|TEAM STATS||GF||GA||POWER PLAY|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES
Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 3.5-3.5. They are beating expectations with their 6-1 record. If you bet on them to win every game you would be up big (+479 units). They are 4-3 on puck line bets for a 28 profit. Their over-under record is 4-3. Oddsmakers expected them to win 39 based on their money line game odds. Their 35-38-9 record last season failed to meet expectations. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-1167) based on a 100 unit risk per game. They were not good on puck lines going 35-47 (-2296 loss). They went over 37 times and came in under 40 times. They are favored in their upcoming game vs the Detroit Red Wings. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).
For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NHL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.
SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS
Scout is not projecting Edmonton to have a very good season with just 81.6 points per season simulation which means bet the under 85.5 line. They are -300 to miss the playoffs and the sim says they only have a 16.5% chance to make the playoffs. The 83.5% they do not make the playoffs is much higher than the 75% implied probability. There are 8 teams who have 30/1, 3.2% odds to win the Stanley Cup. Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.2% chance is #17 in the league. In simulations, they win the West 1% of the time and are not a good value at 15/1, 6.2%. They are projected to finish with 94 points and go over their pre-season futures line of 85.5. Their playoff chances stand at 72.9% (14.3% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the West.
TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is +1.14 which ranks #4 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #2. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #4 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #7 in home games. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is +1.17.
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
TEAM FANTASY LEADERS
The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Connor McDavid who is projected to be the #1 Center the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.
|15||Archibald, Josh||RW||5-10||176||10/06/1992||No College|
|74||Bear, Ethan||D||5-11||197||06/26/1997||No College|
|83||Benning, Matt||D||6-1||203||05/25/1994||No College|
|39||Chiasson, Alex||RW||6-4||208||10/01/1990||No College|
|29||Draisaitl, Leon||LW||6-2||208||10/27/1995||No College|
|60||Granlund, Markus||LW||6-0||180||04/16/1993||No College|
|91||Haas, Gaetan||C||5-11||176||01/31/1992||No College|
|92||Jurco, Tomas||LW||6-2||188||12/28/1992||No College|
|44||Kassian, Zack||RW||6-3||211||01/24/1991||No College|
|16||Khaira, Jujhar||LW||6-4||212||08/13/1994||No College|
|77||Klefbom, Oscar||D||6-3||216||07/20/1993||No College|
|19||Koskinen, Mikko||G||6-7||202||07/18/1988||No College|
|84||Lagesson, William||D||6-2||202||02/22/1996||No College|
|26||Manning, Brandon||D||6-1||205||06/04/1990||No College|
|97||McDavid, Connor||C||6-1||193||01/13/1997||No College|
|18||Neal, James||RW||6-3||212||09/03/1987||No College|
|93||Nugent-Hopkins, Ryan||C||6-0||184||04/12/1993||No College|
|25||Nurse, Darnell||D||6-4||221||02/04/1995||No College|
|36||Persson, Joel||D||5-11||170||03/04/1994||No College|
|4||Russell, Kris||D||5-10||170||05/02/1987||No College|
|52||Russell, Patrick||RW||6-1||206||01/04/1993||No College|
|23||Sheahan, Riley||C||6-3||214||12/07/1991||No College|
|41||Smith, Mike||G||6-5||220||03/22/1982||No College|