REGULAR SEASON RECAP

Their 46 regular season wins did not meet expectations. It was -1.7 below what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went worse than expected. They met expectations on the road. It was at home where they came up short. They went 23-18 on the road and were expected to win 21.9. Their 56.1% home win percentage was worse than expected (63%). In the latest simulations for next season they are averaging 49.5 wins per sim, which is a solid +3.5 improvement and are projected to finish fifth in the East. There is not much of a gap between them and the #7 ranked Hurricanes who are projected for 49.4 wins.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be better. Their average goal differential is +0.35 which ranks #6 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #11. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #7 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #12 in home games. They are trending down. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -0.86 (#12 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Maple Leafs in all of their games would have earned a +216 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the puck line, they have lost -307 units risking 100 units on each pick (37-45 PL).