Pittsburgh
Penguins
Stadium PPG Paints Arena
39-24-10 Overall | 13-8-3 METROPOLITAN 3rd
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Penguins249220 25.24%
Schedule
Regular season
Fri  3/1
@
Sabres
L / OT3-4
Sat  3/2
@
Canadiens
W5-1
Tue  3/5
vs
Panthers
W / OT3-2
Thu  3/7
vs
Blue Jackets
W3-0
Sat  3/9
@
Blue Jackets
L1-4
Sun  3/10
vs
Bruins
W4-2
Tue  3/12
vs
Capitals
W5-3
Thu  3/14
@
Sabres
W5-0
Sat  3/16
vs
Blues
L1-5
Sun  3/17
vs
Flyers
L / OT1-2
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 4 GAME OUTLOOK: BRIGHT

The forecast for their next 4 games is very good. They have 8 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

MAR 19
CLOSE GAME
60% @CAR
528 miles
MAR 21
LIKELY WIN
63% @NSH
760 miles
MAR 23
LIKELY WIN
64% @DAL
1723 miles
MAR 25
LIKELY WIN
68% @NYR
508 miles
MAR 29
CLOSE GAME
51% NSH
--
MAR 31
CLOSE GAME
60% CAR
--
APR 2
LIKELY WIN
68% @DET
331 miles
APR 4
LIKELY WIN
68% DET
--
APR 6
LIKELY WIN
73% NYR
--

The most likely scenario over the next 4 games is a record of 3-1 (38% chance). Their chances of winning their next 4 are 15.9%. At #6 in the conference, they are behind the Maple Leafs by 3 points. With a -0.74 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 4 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. They are ahead of the Hurricanes by 3 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Hurricanes. There is only a -0.19 advantage in projected wins over their next 4 games.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Penguins are just the 26th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Penguins are playing 6 games, traveling 6510 miles crossing 4 time zones. They rank #24 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Pittsburgh Penguins' next game. They are +110 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 39-24-10 Penguins 'should have' 41 wins. They have won 50% of their road games and were expected to win 52%. At home they have a 57% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 61%. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 7-2-2 in a stretch where their projected win rate was 5.8 wins. The Penguins are a good team (in simulations) and won 59.9% of the simulations vs every other team playing on neutral ice with players available in the playoffs (#6 in the league). Their peak rank was #2 in the league back on 1/10.

Their record should be slightly better. Their average goal differential is +0.41 which ranks #8 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #9. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #2 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #17 in home games. Their average goal differential in their past 8 games is +0.62.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every NHL game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

The Penguins are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 8.9% chance of winning it all. On 1/10 they had a 14.9% chance before dropping to 1.9% on 2/25. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 5%. They have an 11.7% chance of winning their division. They have a shot (17%) at getting home ice advantage in the first round. Their chances of getting out of the first round is 48% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 24.6%. Based on the odds, they have an 11.1% chance of winning the East (8/1) and a 5.9% chance of winning it all (16/1). In simulations they make the Finals 9.8% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 48% #10 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #9 Toughest

Penguins' Championship Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
46 Aston-Reese, Zach LW6-020408/10/1994No College
27 Bjugstad, Nick C6-621507/17/1992No College
36 Blandisi, Joseph LW6-018207/18/1994No College
53 Blueger, Teddy LW6-018508/15/1994No College
87 Crosby, Sidney C5-1120008/07/1987No College
7 Cullen, Matt C6-120211/02/1976No College
1 DeSmith, Casey G6-018108/13/1991No College
8 Dumoulin, Brian D6-420709/06/1991No College
44 Gudbranson, Erik D6-521701/07/1992No College
59 Guentzel, Jake RW5-1118010/06/1994No College
72 Hornqvist, Patric RW5-1118901/01/1987No College
73 Johnson, Jack D6-122701/13/1987No College
81 Kessel, Phil RW6-020210/02/1987No College
58 Letang, Kris D6-020104/24/1987No College
71 Malkin, Evgeni C6-319507/31/1986No College
19 McCann, Jared LW6-118505/31/1996No College
30 Murray, Matt G6-417805/25/1994No College
28 Pettersson, Marcus D6-317705/08/1996No College
50 Riikola, Juuso D6-018911/09/1993No College
2 Ruhwedel, Chad D5-1119105/07/1990No College
17 Rust, Bryan RW5-1119205/11/1992No College
4 Schultz, Justin D6-219307/06/1990No College
12 Simon, Dominik LW5-1119008/08/1994No College
5 Trotman, Zach D6-321708/26/1990No College
10 Wilson, Garrett RW6-219903/16/1991No College