SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Oddsmakers set Vegas' point total line at 103.5 so even with a projected 100 points the bet is Under. Their odds to win it all are 7/1, 12.5% (#2). Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 7.2% chance is #4 in the league. In simulations, they win the West 17.9% of the time and are not a good value at 3/1, 25%. They are projected to finish with 101 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 102.5. Their playoff chances stand at 93.1% (44.5% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the West.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Based on money line odds their expected record at this point of the season is 4-3. At 4-3 they are in line with these expectations. If you bet on them to win every game you would be down 36 units. They are 4-3 on puck line bets for a 372 profit. Their over-under record is 4-3. Their 43-32-7 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their expected win percentage was 57%. Putting a 100 units on them to win every game would have cost you -1070 units. They were not good on puck lines going 32-50 (-1008 loss). They went over 37 times and came in under 41 times. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Ottawa Senators. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is +1 which ranks #6 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #14. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #3 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #11 in home games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is +0.67 (#11 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Marc-Andre Fleury who is projected to be the #9 Goalie the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.