New York
Rangers
Stadium Madison Square Garden
10-8-2 Overall | 1-2-1 METROPOLITAN 3rd
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Rangers6164 21.21%
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  11/1
@
Ducks
W / SO3-2
Sun  11/4
vs
Sabres
W3-1
Tue  11/6
vs
Canadiens
W5-3
Fri  11/9
@
Red Wings
L / OT2-3
Sat  11/10
@
Blue Jackets
W / SO5-4
Mon  11/12
vs
Canucks
W2-1
Thu  11/15
@
Islanders
L5-7
Sat  11/17
vs
Panthers
W4-2
Mon  11/19
vs
Stars
7:00pm
Wed  11/21
vs
Islanders
7:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN

The Rangers are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 38% chance of making the playoffs. On 9/30 they had a 33.4% chance before dropping to 5.4% on 10/29. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 18.7%. They have a very slim chance (

Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #12 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 49% #15 Easiest

Rangers' Season Forecast Changes

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SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B+

At 10-8-2 the Rangers are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 8.6 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 7 good wins vs 0 bad losses. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 7-3-0 home record is +23% better than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 7-2-1 in a stretch where their projected win rate was 4.4 wins. In simulations where the Rangers played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 45.9% of the time (#21 in the league). They have moved up from #23 in the league back on 10/27.

Their record is better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.35 which ranks #22 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #16. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #13 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #25 in road games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +0.57 (#10 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The Rangers next 5 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 2 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 3 more 'toss up' games, and 5 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

NOV 19
CLOSE GAME
54% DAL
--
NOV 21
CLOSE GAME
47% NYI
--
NOV 23
CLOSE GAME
47% @PHI
138 miles
NOV 24**
CLOSE GAME
46% WAS
138 miles
NOV 26
LIKELY WIN
62% OTT
--
NOV 29
CLOSE GAME
46% @OTT
530 miles
DEC 1
CLOSE GAME
47% @MON
529 miles
DEC 2**
CLOSE GAME
44% WPG
529 miles
DEC 8
LIKELY LOSS
30% @FLA
1726 miles
DEC 10
LIKELY LOSS
30% @TB
1622 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 3-2 (31% chance). Their chances of winning their next 5 are 3.8%. At #8 in the conference, they are fighting with the Islanders for positioning. There is only a -0.13 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games so we do not expect them to pick up ground in the conference. They are ahead of the Senators by one point. With a +0.8 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Rangers are just the 25th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Rangers are playing 8 games, traveling 1865 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #29 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The New York Rangers' next game is on November 19. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
50 Andersson, Lias C6-020410/13/1998No College
72 Chytil, Filip C6-220809/05/1999No College
33 Claesson, Fredrik D6-119611/24/1992No College
77 DeAngelo, Tony D5-1118010/24/1995No College
17 Fast, Jesper RW6-119212/02/1991No College
40 Georgiev, Alexandar G6-117902/10/1996No College
13 Hayes, Kevin C6-521605/08/1992No College
21 Howden, Brett C6-319503/29/1998No College
20 Kreider, Chris LW6-321604/30/1991No College
30 Lundqvist, Henrik G6-118003/02/1982No College
8 McLeod, Cody LW6-220406/26/1984No College
90 Namestnikov, Vladislav C6-018411/22/1992No College
44 Pionk, Neal D6-018607/29/1995No College
22 Shattenkirk, Kevin D6-020601/29/1989No College
76 Skjei, Brady D6-321403/26/1994No College
42 Smith, Brendan D6-219502/08/1989No College
23 Spooner, Ryan C5-1119101/30/1992No College
18 Staal, Marc D6-421301/13/1987No College
16 Strome, Ryan C6-119407/11/1993No College
26 Vesey, Jimmy LW6-319905/26/1993No College
93 Zibanejad, Mika C6-221304/18/1993No College
36 Zuccarello, Mats RW5-818409/01/1987No College