DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 6.8 FanDuel pts Matt Calvert is the #22 ranked wing. At $3300 he is expected to be the #28 wing. Based on the projection, Calvert is worth $3.5K. Matt Nieto (6.2 FP), Sven Andrighetto (6.2 FP), Connor Brown (5.7 FP), Austin Czarnik (3.2 FP), and Andrew Mangiapane (6.2 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Calvert but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 6.5 FPs, a value reached in 29 of 86 games (34%). The combined 'cover percentage' for wings priced at $4.0K and above is 43%.

• 4/19 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: COL 2.7 (#4 Most Today) @ CGY 3.3 (#1 Most)
• PROJECTION (POS RANK): 6.83 Fantasy Points (#23), 0.33 points (#25), 0.14 goals (#25), 0.19 assists (#26), 1.61 shots on goal (#22), 0.7 PIM (#6 most), 0.62 blocked shots (#5)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 1.9 DraftKings pts Matt Calvert is the #10 ranked right wing. He is the #11 highest priced right wing ($2800). Based on the projection, Calvert is worth $3K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 1.8 FPs, a value reached in 35 of 86 games (41%). The combined 'cover percentage' for right wing priced at $4.0K and above is 44%.

Calvert is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

He is the #433 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #159 wing. His wing ranking drops to #217 when basing it on average fantasy points. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 27 games he averaged 1.1 fantasy points which was higher than his start (0.8 FP) and his ending average (0.5 FP). His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. Our projected ceiling for Calvert when he 'goes off' is 8 fantasy points (his average is 0.8FPs).

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

Based on his fantasy point average, he is on a downward trend. His average fantasy points decreased by 11% this season.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 2.5 fantasy points per week and had 15 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 10 weeks where he was +20% above average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 7.1 points and on DraftKings it was 2 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 4 and 15.7 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.