Futures

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Golden Knights are championship contenders but their chances are declining. In our pre-season forecast they had a 13.8% chance of winning it all. On 7/25 they had a 16.7% chance before dropping to 4.6% on 11/8. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 4.8%. They have a 32.1% chance of winning their division. The playoffs are not likely with their 80.2% chance and a projected #14 finish in the conference. They have a shot (40%) at getting home court advantage in the first round. Their chances of getting out of the first round is 47% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 24.1%. Based on the odds, they have an 11.1% chance of winning the West (8/1) and a 5.9% chance of winning it all (16/1). In simulations they make the Finals 10.9% of the time.

Rest of Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Tough

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #14 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 49% #16 Easiest

Golden Knights' Championship Forecast Changes

Stream Las Vegas games with SlingTV

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 8-11-1 Golden Knights 'should have' 11 wins. They have 4 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 0 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game). Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 3-8-0 road record is -20% lower than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (4-7-0, 36%) is under their expected 53% win percentage. The Golden Knights are a good team (in simulations) and won 57.3% of the simulations vs every other team playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#9 in the league). Their peak rank was #2 in the league back on 6/11.

Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is -0.4 which ranks #23 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #30. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #8 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #28 in road games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +0.14 (#14 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The Golden Knights next 6 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 4 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and no games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
NOV 18
CLOSE GAME
51% @EDM
1946 miles
NOV 19**
CLOSE GAME
53% @CGY
282 miles
NOV 21
LIKELY WIN
68% @ARI
391 miles
NOV 23
LIKELY WIN
64% CGY
--
NOV 24**
CLOSE GAME
59% SJ
--
NOV 27
CLOSE GAME
51% @CHI
2453 miles
NOV 29
CLOSE GAME
60% @VAN
1602 miles
DEC 1
CLOSE GAME
51% @EDM
1946 miles
DEC 4
CLOSE GAME
48% WAS
--
DEC 6
LIKELY WIN
72% CHI
--

The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 4-2 (30% chance). Their chances of winning their next 6 are 3.9%. At #14 in the conference, they are fighting with the Blues for positioning. With a +1.24 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of improving their conference seed. They are ahead of the Kings by 4 points. With a +0.89 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Golden Knights are the 6th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Golden Knights are playing 8 games, traveling 16114 miles crossing 10 time zones. They rank #2 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Las Vegas Golden Knights' next game is on November 18. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.