SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 16/1, 5.9% (#6). They are not a good bet to win the championship. Their 1% chance is #16 in the league. In simulations, they win the West 3.5% of the time and are not a good value at 7/1, 12.5%. The Stars are averaging 93.1 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 97.5. At -310 the Stars are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 65.9% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 7/2, 22.2%. They win the division in 10% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 50% of their games last season so their 43-32-7 met expectations. Against the money line they turned a +48 profit. They broke even against the money line. They went 43-39 on puck lines (-198 loss). More of their games came in under (50) than went over (24). Based on computer simulations they only have a 44% chance to beat the Bruins in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Since 10/2/2018 their average goal differential is +0.15 (includes playoff games) which ranks #16 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #15. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #10 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #16 in road games.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Ben Bishop who is projected to be the #4 Goalie. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.