SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

They are one of 4 teams with 40/1, 2.4% odds to win the Cup. Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.2% chance is #20 in the league. In simulations, they win the East 0.6% of the time and are not a good value at 20/1, 4.8%. The Flyers are averaging 85.6 points per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 89.5. At +115 the Flyers are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 26.4% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 9/1, 10%. They win the division in 2.3% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the East.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 48% of their games last season so their 37-37-8 met expectations. Anyone betting on them to win every game would have lost a lot (-884) based on a 100 unit risk per game. They were not good on puck lines going 39-43 (-1676 loss). They went over 45 times and came in under 36 times. Based on computer simulations they only have a 46% chance to beat the Blackhawks in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Since 10/2/2018 their average goal differential is -0.48 (includes playoff games) which ranks #23 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #22. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #20 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #30 in home games.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Carter Hart who is projected to be the #22 Goalie. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.