|TEAM STATS||GF||GA||POWER PLAY|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A
At 36-10-2 the Lightning are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 29 wins. They have greatly exceeded their expected win percentage on the road and at home. Their 17-5-2 road record is +15% better than expected. Their 19-5-0 home record is +15% better. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (8-3-0, 73%) is better than their expected 62% win percentage. The Lightning perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 66.9% of the time (#1 in the league). They have moved up from #3 in the league back on 6/11.
Their average goal differential is +1.1 which ranks #1 in the league, which is the same as how they rank in points. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #1 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #4 in road games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +0.14 (#18 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
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Sportsline has a free pick on the Tampa Bay Lightning's next game. They are -139 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)
The Lightning are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 16.2% chance of winning it all. On 10/17 they had a 12.3% chance before increasing to 37.1% on 1/4. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 28.9%. They are basically a lock to win the division at 95.6%. Their chances of getting out of the first round is 93% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 64.83%. Based on the odds, they have a 28.6% chance of winning the East (5/2) and a 16.7% chance of winning it all (5/1). In simulations they make the Finals 42.8% of the time.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Lightning's Championship Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|24||Callahan, Ryan||RW||5-10||187||03/21/1985||No College|
|81||Cernak, Erik||D||6-3||208||05/28/1997||No College|
|71||Cirelli, Anthony||C||6-0||180||07/15/1997||No College|
|55||Coburn, Braydon||D||6-5||223||02/27/1985||No College|
|70||Domingue, Louis||G||6-3||210||03/06/1992||No College|
|73||Erne, Adam||LW||6-1||214||04/20/1995||No College|
|5||Girardi, Dan||D||6-1||212||04/29/1984||No College|
|37||Gourde, Yanni||RW||5-9||172||12/15/1991||No College|
|77||Hedman, Victor||D||6-6||223||12/18/1990||No College|
|9||Johnson, Tyler||LW||5-8||183||07/29/1990||No College|
|7||Joseph, Mathieu||LW||6-1||190||02/09/1997||No College|
|17||Killorn, Alex||LW||6-1||196||09/14/1989||No College|
|86||Kucherov, Nikita||RW||5-11||178||06/17/1993||No College|
|62||Martel, Danick||LW||5-8||162||12/12/1994||No College|
|27||McDonagh, Ryan||D||6-1||215||06/13/1989||No College|
|10||Miller, J.T.||RW||6-1||218||03/14/1993||No College|
|18||Palat, Ondrej||LW||6-0||188||03/28/1991||No College|
|13||Paquette, Cedric||C||6-1||198||08/13/1993||No College|
|21||Point, Brayden||C||5-10||166||03/13/1996||No College|
|98||Sergachev, Mikhail||D||6-3||215||06/25/1998||No College|
|91||Stamkos, Steven||C||6-1||194||02/07/1990||No College|
|6||Stralman, Anton||D||5-11||190||08/01/1986||No College|
|88||Vasilevskiy, Andrei||G||6-3||207||07/25/1994||No College|