San Jose
Sharks
Stadium SAP Center at San Jose
43-21-8 Overall | 15-4-3 PACIFIC 2nd
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Sharks258222 24.15%
Schedule
Regular season
Fri  3/1
vs
Avalanche
W4-3
Sun  3/3
vs
Blackhawks
W5-2
Thu  3/7
vs
Canadiens
W5-2
Sat  3/9
vs
Blues
W / OT3-2
Mon  3/11
@
Wild
W3-0
Tue  3/12
@
Jets
W5-4
Thu  3/14
vs
Panthers
L2-4
Sat  3/16
vs
Predators
L2-4
Mon  3/18
vs
Golden Knights
10:30pm
Thu  3/21
@
Kings
10:30pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: BRIGHT

The forecast for their next 5 games is very good. They have 6 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 4 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and no games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

MAR 18
LIKELY WIN
66% LV
--
MAR 21
LIKELY WIN
72% @LA
492 miles
MAR 22**
LIKELY WIN
70% @ANA
28 miles
MAR 25
LIKELY WIN
74% DET
--
MAR 28
CLOSE GAME
57% CHI
--
MAR 30
CLOSE GAME
58% LV
--
MAR 31**
CLOSE GAME
54% CGY
--
APR 2
CLOSE GAME
59% @VAN
1333 miles
APR 4
LIKELY WIN
60% @EDM
1917 miles
APR 6
LIKELY WIN
65% COL
--

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 3-2 (35% chance). Their chances of winning their next 5 are 14.7%. At #2 in the conference, they are behind the Flames by one point. Their projected wins (3.4) over the next 5 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Jets. There is only a -0.5 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Sharks are the 9th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Sharks are playing 7 games, traveling 1650 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #26 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the San Jose Sharks' next game. They are -161 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

At 43-21-8 the Sharks are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 41.2 wins. They have won 54% of their road games and were expected to win 52%. At home they have a 66% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 63%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (7-4-0, 64%) is better than their expected 58% win percentage. The Sharks perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 60.8% of the time (#5 in the league). They have moved up from #10 in the league back on 10/20.

Their average goal differential is +0.54 which ranks #4 in the league, which is the same as how they rank in points. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #4 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #9 in road games. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is +0.67 which ranks them #7 over this stretch, slightly worse than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every NHL game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Sharks are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 5.2% chance of winning it all. On 12/4 they had a 1.2% chance before increasing to 19.6% on 2/14. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 14.5%. Before the start of their 2 game losing streak they were at 17.7%. They have a 43.6% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #2 in the conference and have a 92% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances of getting out of the first round is 83% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 53.32%. Based on the odds, they have a 28.6% chance of winning the West (5/2) and a 14.3% chance of winning it all (6/1). In simulations they make the Finals 31.3% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 45% #2 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #9 Toughest

Sharks' Championship Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
61 Braun, Justin D6-220502/10/1987No College
88 Burns, Brent D6-523003/09/1985No College
39 Couture, Logan C6-120003/28/1989No College
30 Dell, Aaron G6-020505/04/1989No College
4 Dillon, Brenden D6-422511/13/1990No College
27 Donskoi, Joonas RW6-019004/13/1992No College
23 Goodrow, Barclay C6-221502/26/1993No College
18 Haley, Micheal LW5-1120503/30/1986No College
72 Heed, Tim D5-1118001/27/1991No College
48 Hertl, Tomas C6-221511/12/1993No College
31 Jones, Martin G6-419001/10/1990No College
9 Kane, Evander LW6-221008/02/1991No College
65 Karlsson, Erik D6-019005/31/1990No College
68 Karlsson, Melker RW6-018007/18/1990No College
62 Labanc, Kevin RW5-1118512/12/1995No College
28 Meier, Timo LW6-021010/08/1996No College
67 Middleton, Jacob D6-321001/02/1996No College
14 Nyquist, Gustav RW5-1118409/01/1989No College
8 Pavelski, Joe RW5-1119007/11/1984No College
52 Radil, Lukas LW6-320108/05/1990No College
47 Ryan, Joakim D5-1118506/17/1993No College
51 Simek, Radim D5-1120009/20/1992No College
20 Sorensen, Marcus LW5-1117504/07/1992No College
19 Thornton, Joe C6-422007/02/1979No College
44 Vlasic, Marc-Edouard D6-120503/30/1987No College