|TEAM STATS||GF||GA||POWER PLAY|
|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)
The Jets are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 12.1% chance of winning it all. On 10/5 they had a 16.4% chance before dropping to 9.4% on 11/9. From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 14.9%. They have a 31.9% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #3 in the conference and have a 94% chance of making the playoffs. They have a good shot at getting home court advantage in the first round (88%). They have a 74% chance of reaching the conference semi-finals and a 45.9% chance of reaching the conference finals. Based on the odds, they have a 16.7% chance of winning the West (5/1) and a 9.1% chance of winning it all (10/1). In simulations they make the Finals 26.5% of the time.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Jets' Championship Forecast Changes
Stream Winnipeg games with SlingTV
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
At 11-5-2 the Jets are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 10.5 wins. They have won 50% of their road games and were expected to win 52%. At home they have a 67% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 62%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (5-2-1, 62%) is better than their expected 57% win percentage. The Jets perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 61.2% of the time (#4 in the league). Their peak rank was #3 in the league back on 7/25.
Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is +0.61 which ranks #7 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #5. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #5 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #13 in road games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 4 games is +2 (#2 over this stretch).
OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY
The Jets next 5 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 4 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 3 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 3-2 (33% chance). Their chances of winning their next 5 are 4.9%. At #3 in the conference, they are behind the Wild by 2 points. With a -0.47 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. They are ahead of the Sharks by one point. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Sharks. There is only a -0.3 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Jets are the 16th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Jets are playing 7 games, traveling 10321 miles crossing 5 time zones. They rank #13 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
The Winnipeg Jets' next game is on November 19. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|30||Brossoit, Laurent||G||6-3||204||03/23/1993||4||No College|
|33||Byfuglien, Dustin||D||6-5||260||03/27/1985||13||No College|
|7||Chiarot, Ben||D||6-3||219||05/09/1991||5||No College|
|27||Ehlers, Nikolaj||LW||6-0||172||02/13/1996||3||No College|
|37||Hellebuyck, Connor||G||6-4||207||05/19/1993||3||Massachusetts Lowell|
|29||Laine, Patrik||RW||6-4||206||04/19/1998||2||No College|
|48||Lemieux, Brendan||LW||6-1||210||03/15/1996||1||No College|
|18||Little, Bryan||C||6-0||191||11/12/1987||11||No College|
|17||Lowry, Adam||C||6-5||210||03/29/1993||4||No College|
|44||Morrissey, Josh||D||6-0||195||03/28/1995||3||No College|
|70||Morrow, Joe||D||6-0||199||12/09/1992||4||No College|
|57||Myers, Tyler||D||6-8||229||02/01/1990||9||No College|
|83||Niku, Sami||D||6-0||176||10/10/1996||1||No College|
|85||Perreault, Mathieu||C||5-10||188||01/05/1988||9||No College|
|19||Petan, Nic||C||5-9||179||03/22/1995||3||No College|
|28||Roslovic, Jack||C||6-1||182||01/29/1997||2||Miami (Ohio)|
|55||Scheifele, Mark||C||6-3||207||03/15/1993||7||No College|
|93||Vesalainen, Kristian||LW||6-4||209||06/01/1999||0||No College|