headshot
Sebastian
Aho
College None
Team Carolina Hurricanes
20C
6'0"Height
176Weight
21Age
0Exp
Sebastian Aho's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Sebastian Aho is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 18 FD pts (#7 among centers). At $7200 he is expected to be the #14 center. Based on 3/19 salaries and projected points per dollar, Aho is worth $9K. Sean Monahan (8.2 FP), Tyler Seguin (18 FP), Dylan Larkin (15.7 FP), Aleksander Barkov (16.6 FP), and Sean Couturier (16.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Aho but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 14.4 FPs, a value reached in 38 of 71 games (54%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

  • 3/19 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: CAR 3.4 (#2 Most Today) vs PIT 3.1 (#7 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 17.99 Fantasy Points (#7), 1.17 points (#6), 0.47 goals (#7), 0.7 assists (#6), 3.59 shots on goal (#4), 0.4 PIM (#26 most), 0.39 blocked shots (#62)

Aho is in the SportsLine FanDuel optimal lineup based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He is not in the DraftKings optimal lineup but Matt Duchene is.

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Sebastian Aho is underrated on DraftKings with a projected 4.9 DK pts (#8 among centers). At $7000 he is expected to be the #11 center. Based on the projection, Aho is worth $7.7K. He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Dylan Larkin (4.3 FP), Aleksander Barkov (4.5 FP), and Sean Couturier (4.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.4 FPs, a value reached in 36 of 71 games (51%). The combined 'cover percentage' for center priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among centers for the rest of week 25 is #3, which is better than his market rank of #8. When compared to other centers in week 26 instead of Aho consider these better options at lower start percentages: Patrice Bergeron (13.6 FP), Jack Eichel (13.5 FP), Matt Duchene (12.6 FP), and Aleksander Barkov (12.1 FP). He is projected for more points than 3 other centers starting in more leagues: Nathan MacKinnon (6.9 FP), John Tavares (11.1 FP), and Sidney Crosby (10.9 FP). Starting in 94% of leagues he is expected to produce 11.6 fantasy points (WK 26). Week 26 market expectations match his projection. He is expected to be the #6 center (projected to be #7).

He is projected for 11.31 fantasy points in week 26 (#7 C) in 4 games.


  • Based on 3/19 start percentages, Sebastian Aho is valued behind Tkachuk and above Marner but the projections rank Marner over Sebastian Aho in week 26.
  • Sebastian Aho last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Sebastian Aho is projected to be the #8 rated player of 13 centers who are owned in 100% of leagues. If you sort these 13 players based on their actual fantasy production and then by their current start percentage, he is the #8 rated player. He is fairly rated as a bottom half, but still 100% owned center. He is projected for 34 fantasy points in 11 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#14) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Sebastian Aho behind Tavares and above Scheifele and the projections agree.

    His projected shooting percentage is lower than you would like.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    Sebastian Aho was the number #7 ranked center and the #41 ranked skater overall. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (71). Based on average fantasy points he is the #9 center. He showed an upward trajectory as the season went on. He averaged 2.9 FPs in his first 23 games and 3.3 FP in his final 24 games. Given his youth, he should be able to continue showing improvement next season. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.24 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 3.2 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 16 fantasy points.

    SportsLine has the best NHL picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NBA, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

    UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

    As a young player he has improved year-to-year. His three season trend show an increase of 88% in fantasy points per game.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 9.5 fantasy points per week and had 12 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 9 weeks where he was +20% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 15.1 FD points and 4.1 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 1.6 fantasy points. He did not have a high ceiling (less than +50% over average). On Draftkings it was 6 and on FanDuel it was 24.8 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018CAR713048780-0370493521
    2017CAR782936650-08407894
    2016CAR822425490-06401718
    Career (3 Seasons)231831091922817150588633
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018CAR21713.820:021738222.3776.43240012
    2017CAR20014.517:551731208.672.80240012
    2016CAR21411.216:461814181:5117:54260013
    Career (3 Seasons)63113.218:095283612:5397:08740037
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in October12413171110203112.9235:422722001
    Games in November13369-70010368.3238:053028004
    Games in December138513412004916.3273:113376003
    Games in January1271118611103221.9241:173040000
    Games in February1331013100010407.5276:173276003
    Games in March8538101202917.2157:581962001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won3921345541237011518.3757:1897216008
    Games Lost3291423-1611001028.8665:127668004
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games3419254420244010617.9668:338018004
    Road Games37112334510301119.9753:5793716008
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break5022355714334014814.9988:15121516008
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Amalie Arena2011000006041:58500000
    American Airlines Center1011000002020:13260000
    BB&T Center211230010714.343:02554002
    Barclays Center1000-100001019:03200000
    Bell Centre2101-1000052037:17510000
    Bell MTS Place1011000002020:29200000
    Bridgestone Arena111220000333.322:26250000
    Canadian Tire Centre2033200005039:18500000
    Capital One Arena110100000333.321:23272001
    Enterprise Center1000-200002018:27220000
    Gila River Arena1000-100004020:26262001
    Honda Center11012000052021:07302001
    KeyBank Center1022-200004022:56290000
    Little Caesars Arena1011000001016:15250000
    Madison Square Garden2000000004038:26470000
    NYCB Live1000000003020:23240000
    Nationwide Arena2112-1001052035:41432001
    PNC Arena3419254420244010617.9668:338018004
    PPG Paints Arena1000100001021:55260000
    Pepsi Center1000000005019:09252001
    Prudential Center2011000007047:17520000
    Rogers Arena1022100004023:01290000
    Rogers Place1033200003020:35310000
    SAP Center at San Jose1000-100006018:11230000
    STAPLES Center1000-100003024:32290000
    Scotiabank Saddledome1101-20000333.321:27280000
    T-Mobile Arena1000-100003020:35222001
    TD Garden120200000728.621:24280000
    United Center1011000001015:53220000
    Wells Fargo Center1022200001020:23280000
    Xcel Energy Center12243101054020:45240000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break21813211101306911.6434:155238004
    vs Anaheim Ducks211210000119.142:43572001
    vs Arizona Coyotes210100000714.338:57474002
    vs Boston Bruins343740100162563:33750000
    vs Buffalo Sabres323540010728.666:15810000
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets4325000101127.372:38852001
    vs Calgary Flames2213-10000633.345:06530000
    vs Chicago Blackhawks212310010616.732:19450000
    vs Colorado Avalanche2011100007039:20462001
    vs Dallas Stars2022100006039:42490000
    vs Detroit Red Wings3033-100007054:58752001
    vs Edmonton Oilers2055300008040:19592001
    vs Florida Panthers312320010714.360:41794002
    vs Los Angeles Kings21010001052039:11480000
    vs Minnesota Wild12243101054020:45240000
    vs Montreal Canadiens2101-1000052037:17510000
    vs New Jersey Devils3011000008065:10762001
    vs Nashville Predators242621100944.440:42490000
    vs New York Islanders40221000012083:09890000
    vs New York Rangers4011100008084:37910000
    vs Ottawa Senators3033100008056:57720000
    vs Philadelphia Flyers2022200003039:47520000
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins2000100002042:22520000
    vs San Jose Sharks2011000007038:05510000
    vs St. Louis Blues211210110714.335:48450000
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning2011000006041:58500000
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs2112-10000714.338:03490000
    vs Vancouver Canucks213420000616.741:10490000
    vs Washington Capitals232511100933.345:16542001
    vs Winnipeg Jets2011-500003035:36410000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights210120000812.540:06442001
    vs Western Conference Tms2915223711224010114.9569:4970712006
    vs Own Division2161016611105311.3432:594996003
    vs Eastern Conference Tms4215264114123011612.9852:41103112006
    All-Star Games2213-2000054012:04120000
    Outside Own Division5024386219236016414.6989:31123918009
    Overall7130487825347021713.81422:301738240012
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    10/04vsL2-101110040.000021:503:980:47
    10/05@W3-111210020.500215:250:950:08
    10/07vsW8-501110020.000019:773:701:00
    10/09vsW5-311210020.500018:152:200:15
    10/13@W5-422431050.400020:756:500:00
    10/14@L3-101100020.000020:482:030:27
    10/16@L4-201110040.000020:204:330:00
    10/20vsL3-101110020.000020:183:900:70
    10/22@W3-101100010.000016:252:251:83
    10/26vsW4-301110010.000019:901:830:00
    10/28vsL2-101110040.000022:223:880:78
    10/30vsL3-201100020.000021:053:720:23
    NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    11/02@L4-3000-10040.000220:436:820:32
    11/03@L3-0000-10030.000220:583:621:05
    11/06@L4-1000-20020.000018:455:321:07
    11/08@W4-301100010.000015:880:000:00
    11/10vsL4-302200030.000218:054:000:00
    11/12vsW3-211210050.200016:430:480:00
    11/17vsL4-110100040.250018:073:280:62
    11/18vsW2-100000010.000217:882:330:07
    11/21vsW5-210100040.250018:080:780:67
    11/23vsW4-1011-10000.000017:653:330:47
    11/24@L4-1000-10010.000019:051:530:00
    11/27@W2-1000-10020.000015:921:350:42
    11/30vsL2-1011-10060.000021:606:270:25
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/02@L2-0000-10030.000024:533:600:98
    12/05@L5-1000-10060.000018:181:700:28
    12/07@W4-110120050.200221:123:922:50
    12/11vsL4-1011-10030.000019:975:850:80
    12/13@L6-410100030.333021:371:253:97
    12/14vsL6-522411160.333023:886:120:23
    12/16vsW3-010110030.333218:524:000:00
    12/20vsL4-1000-10030.000020:671:820:00
    12/22vsL3-000000010.000020:455:430:83
    12/23vsW5-322440170.286021:103:271:75
    12/27@L3-110100030.333221:384:470:92
    12/29@L2-000000040.000022:625:321:60
    12/31vsW3-100000020.000019:401:931:28
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/03@W5-302220010.000020:383:021:72
    01/04vsW4-211210020.500018:882:730:88
    01/06@W5-402210010.000019:471:583:70
    01/08@W4-300000030.000020:382:152:23
    01/10@L3-1000-10020.000021:772:682:53
    01/11vsW4-320240021.000021:702:752:13
    01/13vsW6-331401160.500018:273:703:77
    01/15@L6-2000-10020.000017:732:620:57
    01/18vsL4-1000-10030.000017:652:350:63
    01/20@W7-403320030.000020:580:000:90
    01/22@L3-2101-20030.333021:451:322:50
    01/23@W5-202210040.000023:025:620:50
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/01vsW5-210130050.200019:524:271:45
    02/03vsL4-311210030.333023:653:732:05
    02/05@W4-000010010.000021:922:771:40
    02/07@W6-5022-20040.000022:932:401:20
    02/08@W3-000010020.000020:702:131:90
    02/10@L3-201100030.000024:676:402:67
    02/12@W4-101110040.000019:833:050:97
    02/15vsW3-102210050.000219:732:681:63
    02/16vsW3-001110040.000019:481:150:93
    02/19vsL2-100000020.000026:422:922:98
    02/21@W4-301120030.000422:577:681:55
    02/23@W3-001100020.000020:224:221:90
    02/26vsW6-110110020.500014:651:030:00
    MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    03/01vsW5-211230150.200017:352:921:50
    03/02@W4-310110040.250020:470:001:25
    03/05@L4-320200070.286021:404:600:00
    03/08vsL8-1000-50010.000015:123:030:57
    03/09@W5-311220030.333022:436:051:92
    03/11@W3-000000050.000219:150:980:98
    03/15@L3-0000-20030.000020:431:870:88
    03/16vsW4-201120010.000021:620:901:05