New Jersey
Devils
Stadium Prudential Center
23-29-8 Overall | 8-10-2 METROPOLITAN 8th
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Devils176208 19.27%
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  2/2
@
Canadiens
W / OT3-2
Tue  2/5
vs
Kings
L1-5
Thu  2/7
vs
Islanders
L / SO1-2
Sat  2/9
vs
Wild
L2-4
Sun  2/10
vs
Hurricanes
W3-2
Tue  2/12
@
Blues
L3-8
Thu  2/14
@
Blackhawks
L2-5
Fri  2/15
@
Wild
W / OT5-4
Sun  2/17
vs
Sabres
W4-1
Tue  2/19
vs
Penguins
L3-4
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: D

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 23-29-8 Devils 'should have' 28 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 13 good wins vs 9 bad losses. Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 8-19-3 road record is -14% lower than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (4-6-1, 36%) is under their expected 43% win percentage. In simulations where the Devils played every other team (neutral ice in playoffs) they won just 40% of the time (#28 in the league). In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #24 winning 45.8%.

Their record should be slightly better. Their average goal differential is -0.5 which ranks #27 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #29. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #15 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #30 in road games. Their average goal differential in their past 8 games is -0.75 which ranks them #22 over this stretch, slightly better than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

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NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY

The Devils next 6 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 2 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 3 more 'toss up' games, and 5 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

FEB 21
CLOSE GAME
53% OTT
--
FEB 23
CLOSE GAME
50% @NYR
15 miles
FEB 25
CLOSE GAME
53% MON
--
FEB 27
LIKELY LOSS
38% CGY
--
MAR 1
CLOSE GAME
48% PHI
--
MAR 2**
LIKELY LOSS
29% @BOS
316 miles
MAR 5
LIKELY LOSS
39% CLB
--
MAR 8
LIKELY LOSS
25% @WAS
318 miles
MAR 9**
CLOSE GAME
47% @NYR
331 miles
MAR 12
LIKELY LOSS
32% @CGY
3249 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 3-3 (33% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 6.3%. At #15 in the conference, they are behind the Red Wings by one point. With a +0.83 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games they have a good chance of improving their conference seed.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Devils are the 19th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Devils are playing 7 games, traveling 662 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #29 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the New Jersey Devils' next game. They are -141 favorites and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

Before the season, the Devils were projected for 84.9 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 10/18 their projected points was up to 91.5 before dropping to 74.5 on 2/15. From the start of the season to now their chances are down to 75.3%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the East at 0.2% (500/1 odds) and a 0.1% chance of winning it all (1000/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #13 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #1 Toughest

Devils' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
17 Agostino, Kenny LW6-019904/30/1992No College
49 Anderson, Joey RW5-1119006/19/1998No College
63 Bratt, Jesper RW5-1017507/30/1998No College
8 Butcher, Will D5-1019001/06/1995No College
20 Coleman, Blake RW5-1120011/28/1991No College
39 Gabriel, Kurtis RW6-420004/20/1993No College
6 Greene, Andy D5-1119010/30/1982No College
2 Gryba, Eric D6-422204/14/1988No College
13 Hischier, Nico C6-117501/04/1999No College
90 Johansson, Marcus LW6-120510/06/1990No College
1 Kinkaid, Keith G6-319507/04/1989No College
12 Lovejoy, Ben D6-120502/20/1984No College
25 Mueller, Mirco D6-321003/21/1995No College
21 Palmieri, Kyle RW5-1118502/01/1991No College
58 Rooney, Kevin C6-219005/21/1993No College
16 Santini, Steven D6-220503/07/1995No College
35 Schneider, Cory G6-320003/18/1986No College
43 Seney, Brett LW5-915602/29/1996No College
28 Severson, Damon D6-220508/07/1994No College
18 Stafford, Drew RW6-221510/30/1985No College
44 Wood, Miles LW6-219509/13/1995No College
37 Zacha, Pavel C6-321004/06/1997No College
19 Zajac, Travis C6-218505/13/1985No College