|TEAM STATS||GF||GA||POWER PLAY|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F
Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 6-7-3 Blues 'should have' 8 wins. They have 5 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 3 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game). Their performance on the road has left a lot to be desired. Their 1-2-2 road record is -26% lower than their expected win percentage. Over the past 3 weeks they have played better going 4-4-0, 50%. The Blues should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 50.8% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#13 in the league). In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #14 winning 50%.
Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is 0 which ranks #15 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #28. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #13 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #23 in home games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 6 games is +0.5 (#11 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
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NEXT 6 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY
The forecast for their next 6 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 3 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 2 more 'toss up' games, and 5 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 6 games is a record of 2-4 (30% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 21.7%. At #14 in the conference, they are behind the Coyotes by 2 points. They have a +0.72 advantage in projected wins over their next 6 games and could narrow the gap. They are ahead of the Kings by 4 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Kings. Their projected wins (2.57) over the next 6 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Blues are the 13th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Blues are playing 7 games, traveling 9313 miles crossing 7 time zones. They rank #15 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
The St. Louis Blues' next game is on November 16. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)
The Blues are competing to make the playoffs, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 57.1% chance of making the playoffs. On 6/25 they had a 61.8% chance before dropping to 29% on 10/20. From the start of the season to now their chances are down to 47.4%. Before the start of their 2 game losing streak they were at 59.1%. They have a very slim chance (
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Blues' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|34||Allen, Jake||G||6-2||203||08/07/1990||No College|
|49||Barbashev, Ivan||LW||6-0||187||12/14/1995||No College|
|9||Blais, Sammy||LW||6-2||205||06/17/1996||No College|
|19||Bouwmeester, Jay||D||6-4||206||09/27/1983||No College|
|21||Bozak, Tyler||C||6-1||199||03/19/1986||No College|
|29||Dunn, Vince||D||6-0||203||10/29/1996||No College|
|6||Edmundson, Joel||D||6-4||215||06/28/1993||No College|
|15||Fabbri, Robby||C||5-10||190||01/22/1996||No College|
|4||Gunnarsson, Carl||D||6-2||198||11/09/1986||No College|
|31||Johnson, Chad||G||6-3||197||06/10/1986||No College|
|90||O'Reilly, Ryan||C||6-1||216||02/07/1991||No College|
|55||Parayko, Colton||D||6-6||230||05/12/1993||No College|
|57||Perron, David||RW||6-0||200||05/28/1988||No College|
|27||Pietrangelo, Alex||D||6-3||210||01/18/1990||No College|
|12||Sanford, Zach||LW||6-4||207||11/09/1994||No College|
|10||Schenn, Brayden||C||6-1||200||08/22/1991||No College|
|43||Schmaltz, Jordan||D||6-2||190||10/08/1993||No College|
|17||Schwartz, Jaden||LW||5-10||190||06/25/1992||No College|
|86||Soshnikov, Nikita||RW||5-11||185||10/14/1993||No College|
|20||Steen, Alexander||LW||6-0||211||03/01/1984||No College|
|70||Sundqvist, Oskar||C||6-3||209||03/23/1994||No College|
|91||Tarasenko, Vladimir||RW||6-0||225||12/13/1991||No College|
|18||Thomas, Robert||C||6-0||188||07/02/1999||No College|