SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

They are one of 4 teams with 25/1, 3.8% odds to win the Cup. Their simulation based win percentage (3.8%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. They are a good bet to win the East at 12/1, 7.7%. Their sim chance is 8.1%. The Penguins are averaging 98.4 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to go over 96.5. At -190 the Penguins are a good value to make the playoffs with a 81.6% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 9/2, 18.2%. They win the division in 28.3% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the East.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 56% of their games last season so their 44-26-12 met expectations. Against the money line they lost -522 units. They went 39-43 on puck lines (-157 loss). More of their games came in under (41) than went over (35). They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Buffalo Sabres. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be better. Since 10/2/2018 their average goal differential is +0.29 (includes playoff games) which ranks #8 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #12. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #3 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #19 in home games.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Matt Murray who is projected to be the #28 Goalie. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.