|TEAM STATS||GF||GA||POWER PLAY|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
The Canadiens are competing to make the playoffs and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 6.6% chance of making the playoffs. On 10/5 they had a 3.9% chance before increasing to 22.4% on 10/30. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 14.8%. They have a very slim chance (
Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher
Canadiens' Season Forecast Changes
Stream Montreal games with SlingTV
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B
At 11-6-3 the Canadiens are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 9.2 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 5 good wins vs 3 bad losses. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 6-3-1 home record is +11% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (6-4-1, 55%) is better than their expected 46% win percentage. In simulations where the Canadiens played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 42.6% of the time (#26 in the league). Their peak sim% was 42.8% back on 11/2.
Their record is better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.05 which ranks #17 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #8. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #11 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #25 in home games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -0.57 (#21 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY
The Canadiens next 5 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 4 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, and 6 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 2-3 (37% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 11.6%. Their chances of winning their next 5 are 1.4%. At #5 in the conference, they are behind the Sabres by one point. With a +0.31 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they have a good chance of improving their conference seed. They are in a battle with Bruins in the conference. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Bruins. Their projected wins (2.2) over the next 5 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Canadiens are the 4th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Canadiens are playing 7 games, traveling 2092 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #17 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
The Montreal Canadiens' next game is on November 19. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|47||Agostino, Kenny||LW||6-0||202||04/30/1992||No College|
|27||Alzner, Karl||D||6-3||219||09/24/1988||No College|
|8||Benn, Jordie||D||6-2||199||07/26/1987||No College|
|24||Danault, Phillip||C||6-1||198||02/24/1993||No College|
|20||Deslauriers, Nicolas||LW||6-1||221||02/22/1991||No College|
|13||Domi, Max||C||5-10||193||03/02/1995||No College|
|92||Drouin, Jonathan||LW||6-0||203||03/28/1995||No College|
|11||Gallagher, Brendan||RW||5-9||184||05/06/1992||No College|
|54||Hudon, Charles||LW||5-10||196||06/23/1994||No College|
|58||Juulsen, Noah||D||6-2||193||04/02/1997||No College|
|15||Kotkaniemi, Jesperi||C||6-2||184||07/06/2000||No College|
|62||Lehkonen, Artturi||RW||6-0||177||07/04/1995||No College|
|53||Mete, Victor||D||5-9||183||06/07/1998||No College|
|37||Niemi, Antti||G||6-2||209||08/29/1983||No College|
|61||Ouellet, Xavier||D||6-0||196||07/29/1993||No College|
|63||Peca, Matthew||C||5-9||182||04/27/1993||No College|
|26||Petry, Jeff||D||6-3||197||12/09/1987||No College|
|31||Price, Carey||G||6-3||215||08/16/1987||No College|
|28||Reilly, Mike||D||6-1||195||07/13/1993||No College|
|38||Scherbak, Nikita||RW||6-2||192||12/30/1995||No College|
|21||Schlemko, David||D||6-1||191||05/07/1987||No College|
|65||Shaw, Andrew||RW||5-11||182||07/20/1991||No College|
|90||Tatar, Tomas||LW||5-10||182||12/01/1990||No College|