NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The Red Wings next 5 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They have 3 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 7 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
MAR 21
LIKELY LOSS
36% @STL
732 miles
MAR 23
LIKELY LOSS
29% @LV
2838 miles
MAR 25
LIKELY LOSS
27% @SJ
3338 miles
MAR 28
CLOSE GAME
47% @BUF
348 miles
MAR 29**
CLOSE GAME
51% NJ
348 miles
MAR 31
LIKELY LOSS
38% BOS
--
APR 2
LIKELY LOSS
37% PIT
--
APR 4
LIKELY LOSS
35% @PIT
331 miles
APR 6
CLOSE GAME
50% BUF
--

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 2-3 (36% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 6.1%. At #15 in the conference, they are behind the Devils by one point. With a -0.53 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Red Wings are just the 25th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Red Wings are playing 7 games, traveling 13780 miles crossing 13 time zones. They rank #7 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Detroit Red Wings' next game. They are +225 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 26-37-10 Red Wings 'should have' 29 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 19 good wins and one bad loss. They have won 33% of their road games and were expected to win 35%. At home they have a 38% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 44%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (3-6-1, 30%) is under their expected 34% win percentage. In simulations where the Red Wings played every other team (neutral ice in playoffs) they won just 40.5% of the time (#27 in the league). They have moved up from #30 in the league back on 10/25.

Their record should be slightly better. Their average goal differential is -0.67 which ranks #28 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #29. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #26 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #30 in home games. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -1 which ranks them #23 over this stretch, slightly better than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every NHL game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

Before the season, the Red Wings were projected for 72.1 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 10/27 their projected points was 65.4 before increasing to 78.6 on 12/7. Their current projected point total is 70.1.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #12 Easiest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #1 Toughest

Red Wings' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.