REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 4-4. At 1-6-1 they are coming up well short of expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down quite a bit (569 units). They are 3-5 on puck line bets for a -376 loss. Their under-over record is 6-2. They were expected to win 50% of their games last season so their 43-32-7 met expectations. Against the money line they turned a +48 profit. They broke even against the money line. They went 43-39 on puck lines (-198 loss). More of their games came in under (50) than went over (24). Based on computer simulations they only have a 38% chance to beat the Penguins in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Dallas Stars are only projected 86 points this season with a points O/U set for 97.5. Ben Bishop exceeded expectations last season, and I expect him to regress. Even with their performance last season, they had 93 points which is still four points off their points O/U this season. Take the under. Their odds to win it all are 20/1, 4.8% (#9). They win the championship in less than 0.1% of simulations. They are not a good value to win the West either at 10/1, 9.1%. They are projected to finish with 73 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 97.5. Their playoff chances stand at 1.8% (0% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the West.

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their average goal differential is -1.25 which ranks #29 in the league, which is the same as how they rank in points. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #19 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #27 in home games. Their average goal differential in their past 8 games is -1.25 which ranks them #28 over this stretch, slightly better than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Ben Bishop who is projected to be the #23 Goalie the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.