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PLAYOFF FORECAST

They have a 55.5% chance of getting past the first round of the playoffs. They have a 29.5% chance of getting past round 2. Their chances of then winning the East is 17.9%. They have 10.9% chance of winning the championship.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their regular season money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 47.7 wins. Their 46 actual wins was below expectation. Home ice was not an advantage, at least not in terms of meeting expectations. They were OK on the road. Their 56.1% home win percentage was worse than expected (63%). They won 56.1% on the road which was better than expected (53.3%).

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record should be better. Since 10/3/2018 their average goal differential is +0.35 (includes playoff games) which ranks #5 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #11. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #7 ranked team in goal differential in road games, vs #12 in home games.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 82 regular games. Anyone who backed the Maple Leafs in all of their games would have earned a +216 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the puck line, they have lost -307 units risking 100 units on each pick (37-45 PL).