Detroit
Red Wings
Stadium Little Caesars Arena
26-37-10 Overall | 7-14-4 ATLANTIC 7th
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Red Wings198249 16.24%
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  3/2
@
Coyotes
L1-3
Tue  3/5
@
Avalanche
L / OT3-4
Thu  3/7
vs
Rangers
W / SO3-2
Sat  3/9
@
Lightning
L2-3
Sun  3/10
@
Panthers
L1-6
Tue  3/12
@
Canadiens
L1-3
Thu  3/14
vs
Lightning
L4-5
Sat  3/16
vs
Islanders
W2-1
Tue  3/19
@
Rangers
W3-2
Thu  3/21
@
Blues
8:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The Red Wings next 5 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They have 3 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 7 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

MAR 21
LIKELY LOSS
36% @STL
732 miles
MAR 23
LIKELY LOSS
29% @LV
2838 miles
MAR 25
LIKELY LOSS
27% @SJ
3338 miles
MAR 28
CLOSE GAME
47% @BUF
348 miles
MAR 29**
CLOSE GAME
51% NJ
348 miles
MAR 31
LIKELY LOSS
38% BOS
--
APR 2
LIKELY LOSS
37% PIT
--
APR 4
LIKELY LOSS
35% @PIT
331 miles
APR 6
CLOSE GAME
50% BUF
--

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 2-3 (36% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 6.1%. At #15 in the conference, they are behind the Devils by one point. With a -0.53 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Red Wings are just the 25th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Red Wings are playing 7 games, traveling 13780 miles crossing 13 time zones. They rank #7 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Detroit Red Wings' next game. They are +225 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 26-37-10 Red Wings 'should have' 29 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 19 good wins and one bad loss. They have won 33% of their road games and were expected to win 35%. At home they have a 38% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 44%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (3-6-1, 30%) is under their expected 34% win percentage. In simulations where the Red Wings played every other team (neutral ice in playoffs) they won just 40.5% of the time (#27 in the league). They have moved up from #30 in the league back on 10/25.

Their record should be slightly better. Their average goal differential is -0.67 which ranks #28 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #29. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #26 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #30 in home games. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -1 which ranks them #23 over this stretch, slightly better than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every NHL game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

Before the season, the Red Wings were projected for 72.1 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 10/27 their projected points was 65.4 before increasing to 78.6 on 12/7. Their current projected point total is 70.1.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #12 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #1 Toughest

Red Wings' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
8 Abdelkader, Justin RW6-221402/25/1987No College
72 Athanasiou, Andreas C6-218808/06/1994No College
45 Bernier, Jonathan G6-018408/07/1988No College
59 Bertuzzi, Tyler LW6-019002/24/1995No College
74 Bowey, Madison D6-219804/22/1995No College
83 Daley, Trevor D5-1119510/09/1983No College
65 DeKeyser, Danny D6-319203/07/1990No College
70 Ehn, Christoffer LW6-318104/05/1996No College
52 Ericsson, Jonathan D6-422003/02/1984No College
41 Glendening, Luke C5-1119204/28/1989No College
25 Green, Mike D6-120710/12/1985No College
43 Helm, Darren LW6-019601/21/1987No College
53 Hirose, Taro LW5-1016006/30/1996No College
35 Howard, Jimmy G6-121803/26/1984No College
17 Hronek, Filip D6-017011/02/1997No College
55 Kronwall, Niklas D6-019401/12/1981No College
56 Kuffner, Ryan LW6-119406/12/1996No College
71 Larkin, Dylan C6-119807/30/1996No College
32 Lashoff, Brian D6-321907/16/1990No College
39 Mantha, Anthony RW6-522509/16/1994No College
51 Nielsen, Frans C6-118804/24/1984No College
27 Rasmussen, Michael RW6-622104/17/1999No College
47 Sulak, Libor D6-220703/04/1994No College
26 Vanek, Thomas LW6-221401/19/1984No College
28 Witkowski, Luke RW6-221004/14/1990No College
61 de la Rose, Jacob C6-321605/20/1995No College