Winnipeg
Jets
Stadium Bell MTS Place
11-5-2 Overall | 3-2-0 CENTRAL 3rd
TEAM STATSGFGAPOWER PLAY
Jets5545 33.33%
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  11/1
@
Panthers
W4-2
Fri  11/2
vs
Panthers
L2-4
Fri  11/9
vs
Avalanche
W5-2
Sun  11/11
vs
Devils
W5-2
Wed  11/14
vs
Capitals
W3-1
Fri  11/16
vs
Sabres
L / SO1-2
Mon  11/19
@
Canucks
10:00pm
Wed  11/21
@
Flames
RSN10:00pm
Fri  11/23
@
Wild
4:00pm
Sat  11/24
@
Blues
R3607:00pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)

The Jets are championship contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 12.1% chance of winning it all. On 10/5 they had a 16.4% chance before dropping to 9.4% on 11/9. From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 14.9%. They have a 31.9% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #3 in the conference and have a 94% chance of making the playoffs. They have a good shot at getting home court advantage in the first round (88%). They have a 74% chance of reaching the conference semi-finals and a 45.9% chance of reaching the conference finals. Based on the odds, they have a 16.7% chance of winning the West (5/1) and a 9.1% chance of winning it all (10/1). In simulations they make the Finals 26.5% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 51% #6 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 47% #8 Easiest

Jets' Championship Forecast Changes

Stream Winnipeg games with SlingTV

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

At 11-5-2 the Jets are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 10.5 wins. They have won 50% of their road games and were expected to win 52%. At home they have a 67% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 62%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (5-2-1, 62%) is better than their expected 57% win percentage. The Jets perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 61.2% of the time (#4 in the league). Their peak rank was #3 in the league back on 7/25.

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is +0.61 which ranks #7 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #5. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #5 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #13 in road games. Based on goal differential, they are trending up. Their average goal differential in their past 4 games is +2 (#2 over this stretch).

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 5 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The Jets next 5 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 4 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 3 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game (**Indicates Back-to-Back)

NOV 19
LIKELY WIN
62% @VAN
1866 miles
NOV 21
CLOSE GAME
55% @CGY
1202 miles
NOV 23
CLOSE GAME
45% @MIN
629 miles
NOV 24**
CLOSE GAME
52% @STL
743 miles
NOV 27
LIKELY WIN
61% PIT
--
NOV 29
LIKELY WIN
72% CHI
--
DEC 1
CLOSE GAME
52% @NJ
2055 miles
DEC 2**
CLOSE GAME
56% @NYR
15 miles
DEC 4
CLOSE GAME
53% @NYI
2072 miles
DEC 7
LIKELY WIN
71% STL
--

The most likely scenario over the next 5 games is a record of 3-2 (33% chance). Their chances of winning their next 5 are 4.9%. At #3 in the conference, they are behind the Wild by 2 points. With a -0.47 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 5 games they may find themselves further behind in the conference. They are ahead of the Sharks by one point. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Sharks. There is only a -0.3 advantage in projected wins over their next 5 games.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Jets are the 16th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Jets are playing 7 games, traveling 10321 miles crossing 5 time zones. They rank #13 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Winnipeg Jets' next game is on November 19. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (G, C, LW, RW, D). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
30 Brossoit, Laurent G6-320403/23/19934No College
33 Byfuglien, Dustin D6-526003/27/198513No College
7 Chiarot, Ben D6-321905/09/19915No College
81 Connor, Kyle LW6-118212/09/19962Michigan
9 Copp, Andrew C6-120607/08/19944Michigan
27 Ehlers, Nikolaj LW6-017202/13/19963No College
37 Hellebuyck, Connor G6-420705/19/19933Massachusetts Lowell
29 Laine, Patrik RW6-420604/19/19982No College
48 Lemieux, Brendan LW6-121003/15/19961No College
18 Little, Bryan C6-019111/12/198711No College
17 Lowry, Adam C6-521003/29/19934No College
44 Morrissey, Josh D6-019503/28/19953No College
70 Morrow, Joe D6-019912/09/19924No College
57 Myers, Tyler D6-822902/01/19909No College
83 Niku, Sami D6-017610/10/19961No College
85 Perreault, Mathieu C5-1018801/05/19889No College
19 Petan, Nic C5-917903/22/19953No College
28 Roslovic, Jack C6-118201/29/19972Miami (Ohio)
55 Scheifele, Mark C6-320703/15/19937No College
13 Tanev, Brandon LW6-017012/31/19913Providence
8 Trouba, Jacob D6-320202/26/19945Michigan
93 Vesalainen, Kristian LW6-420906/01/19990No College
26 Wheeler, Blake RW6-522508/31/198610Minnesota