Ottawa
Senators
Stadium Canadian Tire Centre
25-41-6 Overall | 8-13-2 ATLANTIC 8th
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Senators213263 19.39%
Schedule
Regular season
Sat  3/2
@
Lightning
L1-5
Sun  3/3
@
Panthers
W3-2
Tue  3/5
@
Islanders
L / SO4-5
Thu  3/7
vs
Islanders
L2-4
Sat  3/9
@
Bruins
L2-3
Mon  3/11
@
Flyers
L2-3
Thu  3/14
vs
Blues
W2-0
Sat  3/16
vs
Maple Leafs
W6-2
Wed  3/20
@
Canucks
RDS10:00pm
Thu  3/21
@
Flames
RDS29:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The forecast for their next 5 games is not good. They have 2 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 2 more 'toss up' games, and 6 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

MAR 20
LIKELY LOSS
39% @VAN
3532 miles
MAR 21**
LIKELY LOSS
27% @CGY
675 miles
MAR 23
LIKELY LOSS
39% @EDM
2833 miles
MAR 26
LIKELY WIN
61% BUF
--
MAR 28
CLOSE GAME
42% FLA
--
MAR 30
LIKELY LOSS
28% TOR
--
APR 1
LIKELY LOSS
31% TB
--
APR 3
CLOSE GAME
52% @NYR
530 miles
APR 4**
CLOSE GAME
55% @BUF
469 miles
APR 6
CLOSE GAME
47% CLB
--

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 2-3 (34% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 9.3%. Their chances of winning their next 5 are 1.7%.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Senators are the 11th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Senators are playing 7 games, traveling 14934 miles crossing 11 time zones. They rank #7 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Ottawa Senators' next game is on March 20. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

At 25-41-6 the Senators are behind their money line projected win total of 26.6 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 22 good wins and one bad loss. They have won 25% of their road games and were expected to win 33%. At home they have a 44% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 41%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (3-7-1, 27%) is pretty much what was expected of them and mirrors their season overall. In simulations where the Senators played every other team (neutral ice in playoffs) they won just 41.3% of the time (#26 in the league). Their peak rank was #18 in the league back on 1/4.

Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is -0.68 which ranks #28 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #31. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #21 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #31 in road games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is +0.33 (#14 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every NHL game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

Before the season, the Senators were projected for 76.2 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 10/23 their projected points was up to 81.7 before dropping to 63.1 on 3/13 (streak start). From the start of the season to now their chances are down to 65.4%.

Strength of Schedule Getting Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 52% #8 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #1 Toughest

Senators' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
41 Anderson, Craig G6-218505/21/1981No College
38 Balcers, Rudolfs LW5-1117504/08/1997No College
89 Boedker, Mikkel RW6-021012/16/1989No College
74 Borowiecki, Mark D6-120707/12/1989No College
5 Ceci, Cody D6-220912/21/1993No College
2 DeMelo, Dylan D6-119505/01/1993No College
10 Duclair, Anthony LW5-1119108/26/1995No College
17 Gibbons, Brian LW5-817502/26/1988No College
67 Harpur, Ben D6-622201/12/1995No College
83 Jaros, Christian D6-320104/02/1996No College
24 Lindberg, Oscar C6-120210/29/1991No College
31 Nilsson, Anders G6-623203/19/1990No College
56 Paajarvi, Magnus RW6-320604/12/1991No College
44 Pageau, Jean-Gabriel C5-1018411/11/1992No College
9 Ryan, Bobby RW6-220903/17/1987No College
15 Smith, Zack LW6-220804/05/1988No College
71 Tierney, Chris C6-119507/01/1994No College
7 Tkachuk, Brady LW6-319609/16/1999No College
14 Veronneau, Max RW6-018112/12/1995No College
36 White, Colin C6-018301/30/1997No College
86 Wolanin, Christian D6-218503/17/1995No College