SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

They are one of 4 teams with 40/1, 2.4% odds to win the Cup. Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.5% chance is #18 in the league. In simulations, they win the East 1.6% of the time and are not a good value at 20/1, 4.8%. The Islanders are averaging 89.4 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to come under 91.5. At -120 the Islanders are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 42.4% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 7/1, 12.5%. They win the division in 5.6% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the East.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 48-27-7 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 49%. In terms of money line profit, they were one of the best teams at +1391. They were not good on puck lines going 42-40 (-686 loss). More of their games came in under (51) than went over (27). Based on computer simulations they only have a 41% chance to beat the Capitals in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be slightly better. Since 10/2/2018 their average goal differential is +0.36 (includes playoff games) which ranks #4 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #5. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #8 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #11 in home games.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Semyon Varlamov who is projected to be the #13 Goalie. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.