Futures

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Predators are championship contenders and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 7.5% chance of winning it all. On 10/6 they had an 11.3% chance before increasing to 20% on 11/13. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 19.4%. They have a 59.8% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #1 in the conference and have a 97% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances of getting out of the first round is 79% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 54.23%. Based on the odds, they have a 22.2% chance of winning the West (7/2) and a 12.5% chance of winning it all (7/1). In simulations they make the Finals 35.1% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 47% #4 Easiest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 52% #10 Toughest

Predators' Championship Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B

At 14-5-1 the Predators are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 11.5 wins. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 8-2-1 road record is +18% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (6-3-1, 60%) is better than their expected 57% win percentage. We have simulated the Predators playing every other team on a neutral court (with players who would be available in the playoffs) and they won an impressive 62.8% of the time (#2 in the league).

Their average goal differential is +1.05 which ranks #1 in the league, which is the same as how they rank in points. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #3 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #6 in home games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is +0.67 (#7 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: BRIGHT

The forecast for their next 5 games is very good. They have 8 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and no games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
NOV 19
CLOSE GAME
54% TB
--
NOV 21
LIKELY WIN
69% STL
--
NOV 23
CLOSE GAME
57% @STL
409 miles
NOV 25
LIKELY WIN
73% ANA
--
NOV 27
LIKELY WIN
68% COL
--
NOV 29
LIKELY WIN
72% ARI
--
DEC 1
LIKELY WIN
70% CHI
--
DEC 3
LIKELY WIN
73% BUF
--
DEC 6
LIKELY WIN
67% @VAN
3269 miles
DEC 8
CLOSE GAME
60% @CGY
2726 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 3-2 (36% chance). Their chances of winning their next 5 are 9.8%. At #1 in the conference, they are ahead of the Wild by 3 points. With a +0.69 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Predators are the 7th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Predators are playing 7 games, traveling 818 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #23 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Nashville Predators' next game is on November 19. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.