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According to Sportsline the New York Rangers are +180 underdogs but their simulated win percentage is very different and we see this as a pick with a lot of value. Get the pick for this game at Sportsline.com.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

At 20-20-7 the Rangers are behind their money line projected win total of 20.1 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 13 good wins and one bad loss. They have won 30% of their road games and were expected to win 37%. At home they have a 54% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 48%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (5-6-1, 42%) is better than their expected 39% win percentage. In simulations where the Rangers played every other team (neutral ice in playoffs) they won just 39.5% of the time (#26 in the league). They have moved up from #29 in the league back on 1/10.

Their record is better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.62 which ranks #27 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #21. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #15 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #31 in road games. Their average goal differential in their past 8 games is -1.12.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

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LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

Before the season, the Rangers were projected for 87.2 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 11/23 their projected points was up to 87.5 before dropping to 73.9 on 1/11. From the start of the season to now their chances are down to 77.3%. The playoffs are not likely with their 1.8% chance and a projected #11 finish in the conference. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the East at 0.7% (150/1 odds) and a 0.3% chance of winning it all (300/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 52% #3 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #11 Toughest

Rangers' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.