Pittsburgh
Penguins
Stadium PPG Paints Arena
25-15-6 Overall | 7-5-1 METROPOLITAN 4th
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Penguins163137 25.38%
Schedule
Regular season
Wed  1/2
@
Rangers
W7-2
Fri  1/4
vs
Jets
W4-0
Sun  1/6
vs
Blackhawks
L3-5
Tue  1/8
vs
Panthers
W5-1
Fri  1/11
@
Ducks
W7-4
Sat  1/12
@
Kings
L2-5
Tue  1/15
@
Sharks
L2-5
Fri  1/18
@
Coyotes
9:00pm
Sat  1/19
@
Golden Knights
10:00pm
Mon  1/28
vs
Devils
RSN7:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 3 GAME OUTLOOK: BRIGHT

The forecast for their next 3 games is very good. They have 6 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 2 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

JAN 18
LIKELY WIN
76% @ARI
2953 miles
JAN 19**
CLOSE GAME
47% @LV
391 miles
JAN 28
LIKELY WIN
72% NJ
--
JAN 30
CLOSE GAME
49% TB
--
FEB 1
LIKELY WIN
72% OTT
--
FEB 2**
CLOSE GAME
45% @TOR
360 miles
FEB 5
LIKELY WIN
77% CAR
--
FEB 7
LIKELY WIN
62% @FLA
1590 miles
FEB 9
LIKELY LOSS
34% @TB
1409 miles
FEB 11
LIKELY WIN
68% @PHI
414 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 3 games is a record of 2-1 (47% chance). Their chances of winning their next 3 are 26.4%. At #8 in the conference, they are behind the Canadiens by one point. With a +0.55 advantage in projected wins over their next 3 games they have a good chance of improving their conference seed. They are ahead of the Sabres by 2 points. With a +1.6 advantage in projected wins over their next 3 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Penguins are the most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few days, the Penguins are playing 5 games, traveling 9137 miles crossing 8 time zones. They rank #5 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

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The latest over/under line is 6 but in simulations the average total points is quite different and you can visit Sportsline.com to find out what side of the line you want to be on.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

At 25-15-6 the Penguins are behind their money line projected win total of 26.4 wins. They have won 52% of their road games and were expected to win 53%. At home they have a 57% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 62%. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 7-3-0 in a stretch where their projected win rate was 5.7 wins. We have simulated the Penguins playing every other team on neutral ice (with players who would be available in the playoffs) and they won an impressive 64.3% of the time (#2 in the league). They have moved up from #7 in the league back on 11/28.

Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is +0.59 which ranks #6 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #12. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #2 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #14 in home games. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is +0.5 which ranks them #7 over this stretch, slightly worse than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every NHL game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)

The Penguins are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 8.9% chance of winning it all. On 12/3 they had a 2.3% chance before increasing to 14.9% on 1/10. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 11.5%. Before the start of their 2 game losing streak they were at 14.3%. They have a 37.1% chance of winning their division. They have a good shot at getting home court advantage in the first round (64%). Their chances of getting out of the first round is 71% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 39.4%. Based on the odds, they have a 16.7% chance of winning the East (5/1) and a 9.1% chance of winning it all (10/1). In simulations they make the Finals 19.3% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #12 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #11 Toughest

Penguins' Championship Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

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Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
39 Blandisi, Joseph LW6-018207/18/1994No College
19 Brassard, Derick C6-120209/22/1987No College
87 Crosby, Sidney C5-1120008/07/1987No College
7 Cullen, Matt C6-120211/02/1976No College
1 DeSmith, Casey G6-018108/13/1991No College
8 Dumoulin, Brian D6-420709/06/1991No College
59 Guentzel, Jake LW5-1118010/06/1994No College
72 Hornqvist, Patric RW5-1118901/01/1987No College
73 Johnson, Jack D6-122701/13/1987No College
81 Kessel, Phil RW6-020210/02/1987No College
58 Letang, Kris D6-020104/24/1987No College
3 Maatta, Olli D6-220608/22/1994No College
71 Malkin, Evgeni C6-319507/31/1986No College
30 Murray, Matt G6-417805/25/1994No College
6 Oleksiak, Jamie D6-725512/21/1992No College
14 Pearson, Tanner LW6-120108/10/1992No College
28 Pettersson, Marcus D6-317705/08/1996No College
50 Riikola, Juuso D6-018911/09/1993No College
2 Ruhwedel, Chad D5-1119105/07/1990No College
17 Rust, Bryan RW5-1119205/11/1992No College
15 Sheahan, Riley LW6-321412/07/1991No College
12 Simon, Dominik LW5-1119008/08/1994No College
10 Wilson, Garrett RW6-219903/16/1991No College