SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 12/1, 7.7% (#4). They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 6.1% chance is #8 in the league. In simulations, they win the West 14.3% of the time and are not a good value at 5/1, 16.7%. Both the simulations and oddsmakers have them at 97.5 points. At -310 the Avalanche are a good value to make the playoffs with a 81.6% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 3/1, 25%. They win the division in 21.6% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Oddsmakers expected them to win 42 based on their money line game odds. Their 38-30-14 record last season failed to meet expectations. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1030 units. They went 42-40 on puck lines (-7 loss). They went over 41 times and came in under 41 times. Their next game vs the Flames should be close. The Avalanche are winning 51 percent of computer simulations. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be slightly better. Since 10/2/2018 their average goal differential is +0.19 (includes playoff games) which ranks #15 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #17. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #10 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #14 in home games.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Philipp Grubauer who is projected to be the #11 Goalie. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.