|TEAM STATS||GF||GA||POWER PLAY|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY
The forecast for their next 6 games is generally good. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 4 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 2 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 3-3 (33% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 12.2%. Their chances of winning their next 6 are 1.6%. At #11 in the conference, they are behind the Flyers by 2 points. They have a +0.66 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games and could narrow the gap. They are ahead of the Sabres by 5 points. With a +0.96 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Panthers are the most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Panthers are playing 8 games, traveling 18439 miles crossing 1 time zone. They rank #2 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Florida Panthers' next game. They are +142 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: D
Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 32-28-12 Panthers 'should have' 36 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 14 good wins but they also have 14 bad losses. They have won 39% of their road games and were expected to win 45%. At home they have a 50% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 54%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (5-3-4, 42%) is under their expected 48% win percentage. The Panthers should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 52.8% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on neutral ice with players available in the playoffs (#11 in the league). They have moved up from #17 in the league back on 12/13.
Their record should be slightly better. Their average goal differential is -0.07 which ranks #18 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #19. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #10 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #23 in road games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +1.29 (#3 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG
Before the season, the Panthers were projected for 94.2 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 11/15 their projected points was up to 94.1 before dropping to 82.1 on 1/17. From the start of the season to now their chances are down to 87%. The playoffs are not likely with their 1.1% chance and a projected #11 finish in the conference. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the East at 0.4% (250/1 odds) and a 0.2% chance of winning it all (500/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher
Panthers' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|16||Barkov, Aleksander||C||6-3||213||09/02/1995||No College|
|95||Borgstrom, Henrik||C||6-3||185||08/06/1997||No College|
|22||Brouwer, Troy||RW||6-3||213||08/17/1985||No College|
|2||Brown, Josh||D||6-5||225||01/21/1994||No College|
|63||Dadonov, Evgenii||RW||5-11||185||03/12/1989||No College|
|5||Ekblad, Aaron||D||6-4||220||02/07/1996||No College|
|8||Hawryluk, Jayce||RW||5-11||185||01/01/1996||No College|
|68||Hoffman, Mike||LW||6-0||180||11/24/1989||No College|
|11||Huberdeau, Jonathan||LW||6-1||200||06/04/1993||No College|
|73||Hunt, Dryden||LW||6-0||201||11/24/1995||No College|
|1||Luongo, Roberto||G||6-3||215||04/04/1979||No College|
|62||Malgin, Denis||RW||5-9||177||01/18/1997||No College|
|19||Matheson, Mike||D||6-2||193||02/27/1994||No College|
|12||McCoshen, Ian||D||6-3||217||08/05/1995||No College|
|88||McGinn, Jamie||LW||6-1||205||08/05/1988||No College|
|33||Montembeault, Sam||G||6-3||195||10/30/1996||No College|
|13||Pysyk, Mark||D||6-1||200||01/11/1992||No College|
|34||Reimer, James||G||6-2||220||03/15/1988||No College|
|7||Sceviour, Colton||LW||6-0||192||04/20/1989||No College|
|15||Sheahan, Riley||C||6-3||214||12/07/1991||No College|
|21||Trocheck, Vincent||C||5-10||186||07/11/1993||No College|
|72||Vatrano, Frank||LW||5-9||201||03/14/1994||No College|
|52||Weegar, MacKenzie||D||6-0||200||01/07/1994||No College|
|3||Yandle, Keith||D||6-1||191||09/09/1986||No College|