Dallas
Stars
Stadium American Airlines Center
10-7-2 Overall | 1-1-1 CENTRAL 4th
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Stars5250 20.75%
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  11/1
@
Maple Leafs
W2-1
Sat  11/3
@
Capitals
W / OT4-3
Mon  11/5
@
Bruins
L / OT1-2
Tue  11/6
@
Blue Jackets
L1-4
Thu  11/8
vs
Sharks
W4-3
Sat  11/10
vs
Predators
L / OT4-5
Mon  11/12
vs
Blue Jackets
L1-2
Fri  11/16
vs
Bruins
W / OT1-0
Sun  11/18
@
Islanders
RSN1:00pm
Mon  11/19
@
Rangers
7:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY

The forecast for their next 6 games is a mixed bag. They have 3 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 3 more 'toss up' games, and 4 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

NOV 16
CLOSE GAME
48% BOS
--
NOV 18
CLOSE GAME
42% @NYI
2210 miles
NOV 19**
CLOSE GAME
48% @NYR
8 miles
NOV 21
LIKELY LOSS
36% @PIT
1723 miles
NOV 23
LIKELY WIN
71% OTT
--
NOV 24**
CLOSE GAME
44% @COL
1067 miles
NOV 27
CLOSE GAME
49% @EDM
2664 miles
NOV 28**
CLOSE GAME
46% @CGY
282 miles
DEC 1
CLOSE GAME
56% @VAN
2846 miles
DEC 3
CLOSE GAME
55% EDM
--

The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 3-3 (33% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 8.8%. Their chances of winning their next 6 are 1.3%. At #8 in the conference, they are behind the Avalanche by one point. With a +0.24 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of improving their conference seed. They are ahead of the Ducks by one point. With a +0.52 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Stars are just the 28th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Stars are playing 8 games, traveling 22220 miles crossing 11 time zones. They rank #3 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

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The Dallas Stars' next game is on November 16. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

At 9-7-2 the Stars are behind their money line projected win total of 9.2 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 5 good wins vs 4 bad losses. Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 3-4-1 road record is -10% lower than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (6-3-2, 55%) is better than their expected 48% win percentage. The Stars should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 50.6% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#15 in the league). They have moved up from #17 in the league back on 6/25.

Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is +0.06 which ranks #12 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #15. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #9 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #21 in road games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -0.43 (#21 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every NHL game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Stars are contenders to win the conference, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had under a 1% chance of reaching the Stanley Cup Finals. On 6/25 they had a 0.6% chance before increasing to 3.7% on 10/16. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 2.3%. They will be fighting for a playoff spot (currently projected to finish #8 in the conference) and have a 67% chance of making the playoffs. They have a shot (14%) at getting home court advantage in the first round. They have a 22% chance of reaching the conference semi-finals and a 7.1% chance of reaching the conference finals. Based on the odds, they have a 6.2% chance of winning the West (15/1) and a 3.2% chance of winning it all (30/1). In simulations they win the championship 0.7% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #13 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 54% #3 Toughest

Stars' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
44 Bayreuther, Gavin D6-119505/12/19940St. Lawrence
14 Benn, Jamie LW6-221007/18/19899No College
30 Bishop, Ben G6-721611/21/19869Maine
15 Comeau, Blake LW6-120202/18/198612No College
16 Dickinson, Jason C6-220507/04/19953No College
12 Faksa, Radek C6-321001/09/19943No College
39 Hanley, Joel D5-1119006/08/19913Massachusetts
4 Heiskanen, Miro D6-117207/18/19990No College
6 Honka, Julius D5-1118612/03/19952No College
13 Janmark, Mattias C6-119012/08/19922No College
35 Khudobin, Anton G5-1120305/07/19869No College
23 Lindell, Esa D6-321505/23/19943No College
43 Nichushkin, Valeri RW6-421003/04/19953No College
18 Pitlick, Tyler RW6-220211/01/19914Minnesota State
45 Polak, Roman D6-123504/28/198612No College
47 Radulov, Alexander RW6-120007/05/19865No College
25 Ritchie, Brett RW6-322007/01/19934No College
91 Seguin, Tyler C6-119501/31/19928No College
17 Shore, Devin C6-120507/19/19943Maine
46 Smith, Gemel C5-1019004/16/19942No College
90 Spezza, Jason C6-321506/13/198315No College