Montreal
Canadiens
Stadium Bell Centre
27-17-5 Overall | 9-5-4 ATLANTIC 4th
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Canadiens150143 12.66%
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  1/3
vs
Canucks
W2-0
Sat  1/5
vs
Predators
L1-4
Mon  1/7
vs
Wild
L0-1
Tue  1/8
@
Red Wings
W3-2
Thu  1/10
@
Blues
L1-4
Sat  1/12
vs
Avalanche
W3-0
Mon  1/14
@
Bruins
W / OT3-2
Tue  1/15
vs
Panthers
W5-1
Fri  1/18
@
Blue Jackets
W4-1
Sat  1/19
vs
Flyers
CBC7:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Canadiens are competing to make the playoffs and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 6.6% chance of making the playoffs. On 10/5 they had a 3.9% chance before increasing to 47.6% on 1/17. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 48.1%. Before the start of their 3 game winning streak they were at 22.4%. They have a very slim chance (

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 52% #3 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 49% #12 Easiest

Canadiens' Season Forecast Changes

Stream Montreal games with SlingTV

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A

At 26-17-5 the Canadiens are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 23.1 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 10 good wins vs 6 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 13-8-3 road record is +11% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (7-4-0, 64%) is better than their expected 47% win percentage. In simulations where the Canadiens played every other team (neutral ice in playoffs) they won just 40.9% of the time (#24 in the league). They have moved up from #27 in the league back on 11/28.

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is +0.04 which ranks #14 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #13. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #11 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #19 in home games. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +0.29 which ranks them #13 over this stretch, slightly better than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 3 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY

The forecast for their next 3 games is a mixed bag. They have 4 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, and 5 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

JAN 18
LIKELY LOSS
29% @CLB
986 miles
JAN 19**
CLOSE GAME
55% PHI
986 miles
JAN 23
CLOSE GAME
59% ARI
--
FEB 2
CLOSE GAME
52% NJ
--
FEB 3**
LIKELY WIN
62% EDM
--
FEB 5
CLOSE GAME
56% ANA
--
FEB 7
LIKELY LOSS
32% WPG
--
FEB 9
LIKELY LOSS
32% TOR
--
FEB 14
LIKELY LOSS
30% @NSH
1519 miles
FEB 16
LIKELY LOSS
24% @TB
2105 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 3 games is a record of 1-2 (40% chance). Their chances of winning their next 3 are 8.8%. At #7 in the conference, they are behind the Islanders by one point. Their projected wins (1.41) over the next 3 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term. They are ahead of the Penguins by one point. With a -0.55 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 3 games they may find the gap between them closing.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Canadiens are the 18th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few days, the Canadiens are playing 3 games, traveling 986 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #26 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

According to Sportsline the Montreal Canadiens are +140 underdogs but their simulated win percentage is very different and we see this as a pick with a lot of value. Get the pick for this game at Sportsline.com.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

  • NHL: Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins
    cbs sports

    Miller, Deslauriers have nasty fight

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
47 Agostino, Kenny LW6-019904/30/1992No College
27 Alzner, Karl D6-321909/24/1988No College
40 Armia, Joel RW6-421005/31/1993No College
8 Benn, Jordie D6-219907/26/1987No College
43 Chaput, Michael C6-220404/09/1992No College
24 Danault, Phillip C6-119802/24/1993No College
20 Deslauriers, Nicolas RW6-122102/22/1991No College
13 Domi, Max C5-1019303/02/1995No College
92 Drouin, Jonathan LW6-020303/28/1995No College
11 Gallagher, Brendan RW5-918405/06/1992No College
54 Hudon, Charles RW5-1019606/23/1994No College
15 Kotkaniemi, Jesperi C6-218407/06/2000No College
17 Kulak, Brett D6-218701/06/1994No College
62 Lehkonen, Artturi LW6-017707/04/1995No College
53 Mete, Victor D5-918306/07/1998No College
37 Niemi, Antti G6-220908/29/1983No College
63 Peca, Matthew C5-918204/27/1993No College
26 Petry, Jeff D6-319712/09/1987No College
31 Price, Carey G6-321508/16/1987No College
28 Reilly, Mike D6-119507/13/1993No College
90 Tatar, Tomas LW5-1018212/01/1990No College
6 Weber, Shea D6-422908/14/1985No College