LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Kings are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 54% chance of making the playoffs. On 6/25 they had a 50.6% chance before dropping to 5.5% on 11/16. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 5.8%. They have a very slim chance (

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 48% #6 Easiest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 55% #1 Toughest

Kings' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: D

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 6-12-1 Kings 'should have' 9 wins. They have 5 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 3 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game). They have been below expectations on the road and at home. Their 2-6-0 road record is -17% lower than expected. Their 4-6-1 home record is -19% lower. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 4-5-0, 44%. In simulations where the Kings played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 43.9% of the time (#25 in the league). In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #17 winning 49.1%.

Their average goal differential is -1.21 which ranks #31 in the league, which is the same as how they rank in points. They are the #29 ranked team in goal differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is -1 (#27 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY

The forecast for their next 6 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 2 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 3 more 'toss up' games, and 5 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
NOV 19
LIKELY LOSS
37% @STL
2557 miles
NOV 21
CLOSE GAME
45% COL
--
NOV 24
CLOSE GAME
53% VAN
--
NOV 25**
CLOSE GAME
46% EDM
--
NOV 27
CLOSE GAME
49% @VAN
1742 miles
NOV 29
LIKELY LOSS
40% @EDM
2203 miles
NOV 30**
LIKELY LOSS
38% @CGY
282 miles
DEC 2
CLOSE GAME
51% CAR
--
DEC 4
CLOSE GAME
54% ARI
--
DEC 6
CLOSE GAME
50% NJ
--

The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 3-3 (30% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 6.8%. Their chances of winning their next 6 are 1%. At #15 in the conference, they are behind the Blues by 4 points. They have a +0.27 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games and could narrow the gap.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Kings are the 3rd most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Kings are playing 8 games, traveling 14291 miles crossing 6 time zones. They rank #4 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Los Angeles Kings' next game. They are +140 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.