|TEAM STATS||GF||GA||POWER PLAY|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 3 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY
The forecast for their next 3 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 3 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 4 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 3 games is a record of 1-2 (41% chance). Their chances of winning their next 3 are 7.2%. At #3 in the conference, they are behind the Jets by one point. Their projected wins (1.29) over the next 3 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Golden Knights. There is only a -0.43 advantage in projected wins over their next 3 games.
The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Sharks are the 7th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few days, the Sharks are playing 3 games, traveling 19785 miles crossing 15 time zones. They rank #1 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
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Sportsline has a free pick on the San Jose Sharks' next game. They are +116 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
At 28-14-7 the Sharks are behind their money line projected win total of 28.3 wins. They have won 46% of their road games and were expected to win 52%. At home they have a 68% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 63%. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 9-2-0 in a stretch where their projected win rate was 6.3 wins. The Sharks perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 60.4% of the time (#6 in the league). They have moved up from #10 in the league back on 10/20.
Their average goal differential is +0.59 which ranks #5 in the league, which is the same as how they rank in points. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #2 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #13 in road games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +2 (#1 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)
The Sharks are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 5.2% chance of winning it all. On 12/4 they had a 1.2% chance before increasing to 9.6% on 1/16. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 9%. They have a 30.8% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #3 in the conference and have a 91% chance of making the playoffs. They have a good shot at getting home court advantage in the first round (84%). Their chances of getting out of the first round is 70% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 38.1%. Based on the odds, they have a 16.7% chance of winning the West (5/1) and a 9.1% chance of winning it all (10/1). In simulations they make the Finals 19.6% of the time.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Sharks' Championship Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|61||Braun, Justin||D||6-2||205||02/10/1987||No College|
|88||Burns, Brent||D||6-5||230||03/09/1985||No College|
|39||Couture, Logan||C||6-1||200||03/28/1989||No College|
|30||Dell, Aaron||G||6-0||205||05/04/1989||No College|
|4||Dillon, Brenden||D||6-4||225||11/13/1990||No College|
|27||Donskoi, Joonas||RW||6-0||190||04/13/1992||No College|
|14||Gambrell, Dylan||C||6-0||185||08/26/1996||No College|
|23||Goodrow, Barclay||C||6-2||215||02/26/1993||No College|
|72||Heed, Tim||D||5-11||180||01/27/1991||No College|
|48||Hertl, Tomas||C||6-2||215||11/12/1993||No College|
|31||Jones, Martin||G||6-4||190||01/10/1990||No College|
|9||Kane, Evander||LW||6-2||210||08/02/1991||No College|
|65||Karlsson, Erik||D||6-0||190||05/31/1990||No College|
|68||Karlsson, Melker||RW||6-0||180||07/18/1990||No College|
|62||Labanc, Kevin||LW||5-11||185||12/12/1995||No College|
|28||Meier, Timo||RW||6-0||210||10/08/1996||No College|
|8||Pavelski, Joe||RW||5-11||190||07/11/1984||No College|
|52||Radil, Lukas||LW||6-3||201||08/05/1990||No College|
|47||Ryan, Joakim||D||5-11||185||06/17/1993||No College|
|51||Simek, Radim||D||5-11||200||09/20/1992||No College|
|20||Sorensen, Marcus||LW||5-11||175||04/07/1992||No College|
|19||Thornton, Joe||C||6-4||220||07/02/1979||No College|
|44||Vlasic, Marc-Edouard||D||6-1||205||03/30/1987||No College|