|
|58||Savard, David||D||6-2||227||10/22/1990||7||No College|
|45||Sedlak, Lukas||C||6-0||207||02/25/1993||2||No College|
|10||Wennberg, Alexander||C||6-1||197||09/22/1994||4||No College|