|TEAM STATS||GF||GA||POWER PLAY|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The forecast for their next 5 games is not good. They have 2 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 2 more 'toss up' games, and 6 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 2-3 (34% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 9.3%. Their chances of winning their next 5 are 1.7%.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Senators are the 11th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Senators are playing 7 games, traveling 14934 miles crossing 11 time zones. They rank #7 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
The Ottawa Senators' next game is on March 20. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C
At 25-41-6 the Senators are behind their money line projected win total of 26.6 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ goals as a slight favorite, then they have 22 good wins and one bad loss. They have won 25% of their road games and were expected to win 33%. At home they have a 44% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 41%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (3-7-1, 27%) is pretty much what was expected of them and mirrors their season overall. In simulations where the Senators played every other team (neutral ice in playoffs) they won just 41.3% of the time (#26 in the league). Their peak rank was #18 in the league back on 1/4.
Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is -0.68 which ranks #28 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #31. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #21 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #31 in road games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is +0.33 (#14 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)
Before the season, the Senators were projected for 76.2 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 10/23 their projected points was up to 81.7 before dropping to 63.1 on 3/13 (streak start). From the start of the season to now their chances are down to 65.4%.
Strength of Schedule Getting Easier
Senators' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|41||Anderson, Craig||G||6-2||185||05/21/1981||No College|
|38||Balcers, Rudolfs||LW||5-11||175||04/08/1997||No College|
|89||Boedker, Mikkel||RW||6-0||210||12/16/1989||No College|
|74||Borowiecki, Mark||D||6-1||207||07/12/1989||No College|
|5||Ceci, Cody||D||6-2||209||12/21/1993||No College|
|2||DeMelo, Dylan||D||6-1||195||05/01/1993||No College|
|10||Duclair, Anthony||LW||5-11||191||08/26/1995||No College|
|17||Gibbons, Brian||LW||5-8||175||02/26/1988||No College|
|67||Harpur, Ben||D||6-6||222||01/12/1995||No College|
|83||Jaros, Christian||D||6-3||201||04/02/1996||No College|
|24||Lindberg, Oscar||C||6-1||202||10/29/1991||No College|
|31||Nilsson, Anders||G||6-6||232||03/19/1990||No College|
|56||Paajarvi, Magnus||RW||6-3||206||04/12/1991||No College|
|44||Pageau, Jean-Gabriel||C||5-10||184||11/11/1992||No College|
|9||Ryan, Bobby||RW||6-2||209||03/17/1987||No College|
|15||Smith, Zack||LW||6-2||208||04/05/1988||No College|
|71||Tierney, Chris||C||6-1||195||07/01/1994||No College|
|7||Tkachuk, Brady||LW||6-3||196||09/16/1999||No College|
|14||Veronneau, Max||RW||6-0||181||12/12/1995||No College|
|36||White, Colin||C||6-0||183||01/30/1997||No College|
|86||Wolanin, Christian||D||6-2||185||03/17/1995||No College|