headshot
John
Carlson
College None
Team Washington Capitals
74D
6'3"Height
218Weight
29Age
0Exp
John Carlson's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Based on a projected 15.8 FanDuel points, Carlson is fairly ranked. He is the #1 highest priced defenseman ($6700). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Carlson is worth $8.2K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 12.9 FPs, a value reached in 42 of 84 games (50%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 45%.

  • 4/20 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: WAS 2.9 (#2 Most Today) vs CAR 2.6 (#4 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 15.82 Fantasy Points (#1), 0.9 points (#1), 0.18 goals (#3), 0.72 assists (#1), 2.38 shots on goal (#8), 0.4 PIM (#20 most), 2.32 blocked shots (#2)

Carlson is in the SportsLine FanDuel optimal lineup based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He is not in the DraftKings optimal lineup but Jaccob Slavin is.

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Based on a projected 4.3 DraftKings points Carlson is fairly ranked. At $6400 he is expected to be the #1 defenseman. Based on 4/20 salaries and projected points per dollar, Carlson is worth $6.9K. Based on salary, he is expected to have 4 FPs, a value reached in 42 of 84 games (50%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

John Carlson is the number #4 ranked defender and the #32 ranked skater overall. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (80). Based on average fantasy points he is the #7 defender. His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 26 games he averaged 4.3 FPs and that declined to 3 in his final 27 games. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Carlson can be considered a consistent fantasy player. He averaged 3.3 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 13 fantasy points.

SportsLine has the best NHL picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NBA, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

Based on his fantasy point average, he is on a clear upward swing. His average Fantasy points have increased by 65% over this time frame.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 27 fantasy weeks, he was +20% above his weekly average of 9.9 FPs in 10 of them. He had 10 bad weeks where he was 20% below average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 15.1 points and on DraftKings it was 4.2 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 1.6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 6.5 and 26.4 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
2018WAS801357700-031000
2017WAS821553680-044001
2016WAS72928370-033000
2015WAS56831390-024000
2014WAS821243550-033000
2013WAS821027370-050001
2012WAS48616220-000010
2011WAS82923320-040001
2010WAS82730370-013000
2009WAS221560-000000
Career (10 Seasons)68890313403802518013
YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
2018WAS1857.025:032041326.42206.22340112
2017WAS2376.324:462164303.72215.48320016
2016WAS1805.022:421916190:25214:2310005
2015WAS1246.523:411591184:53122:0814007
2014WAS1936.223:032343142:32242:34280014
2013WAS2084.824:302182257:56307:03220010
2012WAS976.223:011243107:09138:4118009
2011WAS1525.921:512234117:30202:11220011
2010WAS1444.922:382125181:13190:48440117
2009WAS214.815:133981:206:428004
Career (10 Seasons)15415.823:14182371813:061846:1223202105
2018-19 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games in October105914310002321.7260:042836003
Games in November1401313110000340353:533632001
Games in December131101170000313.2326:363342001
Games in January12279-40000258300:2930016013
Games in February142810-21010336.1351:053546003
Games in March15391281000339.1366:493592001
Games in April2011-200006046:15480000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games Won48643494420101075.61189:53120312006
Games Lost3271421-231000789815:1883822016
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Home Games3962834182010896.7998:199962001
Road Games417293631000967.31006:521045320111
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Before All-Star Break49839471710001137.11241:02128026018
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Amalie Arena213410000911.151:51440000
American Airlines Center1000000001027:52290000
BB&T Center1011-200002022:29230000
Barclays Center1011100001023:47220000
Bell Centre2022-400004050:03560000
Bell MTS Place1000-100000028:25260000
Bridgestone Arena1011-200000018:351914012
Canadian Tire Centre2000200002049:27492001
Capital One Arena3962834182010896.7998:199962001
Enterprise Center1011100002023:24240000
Gila River Arena1000100007024:27250000
Honda Center111200000333.322:05220000
KeyBank Center1000-200001025:03260000
Little Caesars Arena1000000005025:50240000
Madison Square Garden2033300006050:42520000
NYCB Live1000200000023:20262001
Nationwide Arena2011000005043:08462001
PNC Arena2033100005050:12560000
PPG Paints Arena22131100082553:34600000
Pepsi Center1011000004024:03280000
Prudential Center2000100002047:04474002
Rogers Arena112310000110026:06272001
Rogers Place1011-200004021:04270000
SAP Center at San Jose1011100001022:41240000
STAPLES Center1022-100003023:46232001
Scotiabank Arena2022-300007051:33532001
Scotiabank Saddledome1000-100000027:24300000
T-Mobile Arena1000-200003026:39300000
TD Garden1000300000026:55270000
United Center1202-1000045025:50250000
Wells Fargo Center2022200003045:58520000
Xcel Energy Center1000300003023:35232001
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
After All-Star Break315182342010726.9764:097618004
vs Anaheim Ducks21341000052047:21470000
vs Arizona Coyotes20000000012050:11510000
vs Boston Bruins311241000616.775:04800000
vs Buffalo Sabres3000000006078:01740000
vs Carolina Hurricanes425720000922.297:051030000
vs Columbus Blue Jackets3022000009071:02752001
vs Calgary Flames2011-100003055:01540000
vs Chicago Blackhawks22131000054047:46490000
vs Colorado Avalanche2022-200007052:44540000
vs Dallas Stars2000-100002054:46580000
vs Detroit Red Wings3022200007074:47740000
vs Edmonton Oilers2033000009045:49520000
vs Florida Panthers3112-10000616.780:44840000
vs Los Angeles Kings2022-100004049:45462001
vs Minnesota Wild2000300007048:25442001
vs Montreal Canadiens3022-400008073:49810000
vs New Jersey Devils4022700005096:12954002
vs Nashville Predators2022-300000042:414714012
vs New York Islanders3011100002071:23722001
vs New York Rangers416730000175.9105:201100000
vs Ottawa Senators310141010333.369:28712001
vs Philadelphia Flyers4044200004095:25990000
vs Pittsburgh Penguins4235210001315.4110:531120000
vs San Jose Sharks2022100004049:13512001
vs St. Louis Blues2011000003047:35460000
vs Tampa Bay Lightning314510000137.781:19700000
vs Toronto Maple Leafs3022-200009077:21822001
vs Vancouver Canucks21233000042551:25532001
vs Winnipeg Jets2011000000052:02490000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
vs Vegas Golden Knights2022-100003052:34580000
vs Western Conference Tms304222600000685.9747:1875922016
vs Own Division2652328171000598.5647:206668004
vs Eastern Conference Tms50935442130101177.71257:53128212006
All-Star Games2011-200002012:09120000
Outside Own Division5483442420101266.31357:51137526018
Overall8013577021301018572005:112041340112
2018 Game Log
OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
10/03vsW7-011211020.500024:105:331:53
10/04@L7-611230040.250028:033:424:65
10/10vsW5-202210000.000025:925:723:00
10/11@L6-0000-10010.000426:155:151:37
10/13vsL4-200010020.000025:803:852:03
10/17vsW4-312300050.200026:036:521:82
10/19vsL6-510100040.250029:473:784:03
10/22@W5-212310011.000226:105:130:83
10/25@L4-1011-20040.000021:070:782:90
10/27@W4-3000-10000.000027:402:301:32
NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
11/01@L6-4000-40020.000024:071:551:78
11/03vsL4-3000-10010.000026:904:682:05
11/05vsW4-202220050.000024:752:604:42
11/07vsW2-102210020.000028:288:881:80
11/11vsL4-1000-10050.000025:732:952:35
11/13@W5-200030030.000223:583:106:07
11/14@L3-1000-10000.000028:425:322:75
11/16@W3-201100040.000024:054:452:75
11/19@W5-402200020.000025:982:503:55
11/21vsW4-201120010.000021:933:351:35
11/23vsW3-100010020.000026:535:103:03
11/24@W5-303340040.000024:672:921:87
11/26@W4-101110010.000023:782:284:68
11/30vsW6-301140020.000025:204:186:63
DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
12/02vsL6-502210020.000025:276:200:67
12/04@L5-3000-20030.000026:658:785:68
12/06@W4-200010070.000024:451:602:23
12/08@W4-001120040.000021:404:082:02
12/11vsW6-202210000.000022:422:080:77
12/14@W6-503310030.000025:781:655:07
12/15vsW4-300030020.000029:186:832:83
12/19vsL2-100000030.000029:037:873:13
12/21vsW2-1000-10030.000023:785:933:98
12/22@W4-000020020.000223:353:601:13
12/27vsW3-111200020.500025:085:873:62
12/29@W3-200000000.000026:100:000:90
12/31vsL6-3011-10000.000024:102:001:95
JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
01/03@L5-201110020.000023:403:473:55
01/04@L2-100000010.000027:874:733:05
01/06@W3-200000050.000025:836:331:88
01/08vsW5-302200000.000024:336:624:65
01/10@W4-200030000.000026:922:884:85
01/12vsL2-101100040.000027:902:831:22
01/14vsL4-1000-10010.000024:183:820:67
01/15@L7-2011-20000.0001418:583:100:73
01/18vsL2-0000-20010.000024:273:151:07
01/20@L8-5202-10040.500025:832:851:52
01/22vsL7-601100030.000226:532:784:45
01/23@L6-3011-20040.000024:831:970:73
FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
02/01vsW4-301100030.000027:626:832:83
02/03vsL1-000000040.000024:053:373:05
02/05vsW3-200020030.000025:321:400:88
02/07vsW4-3011-20030.000028:689:972:68
02/09vsL5-400010000.000028:781:304:63
02/11vsW6-400000010.000025:986:572:30
02/12@L3-0000-20010.000221:731:471:33
02/14@W5-101110010.000022:684:480:00
02/17@L5-211200030.333022:085:273:10
02/18@W3-2022-10030.000223:771:752:02
02/21@W3-2011-10030.000226:723:630:68
02/23@L5-2000-20010.000025:052:983:85
02/24vsW6-501100060.000028:605:324:45
02/26vsW7-210121011.000020:020:630:83
MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
03/01@W3-100020000.000223:332:001:73
03/03@W3-2000-10020.000026:037:121:38
03/06@W5-3011-10020.000020:903:781:30
03/08vsW3-001120010.000023:936:536:35
03/10vsW3-101110000.000023:622:475:20
03/12@L5-3101-21040.250025:532:823:07
03/14@W5-201130010.000025:074:354:62
03/16@L6-3112-10040.250027:207:034:27
03/19@W4-100020010.000020:921:282:18
03/20vsL5-401100040.000029:4710:701:93
03/22vsL2-100000040.000024:835:370:97
03/24vsW3-100000010.000025:123:703:38
03/26vsW4-111210020.500021:803:200:00
03/28@W3-200000020.000024:421:951:52
03/30@W6-302220050.000024:657:651:97
APRILSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
04/01@L5-3011-20020.000022:483:052:20
04/04vsW2-100000040.000023:771:570:58