LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

The Predators are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 7.5% chance of winning it all. On 11/13 they had a 20% chance before dropping to 3.3% on 1/16. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 4.2%. They have a 14% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #5 in the conference and have a 88% chance of making the playoffs. They have a good shot at getting home court advantage in the first round (68%). They have a 58% chance of reaching the conference semi-finals and a 28.5% chance of reaching the conference finals. Based on the odds, they have a 22.2% chance of winning the West (7/2) and an 11.1% chance of winning it all (8/1). In simulations they make the Finals 12.9% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #12 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 49% #12 Easiest

Predators' Championship Forecast Changes

Stream Nashville games with SlingTV

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

At 28-17-4 the Predators are behind their money line projected win total of 28.5 wins. They have 16 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 4 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game). They have won 48% of their road games and were expected to win 54%. At home they have a 67% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 63%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (6-4-2, 50%) is under their expected 57% win percentage. The Predators are a good team (in simulations) and won 57.5% of the simulations vs every other team playing on neutral ice with players available in the playoffs (#8 in the league). Their peak rank was #2 in the league back on 11/16.

Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is +0.49 which ranks #7 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #10. They are the #7 ranked team in goal differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. Their average goal differential in their past 8 games is +0.5.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 3 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The forecast for their next 3 games is generally good. They have 7 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
JAN 19
LIKELY WIN
67% FLA
--
JAN 21
CLOSE GAME
54% @COL
1646 miles
JAN 23
CLOSE GAME
41% @LV
2544 miles
FEB 1
CLOSE GAME
59% @FLA
1271 miles
FEB 2**
LIKELY WIN
71% DAL
1271 miles
FEB 5
LIKELY WIN
71% ARI
--
FEB 7
LIKELY WIN
70% DAL
--
FEB 9
LIKELY WIN
62% @STL
409 miles
FEB 10**
LIKELY WIN
72% STL
409 miles
FEB 12
LIKELY WIN
74% DET
--

The most likely scenario over the next 3 games is a record of 2-1 (41% chance). Their chances of winning their next 3 are 15.4%. At #5 in the conference, they are fighting with the Golden Knights for positioning. Their projected wins (1.63) over the next 3 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term. With a +1.25 advantage in projected wins over their next 3 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Predators are the 12th least fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few days, the Predators are playing 4 games, traveling 9651 miles crossing 7 time zones. They rank #9 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Nashville Predators' next game. They are -240 favorites and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.