Toronto
Maple Leafs
Stadium Scotiabank Arena
36-25-9 Overall | 12-8-2 ATLANTIC 3rd
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Maple Leafs238227 23.08%
Schedule
Regular season
Tue  3/3
@
Sharks
L2-5
Thu  3/5
@
Kings
L / SO0-1
Fri  3/6
@
Ducks
L1-2
Tue  3/10
vs
Lightning
W2-1
Thu  3/12
vs
Predators
POSTPONED
Sat  3/14
@
Bruins
POSTPONED
Tue  3/17
vs
Devils
POSTPONED
Thu  3/19
vs
Islanders
POSTPONED
Sat  3/21
vs
Blue Jackets
POSTPONED
Mon  3/23
vs
Panthers
POSTPONED
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 10/1, 9.1% (#3). They are a good bet to win the championship (10.7 percent chance). In simulations, they win the East 17.7% of the time and are not a good value at 9/2, 18.2%. The Maple Leafs are averaging 103.8 points per sim which makes them a decent bet to go over 102.5. At -650 the Maple Leafs are a good value to make the playoffs with a 93.6% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 3/1, 25%. They win the division in 20.9% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the East.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

They were expected to win 58% of their games last season so their 46-28-8 met expectations. Against the money line they lost -414 units. They were not good on puck lines going 37-45 (-547 loss). They went over 40 times and came in under 38 times. They are heavy favorites in their upcoming game vs the Ottawa Senators. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be better. Since 10/2/2018 their average goal differential is +0.35 (includes playoff games) which ranks #5 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #11. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #7 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #12 in home games.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by Frederik Andersen who is projected to be the #2 Goalie. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
31 Andersen, Frederik G6-423810/02/1989No College
94 Barrie, Tyson D5-1119707/26/1991No College
36 Campbell, Jack G6-219701/09/1992No College
83 Ceci, Cody D6-221012/21/1993No College
73 Clifford, Kyle LW6-221101/13/1991No College
23 Dermott, Travis D6-020512/22/1996No College
47 Engvall, Pierre LW6-521405/31/1996No College
33 Gauthier, Frederik C6-523904/26/1995No College
3 Holl, Justin D6-421001/30/1992No College
11 Hyman, Zach LW6-120906/09/1992No College
24 Kapanen, Kasperi RW6-119407/23/1996No College
15 Kerfoot, Alexander C5-1018508/11/1994No College
62 Malgin, Denis RW5-917701/18/1997No College
52 Marincin, Martin D6-521702/18/1992No College
16 Marner, Mitchell RW6-017505/05/1997No College
34 Matthews, Auston C6-322009/17/1997No College
8 Muzzin, Jake D6-321702/21/1989No College
88 Nylander, William LW6-019605/01/1996No College
44 Rielly, Morgan D6-121903/09/1994No College
48 Rosen, Calle D6-119502/02/1994No College
38 Sandin, Rasmus D5-1118603/07/2000No College
19 Spezza, Jason RW6-321606/13/1983No College
91 Tavares, John C6-121509/20/1990No College