|TEAM STATS||GF||GA||POWER PLAY|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The Kings next 6 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They are the clear underdog in 10 out of the 6 games.
The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 2-4 (33% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 8.1%. They have a +0.29 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games and could narrow the gap.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Kings are just the 30th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Kings are playing 8 games, traveling 11734 miles crossing 4 time zones. They rank #12 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
According to Sportsline the Los Angeles Kings are +150 underdogs but their simulated win percentage is very different and we see this as a pick with a lot of value. Get the pick for this game at Sportsline.com.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F
Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 25-38-8 Kings 'should have' 31 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 19 good wins vs 9 bad losses. They have come up especially short at home. Their 13-19-3 home record is -12% lower than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 2-7-2, 18%. In the pre-season, the Kings were expected to be a below average team (#17) in power rank, and they have managed to be even worse. In simulations where the Kings played every other team (neutral ice in playoffs) they won just 32.5% of the time (#31 in the league). Their peak rank was #17 in the league back on 6/11.
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.82 which ranks #31 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #30. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #27 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #31 in home games. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is -1.67 which ranks them #30 over this stretch, slightly better than the season overall.
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)
Before the season, the Kings were projected for 91 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 6/25 their projected points was up to 89.3 before dropping to 64 on 12/18. From the start of the season to now their projected points is down significantly to 66.7. Before the start of their 2 game losing streak they were projected for 6918.2 points.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier
Kings' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|76||Brodzinski, Jonny||RW||6-1||217||06/19/1993||No College|
|23||Brown, Dustin||RW||6-0||216||11/04/1984||No College|
|36||Campbell, Jack||G||6-2||197||01/09/1992||No College|
|77||Carter, Jeff||C||6-3||217||01/01/1985||No College|
|13||Clifford, Kyle||LW||6-2||211||01/13/1991||No College|
|8||Doughty, Drew||D||6-1||200||12/08/1989||No College|
|24||Forbort, Derek||D||6-4||215||03/04/1992||No College|
|38||Grundstrom, Carl||RW||6-0||194||12/01/1997||No College|
|19||Iafallo, Alex||LW||6-0||185||12/21/1993||No College|
|9||Kempe, Adrian||C||6-2||195||09/13/1996||No College|
|11||Kopitar, Anze||C||6-3||224||08/24/1987||No College|
|17||Kovalchuk, Ilya||LW||6-3||230||04/15/1983||No College|
|2||LaDue, Paul||D||6-2||198||09/06/1992||No College|
|14||Leipsic, Brendan||LW||5-10||179||05/19/1994||No College|
|22||Lewis, Trevor||C||6-1||205||01/08/1987||No College|
|56||MacDermid, Kurtis||D||6-5||233||03/25/1994||No College|
|27||Martinez, Alec||D||6-1||208||07/26/1987||No College|
|3||Phaneuf, Dion||D||6-4||225||04/10/1985||No College|
|32||Quick, Jonathan||G||6-1||218||01/21/1986||No College|
|81||Roy, Matt||D||6-1||200||03/01/1995||No College|
|73||Toffoli, Tyler||RW||6-0||197||04/24/1992||No College|
|51||Wagner, Austin||RW||6-1||178||06/23/1997||No College|
|61||Walker, Sean||D||5-11||196||11/13/1994||No College|