St. Louis
Blues
Stadium Enterprise Center
7-7-3 Overall | 1-4-3 CENTRAL 7th
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Blues5653 25.4%
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  11/1
vs
Golden Knights
W5-3
Sat  11/3
vs
Wild
L1-5
Tue  11/6
vs
Hurricanes
W4-1
Fri  11/9
vs
Sharks
W4-0
Sun  11/11
vs
Wild
L2-3
Wed  11/14
@
Blackhawks
L0-1
Fri  11/16
@
Golden Knights
W4-1
Sat  11/17
@
Sharks
10:30pm
Mon  11/19
vs
Kings
8:00pm
Wed  11/21
@
Predators
8:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 6-7-3 Blues 'should have' 8 wins. They have 5 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 3 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game). Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 1-2-2 road record is -26% lower than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 4-4-0, 50%. The Blues should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 50.8% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#13 in the league). In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #14 winning 50%.

Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is 0 which ranks #15 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #28. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #13 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #23 in home games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is +0.5 (#11 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

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NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY

The forecast for their next 6 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 3 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 2 more 'toss up' games, and 5 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

NOV 16
LIKELY LOSS
36% @LV
2221 miles
NOV 17**
LIKELY LOSS
37% @SJ
615 miles
NOV 19
LIKELY WIN
62% LA
--
NOV 21
LIKELY LOSS
31% @NSH
409 miles
NOV 23
CLOSE GAME
43% NSH
--
NOV 24**
CLOSE GAME
48% WPG
--
NOV 28
CLOSE GAME
59% @DET
732 miles
NOV 30
CLOSE GAME
45% @COL
1282 miles
DEC 1**
CLOSE GAME
52% @ARI
947 miles
DEC 5
CLOSE GAME
54% EDM
--

The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 2-4 (30% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 21.7%. At #14 in the conference, they are behind the Coyotes by 2 points. They have a +0.72 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games and could narrow the gap. They are ahead of the Kings by 4 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Kings. Their projected wins (2.57) over the next 6 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Blues are the 13th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Blues are playing 7 games, traveling 9313 miles crossing 7 time zones. They rank #15 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The St. Louis Blues' next game is on November 16. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

The Blues are competing to make the playoffs, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 57.1% chance of making the playoffs. On 6/25 they had a 61.8% chance before dropping to 29% on 10/20. From the start of the season to now their chances are down to 47.4%. Before the start of their 2 game losing streak they were at 59.1%. They have a very slim chance (

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 52% #2 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #13 Easiest

Blues' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
34 Allen, Jake G6-220308/07/1990No College
49 Barbashev, Ivan LW6-018712/14/1995No College
9 Blais, Sammy LW6-220506/17/1996No College
19 Bouwmeester, Jay D6-420609/27/1983No College
21 Bozak, Tyler C6-119903/19/1986No College
29 Dunn, Vince D6-020310/29/1996No College
6 Edmundson, Joel D6-421506/28/1993No College
15 Fabbri, Robby C5-1019001/22/1996No College
4 Gunnarsson, Carl D6-219811/09/1986No College
31 Johnson, Chad G6-319706/10/1986No College
90 O'Reilly, Ryan C6-121602/07/1991No College
55 Parayko, Colton D6-623005/12/1993No College
57 Perron, David RW6-020005/28/1988No College
27 Pietrangelo, Alex D6-321001/18/1990No College
12 Sanford, Zach LW6-420711/09/1994No College
10 Schenn, Brayden C6-120008/22/1991No College
43 Schmaltz, Jordan D6-219010/08/1993No College
17 Schwartz, Jaden LW5-1019006/25/1992No College
86 Soshnikov, Nikita RW5-1118510/14/1993No College
20 Steen, Alexander LW6-021103/01/1984No College
70 Sundqvist, Oskar C6-320903/23/1994No College
91 Tarasenko, Vladimir RW6-022512/13/1991No College
18 Thomas, Robert C6-018807/02/1999No College