Washington
Capitals
Stadium Capital One Arena
9-7-3 Overall | 2-2-1 METROPOLITAN 4th
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Capitals6363 29.03%
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  11/1
@
Canadiens
L4-6
Sat  11/3
vs
Stars
L / OT3-4
Mon  11/5
vs
Oilers
W4-2
Wed  11/7
vs
Penguins
W2-1
Fri  11/9
vs
Blue Jackets
L1-2
Sun  11/11
vs
Coyotes
L1-4
Tue  11/13
@
Wild
W5-2
Wed  11/14
@
Jets
L1-3
Fri  11/16
@
Avalanche
W / OT3-2
Mon  11/19
@
Canadiens
TSN27:30pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: BRIGHT

The Capitals next 5 game forecast could not be much brighter. They have 6 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 3 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and no games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

NOV 19
LIKELY WIN
63% @MON
788 miles
NOV 21
LIKELY WIN
69% CHI
--
NOV 23
LIKELY WIN
74% DET
--
NOV 24**
CLOSE GAME
54% @NYR
331 miles
NOV 26
CLOSE GAME
55% @NYI
328 miles
NOV 30
LIKELY WIN
72% NJ
--
DEC 2
LIKELY WIN
74% ANA
--
DEC 4
CLOSE GAME
52% @LV
3360 miles
DEC 6
LIKELY WIN
68% @ARI
3200 miles
DEC 8
CLOSE GAME
57% @CLB
528 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 3-2 (36% chance). Their chances of winning their next 5 are 9.9%. At #11 in the conference, they are fighting with the Hurricanes for positioning. With a +1.62 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they have a good chance of improving their conference seed. They are ahead of the Red Wings by one point. With a +1.14 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Capitals are the 7th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Capitals are playing 7 games, traveling 2106 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #22 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Stream Washington games with SlingTV

According to Sportsline the Washington Capitals are -120 favorites but their simulated win percentage is very different and we see this as a pick with a lot of value. Get the pick for this game at Sportsline.com.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: C

At 9-7-3 the Capitals are behind their money line projected win total of 9.9 wins. They have 6 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 2 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game). They have won 44% of their road games and were expected to win 47%. At home they have a 50% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 57%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (5-4-1, 50%) is pretty much what was expected of them and mirrors their season overall. The Capitals perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 61.3% of the time (#3 in the league). In our pre-season simulations they were ranked #1 winning 63.1%.

Their average goal differential is 0 which ranks #15 in the league, which is the same as how they rank in points. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #11 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #21 in road games. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +0.14.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every NHL game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

The Capitals are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 17.4% chance of winning it all. On 10/11 they had an 18.9% chance before dropping to 10.1% on 11/13. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 11.2%. They have a 54.7% chance of winning their division. The playoffs are not likely with their 97.4% chance and a projected #11 finish in the conference. They have a good shot at getting home court advantage in the first round (71%). They have a 68% chance of reaching the conference semi-finals and a 40.3% chance of reaching the conference finals. Based on the odds, they have an 11.1% chance of winning the East (8/1) and a 5.9% chance of winning it all (16/1). In simulations they make the Finals 20.7% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #13 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #11 Toughest

Capitals' Championship Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
19 Backstrom, Nicklas C6-121311/23/198711No College
22 Bowey, Madison D6-119504/22/19951No College
72 Boyd, Travis C5-1118509/14/19931Minnesota
65 Burakovsky, Andre LW6-320202/09/19954No College
74 Carlson, John D6-321501/10/19909No College
10 Connolly, Brett RW6-219305/02/19927No College
1 Copley, Pheonix G6-419601/18/19922Michigan Tech
29 Djoos, Christian D6-016408/06/19941No College
26 Dowd, Nic C6-219505/27/19903St. Cloud State
20 Eller, Lars C6-220705/08/19899No College
70 Holtby, Braden G6-221709/16/19898No College
23 Jaskin, Dmitrij LW6-219603/23/19936No College
6 Kempny, Michal D6-019409/08/19902No College
92 Kuznetsov, Evgeny C6-219205/19/19925No College
2 Niskanen, Matt D6-120012/06/198611Minnesota-Duluth
9 Orlov, Dmitry D5-1121207/23/19916No College
77 Oshie, T.J. RW6-018912/23/198610North Dakota
8 Ovechkin, Alex LW6-323909/17/198513No College
34 Siegenthaler, Jonas D6-320605/06/19970No College
25 Smith-Pelly, Devante RW6-021506/14/19927No College
18 Stephenson, Chandler C6-020404/22/19943No College
13 Vrana, Jakub C5-1119502/28/19962No College
43 Wilson, Tom RW6-421503/29/19945No College