|TEAM STATS||GF||GA||POWER PLAY|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
The Oilers are competing to make the playoffs and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 22.2% chance of making the playoffs. On 10/13 they had an 18.3% chance before increasing to 61.5% on 11/4. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 51%. They have a 7.5% chance of winning their division. They have a shot (10%) at getting home court advantage in the first round. Their chances of getting out of the first round is 12% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 2.8%. Based on the odds, they have a 6.2% chance of winning the West (15/1) and a 3.2% chance of winning it all (30/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier
Oilers' Season Forecast Changes
Stream Edmonton games with SlingTV
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
At 9-8-1 the Oilers are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 8.6 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 3 good wins but they also have 3 bad losses. They have won 50% of their road games and were expected to win 45%. At home they have a 50% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 51%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (6-5-1, 50%) is pretty much what was expected of them and mirrors their season overall. In simulations where the Oilers played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 46.4% of the time (#20 in the league). They have moved up from #23 in the league back on 10/20.
Their record is better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.22 which ranks #20 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #17. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #14 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #21 in road games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is -1 (#25 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY
The forecast for their next 6 games is a mixed bag. They have 2 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 5 more 'toss up' games, and 3 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 3-3 (30% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 8.6%. At #11 in the conference, they are fighting with the Blackhawks for positioning. With a +0.84 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of improving their conference seed. They are in a battle with Coyotes in the conference. With a +0.99 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.
The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Oilers are the 19th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Oilers are playing 8 games, traveling 12970 miles crossing 6 time zones. They rank #7 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Edmonton Oilers' next game. They are +115 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|28||Brodziak, Kyle||C||6-2||212||05/25/1984||13||No College|
|91||Caggiula, Drake||C||5-10||185||06/20/1994||2||North Dakota|
|39||Chiasson, Alex||RW||6-4||208||10/01/1990||6||Boston U.|
|29||Draisaitl, Leon||C||6-1||214||10/27/1995||4||No College|
|5||Gravel, Kevin||D||6-4||212||03/06/1992||3||St. Cloud State|
|44||Kassian, Zack||RW||6-3||207||01/24/1991||7||No College|
|16||Khaira, Jujhar||LW||6-4||219||08/13/1994||3||Michigan Tech|
|77||Klefbom, Oscar||D||6-3||220||07/20/1993||5||No College|
|19||Koskinen, Mikko||G||6-6||202||07/18/1988||1||No College|
|6||Larsson, Adam||D||6-3||215||11/12/1992||7||No College|
|27||Lucic, Milan||LW||6-3||236||06/07/1988||11||No College|
|97||McDavid, Connor||C||6-1||190||01/13/1997||3||No College|
|93||Nugent-Hopkins, Ryan||C||6-0||190||04/12/1993||7||No College|
|25||Nurse, Darnell||D||6-4||220||02/04/1995||4||No College|
|8||Rattie, Ty||RW||6-0||195||02/05/1993||5||No College|
|22||Rieder, Tobias||C||5-11||188||01/10/1993||4||No College|
|4||Russell, Kris||D||5-10||170||05/02/1987||11||No College|
|52||Russell, Patrick||RW||6-1||203||01/04/1993||0||St. Cloud State|
|2||Sekera, Andrej||D||6-0||200||06/08/1986||12||No College|
|23||Spooner, Ryan||C||5-11||191||01/30/1992||6||No College|
|18||Strome, Ryan||C||6-1||198||07/11/1993||5||No College|