Futures

NEXT 2 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The Flyers next 2 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 5 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
JAN 19
CLOSE GAME
45% @MON
636 miles
JAN 28
LIKELY LOSS
38% WPG
--
JAN 29**
CLOSE GAME
57% @NYR
138 miles
JAN 31
LIKELY LOSS
33% @BOS
440 miles
FEB 2
CLOSE GAME
49% EDM
--
FEB 4
CLOSE GAME
58% VAN
--
FEB 7
LIKELY WIN
63% LA
--
FEB 9
LIKELY WIN
66% ANA
--
FEB 11
LIKELY LOSS
32% PIT
--
FEB 12**
LIKELY LOSS
39% @MIN
1573 miles

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Flyers are the 10th least fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few days, the Flyers are playing 4 games, traveling 1352 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #24 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

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Sportsline has a free pick on the Philadelphia Flyers' next game. They are +107 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 18-23-6 Flyers 'should have' 22 wins. They have 9 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 7 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game). They have been below expectations on the road and at home. Their 8-13-3 road record is -10% lower than expected. Their 10-10-3 home record is -10% lower. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 3-7-2, 25%. In simulations where the Flyers played every other team (neutral ice in playoffs) they won just 46.2% of the time (#19 in the league). They have moved up from #23 in the league back on 1/14.

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.74 which ranks #30 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #28. They are the #27 ranked team in goal differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #28 ranked team among home teams. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -0.29 (#20 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

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LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

Before the season, the Flyers were projected for 88.4 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 10/5 their projected points was up to 93.7 before dropping to 74.2 on 1/14. From the start of the season to now their chances are down to 77.5%. The playoffs are not likely with their 2% chance and a projected #15 finish in the conference. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the East at 0.7% (150/1 odds) and a 0.3% chance of winning it all (300/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #7 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #11 Toughest

Flyers' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.