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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 10/1, 9.1% (#3). Even with the juice, the Maple Leafs are a good betting value. Their 10.4% chance to win the championship (based on simulations) is #2 in the league. In simulations, they win the East 17.5% of the time and are not a good value at 9/2, 18.2%. The Maple Leafs are averaging 104 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to go over 102.5. At -650 the Maple Leafs are a good value to make the playoffs with a 94.4% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 3/1, 25%. They win the division in 21.4% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the East.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NHL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy basketball and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 58% of their games last season so their 46-28-8 met expectations. Against the money line they lost -414 units. They were not good on puck lines going 37-45 (-547 loss). They went over 40 times and came in under 38 times. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Ottawa Senators. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be better. Since 10/2/2018 their average goal differential is +0.35 (includes playoff games) which ranks #5 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #11. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #7 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #12 in home games.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Frederik Andersen who is projected to be the #2 Goalie. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.