Futures

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A

At 27-15-4 the Islanders are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 21 wins. In the process of beating expectations they have had 18 impressive wins where they were given

Their average goal differential is +0.48 which ranks #8 in the league, which is the same as how they rank in points. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #5 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #8 in home games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +1.14 (#4 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

Stream New York games with SlingTV

NEXT 3 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY CLOUDY

The forecast for their next 3 games is a mixed bag. They have 3 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 5 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
JAN 18
LIKELY LOSS
32% @WAS
328 miles
JAN 20
LIKELY WIN
66% ANA
--
JAN 22
CLOSE GAME
50% @CHI
1152 miles
FEB 1
LIKELY LOSS
39% TB
--
FEB 2**
CLOSE GAME
60% LA
--
FEB 5
LIKELY LOSS
35% @BOS
307 miles
FEB 7
CLOSE GAME
44% @NJ
18 miles
FEB 9
CLOSE GAME
43% COL
--
FEB 10**
CLOSE GAME
50% MIN
--
FEB 12
LIKELY WIN
60% @BUF
474 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 3 games is a record of 1-2 (39% chance). Their chances of winning their next 3 are 10.8%. At #6 in the conference, they are behind the Bruins by one point. With a +0.72 advantage in projected wins over their next 3 games they have a good chance of improving their conference seed. They are ahead of the Canadiens by one point. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Canadiens. Their projected wins (1.47) over the next 3 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Islanders are just the 28th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few days, the Islanders are playing 4 games, traveling 2632 miles crossing 2 time zones. They rank #22 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

According to Sportsline the New York Islanders are +145 underdogs but their simulated win percentage is very different and we see this as a pick with a lot of value. Get the pick for this game at Sportsline.com.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)

Before the season, the Islanders were projected for 87.7 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 10/25 their projected points was 86.9 before increasing to 96.5 on 1/7. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is up to 96.5. They have a 3.8% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #6 in the conference and have a 91% chance of making the playoffs. They have a shot (12%) at getting home court advantage in the first round. Their chances of getting out of the first round is 17% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 3.2%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the East at 4.8% (20/1 odds) and a 2.4% chance of winning it all (40/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 52% #3 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 49% #12 Easiest

Islanders' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.