headshot
Carl
Dahlstrom
College None
Team Chicago Blackhawks
63D
6'4"Height
231Weight
24Age
0Exp
Carl Dahlstrom's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 4.8 FanDuel pts Carl Dahlstrom is the #36 ranked defenseman. He is the #26 highest priced defenseman ($3500). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Dahlstrom is worth $2.3K. There are many other options (18) at $3500 and Dahlstrom is ranked #14 among the 19. He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Chris Tanev (3.8 FP), Mike Reilly (3.2 FP), and Derrick Pouliot (3.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 7.3 FPs, a value reached in 8 of 35 games (23%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

  • 3/24 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: CHI 3.3 (#3 Most Today) vs COL 3.2 (#4 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 4.78 Fantasy Points (#36), 0.17 points (#33), 0.17 assists (#29), 1.1 shots on goal (#28), 0.2 PIM (#29 most), 1.02 blocked shots (#37)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Based on a projected 1.4 DraftKings points Dahlstrom is fairly ranked. At $2500 he is expected to be the #35 defenseman. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Dahlstrom is worth $2.2K. There are many other options (8) at $2500 and Dahlstrom is ranked #6 among the 9. He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Ryan Murray (1.2 FP), Chris Tanev (1.1 FP), and Ashton Sautner (1.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 1.6 FPs, a value reached in 11 of 35 games (31%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 37%.

Dahlstrom is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other defensemen in week 26 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Luke Schenn (2.8 FP), Luke Witkowski (2.2 FP), Brian Lashoff (2.5 FP), Ashton Sautner (2 FP), and Justin Holl (3.9 FP). He is starting in no leagues and with a projected defenseman rank of #195 in week 26 it makes sense.

He is projected for 1.14 fantasy points in week 26 (#196 D) in 3 games.


  • Based on 3/24 start percentages, Carl Dahlstrom is valued behind Walker and above MacDonald and the projections agree for this week.
  • Carl Dahlstrom last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    As of 3/24, Carl Dahlstrom is the #209 ranked defenseman based on ownership percentage (under 1%) and season fantasy rankings. The projections have him 36 spots higher in the rankings. While there is value and likely a clear opportunity to acquire him via trade or waiver wire pick up it is probably not worth the roster spot at this time. He is projected for 3 fantasy points in 8 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#200) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Carl Dahlstrom behind Irwin and above Nelson but the projections rank these players in reverse order.

    He has a relatively high shooting percentage.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    He was the number #191 ranked defender and the #618 ranked skater overall. His value would have been higher if he had played more games. Based on average fantasy points he was the #183 defender. We split his 35 games into 3 segments (start, middle, and end). He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 12 games he averaged 1.1 fantasy points which was higher than his start (1 FP) and his ending average (0.3 FP). Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, Dahlstrom is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. He averaged 0.8 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 6 fantasy points.

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    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 2 fantasy points per week and had 7 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 4 weeks where he was +20% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 4.3 points and on DraftKings it was 1.3 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 2 and 8 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018CHI350660-000000
    2017CHI110330-000010
    Career (2 Seasons)46099600010
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018CHI400.018:308880.7263.206003
    2017CHI120.017:302700.2315.800000
    Career (2 Seasons)520.018:1511580:5779:006003
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in December902230000100178:202402001
    Games in January904410000100169:182400000
    Games in February1000010000120165:322334002
    Games in March70003000080134:291750000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won20033130000320386:395164002
    Games Lost15033-5000080261:003722001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games1804460000200342:464662001
    Road Games1702220000200304:534224002
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break1806640000200347:384802001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    American Airlines Center2000100006042:28580000
    Honda Center1000000000015:50220000
    KeyBank Center1000300003019:10270000
    Little Caesars Arena1000000000012:46180000
    Madison Square Garden1000000000015:58220000
    NYCB Live1000000000020:53330000
    Notre Dame Stadium1000100001015:26250000
    PPG Paints Arena1011100003021:49280000
    Pepsi Center3000100002052:44690000
    Prudential Center1011300001015:39220000
    Rogers Place1000000001014:26234002
    SAP Center at San Jose1000-200000016:08230000
    Scotiabank Arena1000-100002022:28270000
    TD Garden1000-300000017:12260000
    United Center1704450000190327:204412001
    Xcel Energy Center1000-100002017:22240000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break1700040000200300:014084002
    vs Anaheim Ducks1000000000015:50220000
    vs Arizona Coyotes1000400001020:13260000
    vs Boston Bruins2000-200001032:38510000
    vs Buffalo Sabres2000400004039:12550000
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets1000-100001014:34230000
    vs Calgary Flames1000000001019:59260000
    vs Colorado Avalanche3000100002052:44690000
    vs Dallas Stars2000100006042:28580000
    vs Detroit Red Wings2000100001032:47420000
    vs Edmonton Oilers1000000001014:26234002
    vs Florida Panthers1000-100001019:24250000
    vs Minnesota Wild2000000002037:13520000
    vs New Jersey Devils2011500002034:50460000
    vs Nashville Predators2011-100002040:06520000
    vs New York Islanders1000000000020:53330000
    vs New York Rangers1000000000015:58220000
    vs Ottawa Senators1000000003015:00220000
    vs Philadelphia Flyers1000000001018:36240000
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins2022300006044:23580000
    vs San Jose Sharks2000-200000034:41480000
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs1000-100002022:28270000
    vs Washington Capitals1011-100002022:35300000
    vs Winnipeg Jets1011100000017:47272001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights1000-300001018:54270000
    vs Western Conference Tms1702210000160314:214306003
    vs Own Division1002220000120190:182582001
    vs Eastern Conference Tms1804470000240333:184580000
    Outside Own Division2504460000280457:216304002
    Overall3506680000400647:398886003
    2018 Game Log
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/12vsW6-301120030.000022:570:001:33
    12/14vsL4-301110000.000217:780:001:65
    12/16vsL7-300000000.000018:550:001:40
    12/18vsW2-1000-10010.000022:020:002:10
    12/20@W5-200000030.000019:300:000:68
    12/21@W2-100010000.000018:930:003:78
    12/23vsL6-3000-10010.000019:400:001:88
    12/27vsW5-200010000.000019:850:132:38
    12/29@W3-200000020.000019:930:001:03
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/01vsL4-200010010.000015:430:003:32
    01/03@L3-200000000.000020:880:001:13
    01/06@W5-301110030.000021:820:002:43
    01/07vsL4-300000010.000019:980:033:47
    01/09vsL4-301100010.000018:080:003:58
    01/12vsL4-3000-30010.000018:900:002:15
    01/14@L8-501130010.000015:650:000:32
    01/17@L4-300000000.000015:970:001:00
    01/20vsW8-5011-10020.000022:580:002:47
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/01@W7-300030030.000019:170:131:93
    02/02@W4-3000-10020.000017:370:003:07
    02/05@W6-200000010.000414:430:350:15
    02/10vsW5-200010010.000020:020:001:32
    02/12@L6-3000-30000.000017:200:003:67
    02/14vsW5-200020010.000019:180:002:18
    02/16vsL5-2000-10010.000014:570:000:00
    02/18vsW8-700000030.000015:000:001:78
    02/20@W5-400000000.000012:770:000:98
    02/27@W4-300000000.000015:830:000:80
    MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    03/03@L5-2000-20000.000016:130:001:18
    03/07vsW5-400010010.000020:030:072:68
    03/09@W2-100010030.000023:170:000:00
    03/11vsW7-100040010.000020:220:002:15
    03/13@W5-4000-10020.000022:470:000:55
    03/21vsL3-100000010.000018:600:000:52
    03/23@L4-200000000.000013:870:004:12