Futures

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A

At 36-10-2 the Lightning are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 29 wins. They have greatly exceeded their expected win percentage on the road and at home. Their 17-5-2 road record is +15% better than expected. Their 19-5-0 home record is +15% better. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (8-3-0, 73%) is better than their expected 62% win percentage. The Lightning perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 66.9% of the time (#1 in the league). They have moved up from #3 in the league back on 6/11.

Their average goal differential is +1.1 which ranks #1 in the league, which is the same as how they rank in points. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #1 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #4 in road games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +0.14 (#18 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

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Sportsline has a free pick on the Tampa Bay Lightning's next game. They are -139 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)

The Lightning are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 16.2% chance of winning it all. On 10/17 they had a 12.3% chance before increasing to 37.1% on 1/4. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 28.9%. They are basically a lock to win the division at 95.6%. Their chances of getting out of the first round is 93% and their chances of reaching the conference finals is 64.83%. Based on the odds, they have a 28.6% chance of winning the East (5/2) and a 16.7% chance of winning it all (5/1). In simulations they make the Finals 42.8% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #7 Toughest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #4 Easiest

Lightning's Championship Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.