SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: D

At 7-8-1 the Devils are behind their money line projected win total of 7.8 wins. They have 4 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 3 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game). They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 6-1-1 home record is +24% better than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 3-6-1, 30%. In simulations where the Devils played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 44.4% of the time (#24 in the league). In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #24 winning 45.8%.

Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is -0.44 which ranks #25 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #28. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #2 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #31 in road games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -1.43 (#29 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

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NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The forecast for their next 5 games is generally good. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 6 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
NOV 15
CLOSE GAME
42% @PHI
126 miles
NOV 17
LIKELY WIN
62% DET
--
NOV 18**
CLOSE GAME
52% @CAR
678 miles
NOV 21
LIKELY WIN
66% MON
--
NOV 23
CLOSE GAME
53% NYI
--
NOV 25
LIKELY LOSS
23% @TB
1613 miles
NOV 26**
LIKELY LOSS
36% @FLA
290 miles
NOV 30
LIKELY LOSS
28% @WAS
318 miles
DEC 1**
CLOSE GAME
45% WPG
318 miles
DEC 3
LIKELY LOSS
34% TB
--

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 3-2 (35% chance). Their chances of winning their next 5 are 4.4%.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Devils are the 19th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Devils are playing 7 games, traveling 8146 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #19 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The New Jersey Devils' next game is on November 15. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

The Devils are competing to make the playoffs, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 27.6% chance of making the playoffs. On 10/18 they had a 59.4% chance before dropping to 16% on 11/13. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 18.4%. They have a very slim chance (

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Hard

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #10 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 52% #11 Toughest

Devils' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.