NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The forecast for their next 5 games is not good. They have 2 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 8 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)
NOV 19
LIKELY LOSS
37% WPG
--
NOV 21
LIKELY LOSS
39% @ANA
1103 miles
NOV 23
LIKELY LOSS
26% @SJ
1333 miles
NOV 24**
CLOSE GAME
47% @LA
492 miles
NOV 27
CLOSE GAME
51% LA
--
NOV 29
CLOSE GAME
40% LV
--
DEC 1
CLOSE GAME
44% DAL
--
DEC 4
LIKELY LOSS
40% MIN
--
DEC 6
LIKELY LOSS
33% NSH
--
DEC 9
LIKELY LOSS
29% @STL
2862 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 2-3 (35% chance). Their chances of winning 4 or more are 8.2%. At #7 in the conference, they are fighting with the Stars for positioning. With a -1.34 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. They are in a battle with Avalanche in the conference. With a -0.87 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they may find the gap between them closing.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Canucks are the 2nd most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Canucks are playing 7 games, traveling 8356 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #6 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

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The Vancouver Canucks' next game is on November 19. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

At 10-10-2 the Canucks are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 8.3 wins. They have exceeded expectations in home games. Their 5-3-0 home record is +20% better than their expected win percentage. Losers of 5 in a row they have a 38.4% chance of seeing that extend to 7 straight. In simulations where the Canucks played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 39.7% of the time (#29 in the league). This is their peak for the season. Back on 6/11 they were at 34.4%.

Their record is better than it should be. Their average goal differential is -0.45 which ranks #27 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #18. They are the #21 ranked team in goal differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is -0.86 which ranks them #25 over this stretch, slightly better than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

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LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Canucks are competing to make the playoffs, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had less than a 1% chance of making the playoffs. On 6/25 they had a 0.4% chance before increasing to 20.7% on 11/12. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 7.3%. Before the start of their 5 game losing streak they were at 17.2%. They have a very slim chance (

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

• Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 47% #4 Easiest
• Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 53% #6 Toughest

Canucks' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.