DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Boyd is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 2.6 FD pts (#49 among wings). He is the #43 highest priced wing ($3000). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $1.3K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). There are 7 other options at $3000 (Zac Rinaldo, Dmitrij Jaskin, Brian Boyle, Robby Fabbri, Tyler Pitlick, Devante Smith-Pelly, Zachary Sanford) and Boyd is ranked #7 among the 8. He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Valeri Nichushkin (2 FP), Chandler Stephenson (1.9 FP), and Joel L'Esperance (1.8 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 5.7 FPs, a value reached in 19 of 54 games (35%). The combined 'cover percentage' for wings priced at $4.0K and above is 45%.

• 4/20 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: WAS 2.9 (#2 Most Today) vs CAR 2.6 (#4 Most)
• PROJECTION (POS RANK): 2.56 Fantasy Points (#51), 0.19 points (#47), 0.05 goals (#51), 0.14 assists (#40), 0.3 shots on goal (#60), 0.1 PIM (#54 most), 0.23 blocked shots (#51)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Boyd is overrated on DraftKings with a projected 0.7 DK pts (#23 among right wings). At $2500 he is expected to be the #21 right wing. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Boyd is worth $1.1K. There are 2 other options at $2500 (Devante Smith-Pelly, Jack Roslovic) and Boyd is ranked #3 among the 3. Based on salary, he is expected to have 1.6 FPs, a value reached in 19 of 54 games (35%). The combined 'cover percentage' for right wing priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

Boyd is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

He is the #506 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #194 wing. His value would have been higher if he had played more games. Based on average fantasy points he is the #182 wing. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 1.7 FPs in his first 17 games and 0.8 FP in his final 18 games. He is still relatively young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. Our projected ceiling for Boyd when he 'goes off' is 7 fantasy points (his average is 1FPs).

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WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 2.5 fantasy points per week and had 11 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 7 weeks where he was +20% above average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 4.4 points and on DraftKings it was 1.2 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 2.5 and 10.1 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.