headshot
Nicklas
Backstrom
College None
Team Washington Capitals
19C
6'1"Height
210Weight
31Age
0Exp
Nicklas Backstrom's Fantasy Scouting Report

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Ranking by ownership percentage (98%), Nicklas Backstrom is expected to be the #18 center for the rest of the season. Based on the latest projections the market is overrating Backstrom. His projection based center rank is #29. Owners should not be surprised if they find themselves benching Backstrom more than they thought. Ryan O'Reilly has virtually the same market rank (98% Owned) and is projected for more points than Backstrom. He is projected for 22 fantasy points in 8 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #22 highest average. The market ranks Nicklas Backstrom behind O'Reilly and above Hertl but the projections rank Hertl over Nicklas Backstrom.

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He has a relatively high shooting percentage.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among centers for the rest of week 25 is #18. When compared to other centers in week 26 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: David Krejci (8.4 FP), Jack Eichel (14.2 FP), Mikael Backlund (10.1 FP), Sean Monahan (14.3 FP), and Jonathan Toews (8.4 FP). He is projected for more points than 3 other centers starting in more leagues: Nathan MacKinnon (7.1 FP), Steven Stamkos (7.1 FP), and Brayden Point (6.8 FP). Starting in 84% of leagues he is expected to produce 10.3 fantasy points (WK 26). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #15 center of the week, but he is projected to be the #33 center. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 2.9 short of expectations.

He is projected for 7.38 fantasy points in week 26 (#33 C) in 3 games.


  • Based on 3/21 start percentages, Nicklas Backstrom is valued behind Dadonov and above Couturier but the projections rank Couturier over Nicklas Backstrom in week 26.
  • Nicklas Backstrom last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Backstrom is not in the 3/21 DFS player pool, but one player who is in the Sportsline FanDuel optimal lineup is Pierre-Luc Dubois, and Anze Kopitar is in the DraftKings optimal lineup.

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 3/20 VS TB

    • 23 TOI, 0 G, 1 A, 3 SOG, 1 BS
    • FanDuel: $6600, 14.4 FPs (-$307 value, -0.7 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $5800, 4 FPs (-$141 value, -0.1 FPs)

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    Nicklas Backstrom was not a fantasy star but was worth starting most weeks. He was the number #21 ranked center and the #88 ranked skater overall. His ranking drops slightly if you base things on average fantasy points where he is the #26 center. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 3.1 FPs in his first 24 games and 1.8 FP in his final 25 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.4 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Backstrom when he 'goes off' is 16 fantasy points (his average is 2.4FPs).

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    CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

    His FP average has dropped by -14 percent from two seasons ago.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 7 fantasy points per week and had 11 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 9 weeks where he was +20% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 13.1 FD points and 3.5 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. His DraftKings ceiling was 5 fantasy points and 24.2 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018WAS731851690-0740639668
    2017WAS812150710-0740702669
    2016WAS822363860-0850685648
    2015WAS752050700-0340659698
    2014WAS821860780-0330862747
    2013WAS821861790-0610714701
    2012WAS48840480-0310432408
    2011WAS421430440-0340353338
    2010WAS771847650-0420690625
    2009WAS8233681010-01140667669
    2008WAS822266880-01410570601
    2007WAS821455690-0340405468
    Career (12 Seasons)8882276418681227237073787240
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018WAS15811.419:591610274.4271.88260013
    2017WAS16512.719:391811284.8374.10460118
    2016WAS16214.218:151842251:0156:56380019
    2015WAS12915.519:101743230:2067:17360018
    2014WAS15311.820:311996254:0379:03400019
    2013WAS1969.219:471911301:0679:32540027
    2012WAS829.819:531118171:1573:19200010
    2011WAS9514.719:08950140:1042:15240012
    2010WAS2028.920:351823255:58111:11400018
    2009WAS22214.920:261763297:4088:53500120
    2008WAS17412.619:561734317:0571:28460023
    2007WAS1539.219:001637332:2420:44240012
    Career (12 Seasons)189112.019:43199383110:17836:3744402209
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in October1021113320101612.5204:052364002
    Games in November1571219820204017.5308:313386003
    Games in December131111230000205261:042792001
    Games in January11347-420102711.1208:442356003
    Games in February14279-70000375.4281:033104002
    Games in March10369110001816.7195:432124002
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won421239512240408114.8830:2392414007
    Games Lost3161218-183000777.8628:4768612006
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games35122840740208114.8727:0178812006
    Road Games3862329-33020777.8732:0982214007
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break4913385110604010312.6982:24108818009
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Amalie Arena1000-300002022:32190000
    American Airlines Center1000-100003021:48260000
    Barclays Center1033100000019:00200000
    Bell Centre210100000714.340:40490000
    Bell MTS Place1000000005021:41230000
    Bridgestone Arena1101-31000616.717:02180000
    Canadian Tire Centre2022100003037:44410000
    Capital One Arena35122840740208114.8727:0178812006
    Enterprise Center1000-100000017:30180000
    Gila River Arena1011200000018:01200000
    Honda Center1000000005018:44200000
    KeyBank Center1000-300004016:23202001
    Little Caesars Arena1000000001020:49210000
    Madison Square Garden2000-100003041:54430000
    NYCB Live1011200002018:19220000
    Nationwide Arena2000000004037:38370000
    PNC Arena1011-100000018:35260000
    PPG Paints Arena2033300006038:56492001
    Pepsi Center11120101025020:59232001
    Prudential Center2011000001034:58390000
    Rogers Arena1033200003019:38212001
    Rogers Place1000-200000018:27230000
    SAP Center at San Jose1022300001020:07190000
    STAPLES Center1011-200002017:32240000
    Scotiabank Arena211211000812.538:13450000
    Scotiabank Saddledome1000-100000022:12272001
    T-Mobile Arena1000-200001023:32250000
    TD Garden110120010110016:32210000
    United Center1011100002020:06242001
    Wells Fargo Center2112-10000333.336:11402001
    Xcel Energy Center1011000002016:26190000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break2451318-61000559.1476:465228004
    vs Anaheim Ducks210100000911.141:25440000
    vs Arizona Coyotes211230000333.339:08412001
    vs Boston Bruins31343001025056:49670000
    vs Buffalo Sabres3011-200005057:13602001
    vs Carolina Hurricanes2022-100005038:42472001
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets40111000011077:21812001
    vs Calgary Flames2011-200004044:36514002
    vs Chicago Blackhawks2022100004042:04482001
    vs Colorado Avalanche2112-21010714.345:11482001
    vs Dallas Stars211200000616.742:02490000
    vs Detroit Red Wings3055300008060:20610000
    vs Edmonton Oilers2011-100002038:40482001
    vs Florida Panthers2101-2100025044:24510000
    vs Los Angeles Kings2011-200002037:24440000
    vs Minnesota Wild1011000002016:26190000
    vs Montreal Canadiens210100000714.340:40490000
    vs New Jersey Devils442642010104075:24830000
    vs Nashville Predators2112-51000911.136:19390000
    vs New York Islanders3044200003055:38602001
    vs New York Rangers4224000001118.288:01970000
    vs Ottawa Senators3044300004054:21590000
    vs Philadelphia Flyers2112-10000333.336:11402001
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins4044300006085:44972001
    vs San Jose Sharks2044100002040:26450000
    vs St. Louis Blues2000-200003035:29370000
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning2011-300005046:00430000
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs312311000911.158:42660000
    vs Vancouver Canucks2044100006038:39422001
    vs Winnipeg Jets210120000616.741:29450000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights2112-1101025044:22490000
    vs Western Conference Tms2971926-730206710.4583:4064914007
    vs Own Division2371623820104914.3457:0150510005
    vs Eastern Conference Tms441132431140209112.1875:3096112006
    Outside Own Division50113546-4503010910.11002:09110516008
    Overall731851694704015811.41459:101610260013
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    10/03vsW7-003310000.000017:203:950:32
    10/04@L7-601120040.000018:783:031:95
    10/10vsW5-211211011.000020:835:101:25
    10/11@L6-0000-10010.000020:354:320:67
    10/13vsL4-201100010.000020:483:251:03
    10/17vsW4-302210040.000023:576:531:43
    10/19vsL6-510101020.500022:583:784:28
    10/22@W5-203320030.000219:634:401:05
    10/25@L4-1000-20000.000018:450:781:23
    10/27@W4-3000-10000.000222:202:301:67
    NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    11/01@L6-4000-10030.000019:531:180:85
    11/03vsL4-311210030.333020:234:680:63
    11/05vsW4-201110020.000220:222:551:73
    11/07vsW2-101100000.000023:588:670:83
    11/09vsL2-101100020.000020:086:681:80
    11/11vsL4-110110030.333221:122:951:50
    11/13@W5-201100020.000016:433:130:73
    11/14@L3-100000050.000021:684:200:82
    11/16@W3-211201020.500220:984:450:65
    11/19@W5-410110040.250021:132:502:35
    11/21vsW4-201100020.000021:973:720:35
    11/23vsW3-101100050.000020:875:070:23
    11/24@W5-300000020.000019:882:570:42
    11/26@W4-103310000.000019:002:280:15
    11/30vsW6-331441050.600021:804:571:88
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/02vsL6-510100040.250022:686:200:00
    12/04@L5-3000-20010.000023:537:552:05
    12/06@W4-201120000.000018:021:050:42
    12/08@W4-000010010.000018:424:080:00
    12/11vsW6-204430020.000018:652:080:00
    12/14@W6-5011-10000.000018:581:651:43
    12/15vsW4-301110000.000022:306:130:00
    12/19vsL2-100000000.000023:226:820:20
    12/21vsW2-100000010.000018:535:820:98
    12/22@W4-001110010.000019:183:530:00
    12/27vsW3-101100050.000220:124:980:82
    12/29@W3-201100020.000018:550:000:00
    12/31vsL6-3011-20030.000019:282:001:07
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/03@L5-2000-10000.000017:503:421:27
    01/04@L2-1000-10030.000021:804:731:38
    01/06@W3-200000010.000020:826:330:85
    01/10@W4-210120011.000016:532:931:93
    01/12vsL2-100010050.000219:632:830:13
    01/14vsL4-1000-10030.000017:983:550:67
    01/15@L7-2101-31060.167017:032:900:85
    01/18vsL2-0000-10010.000218:322:730:30
    01/20@L8-501110020.000220:102:970:00
    01/22vsL7-6022-20010.000020:322:781:30
    01/23@L6-311211040.250018:701:420:00
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/01vsW4-3011-10040.000222:405:870:73
    02/03vsL1-000000010.000023:082:981:45
    02/05vsW3-2011-10030.000019:021:401:72
    02/07vsW4-3000-20050.000024:209:601:93
    02/09vsL5-4000-20000.000021:820:874:08
    02/11vsW6-400000000.000019:874:850:33
    02/12@L3-0000-10030.000019:221:470:60
    02/14@W5-102230010.000020:124:320:00
    02/17@L5-200000050.000018:733:801:37
    02/18@W3-2011-20020.000017:531:431:73
    02/21@W3-200000040.000019:523:331:00
    02/23@L5-2000-30040.000216:382:271:93
    02/24vsW6-520200040.500022:554:101:25
    02/26vsW7-202220010.000016:620:630:00
    MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    03/01@W3-101120020.000018:321:350:13
    03/03@W3-2000-10010.000022:026:470:55
    03/06@W5-3112-10020.500019:173:780:00
    03/08vsW3-010101040.250018:636:331:45
    03/10vsW3-110120011.000019:802:473:67
    03/12@L5-302210020.000220:152:020:58
    03/14@W5-200000010.000217:023:400:00
    03/16@L6-3000-30020.000022:536:331:90
    03/19@W4-101110000.000014:621:280:00
    03/20vsL5-401100030.000023:478:920:00