NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The forecast for their next 4 games is not good. They have 3 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 7 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
MAR 19
CLOSE GAME
47% DET
--
MAR 23
LIKELY LOSS
20% @TOR
548 miles
MAR 25
LIKELY LOSS
32% PIT
--
MAR 27
LIKELY LOSS
27% @BOS
303 miles
MAR 29
CLOSE GAME
47% STL
--
MAR 31
LIKELY LOSS
32% @PHI
138 miles
APR 1**
CLOSE GAME
45% @NJ
126 miles
APR 3
CLOSE GAME
48% OTT
--
APR 5
LIKELY LOSS
39% CLB
--
APR 6**
LIKELY LOSS
27% @PIT
508 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 4 games is a record of 1-3 (42% chance). Their chances of winning 3 or more are 8.5%. At #13 in the conference, they are behind the Sabres by 2 points. With a -0.91 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 4 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. With a -0.55 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 4 games they may find the gap between them closing.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Rangers are the 3rd most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Rangers are playing 7 games, traveling 1855 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #23 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the New York Rangers' next game. They are -148 favorites and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 28-31-13 Rangers 'should have' 31 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 18 good wins vs 4 bad losses. They have won 31% of their road games and were expected to win 37%. At home they have a 47% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 48%. Losers of 4 in a row they have a 42.4% chance of seeing that extend to 6 straight. In the pre-season, the Rangers were expected to be a below average team (#19) in power rank, and they have managed to be even worse. In simulations where the Rangers played every other team (neutral ice in playoffs) they won just 37.4% of the time (#28 in the league). Their peak rank was #19 in the league back on 6/11.

Their average goal differential is -0.57 which ranks #26 in the league, which is the same as how they rank in points. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #18 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #29 in road games. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -1.43 which ranks them #28 over this stretch, slightly worse than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

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LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

Before the season, the Rangers were projected for 87.2 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 11/23 their projected points was up to 87.5 before dropping to 73.9 on 1/11. From the start of the season to now their chances are down to 77.9%. Before the start of their 4 game losing streak they were projected for 8065.3 points.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #14 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #1 Toughest

Rangers' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.