headshot
Alex
DeBrincat
College None
Team Chicago Blackhawks
12LW
5'7"Height
165Weight
21Age
0Exp
Alex DeBrincat's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 13.3 FanDuel pts Alex DeBrincat is the #5 ranked wing. At $6700 he is expected to be the #6 wing. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, DeBrincat is worth $7K. Rickard Rakell is also priced at $6700, and DeBrincat is a better option at this price. Based on salary, he is expected to have 12.7 FPs, a value reached in 48 of 80 games (60%). The combined 'cover percentage' for wings priced at $4.0K and above is 43%.

  • 4/5 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: CHI 3 (#2 Most Today) vs DAL 3 (#4 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 13.26 Fantasy Points (#5), 0.83 points (#5), 0.47 goals (#3), 0.36 assists (#8), 2.51 shots on goal (#7), 0.2 PIM (#32 most), 0.31 blocked shots (#40)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Based on a projected 3.6 DraftKings points DeBrincat is fairly ranked. He is the #2 highest priced left wing ($6300). Based on the projection, DeBrincat is worth $6.1K. Artemi Panarin (4.4 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 3.7 FPs, a value reached in 42 of 80 games (52%). The combined 'cover percentage' for left wing priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.

DeBrincat is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Alex DeBrincat had a good fantasy season and was a 'second tier' fantasy star. He is the #75 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #20 wing. His solid ranking drops slightly if you base things on average fantasy points where he is the #21 wing. He was trending up for the season. In his first 26 games he averaged 2 FPs. He improved to 2.9 in his final 27 games. Given his youth, he should be able to continue showing improvement next season. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. Our projected ceiling for DeBrincat when he 'goes off' is 16 fantasy points (his average is 2.6FPs).

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His fantasy average improved by 53%.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 7.7 fantasy points per week and had 14 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 10 weeks where he was +20% above average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 15.1 FD points and 4.1 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 1.6 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 7.5 and on FanDuel it was 29.3 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
2018CHI824135760-013301619
2017CHI822824520-06102534
Career (2 Seasons)1646959128619404153
YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
2018CHI22018.617:421666267.829.2015105
2017CHI18115.514:481564167.1211.886003
Career (2 Seasons)40117.216:153230434:5621:0521108
2018-19 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games in October138614110104119.5231:312776003
Games in November13246-30000355.7227:252690000
Games in December158513-130003721.6257:052957101
Games in January107310-240003420.6173:532030000
Games in February13111021440003729.7233:372632001
Games in March145510010202817.9257:282790000
Games in April4022100008070:25800000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games Won362524492270309626610:227148004
Games Lost46161127-22600012412.9841:029527101
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Home Games411819374701012015725:258246003
Road Games41231639-4602010023725:598429102
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Before All-Star Break51251843-5801014717889:54104413104
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Amalie Arena1011100002016:13200000
American Airlines Center22242001045034:02410000
BB&T Center110110000110015:49210000
Bell Centre1022200001013:45170000
Bell MTS Place2112-20000714.335:15410000
Bridgestone Arena2011-400002032:28395100
Canadian Tire Centre11012000042518:17250000
Capital One Arena1000000002020:06190000
Enterprise Center2022-300007031:00400000
Gila River Arena1000000003022:49240000
Honda Center2303-21000742.934:47400000
KeyBank Center1011200000014:56180000
Little Caesars Arena1101-1000025015:59230000
Madison Square Garden1101-2100025021:12220000
NYCB Live1000000000018:30210000
Nationwide Arena11011000025016:59190000
Notre Dame Stadium1000-100003016:22190000
PNC Arena110110000333.317:06220000
PPG Paints Arena11010100025016:12180000
Pepsi Center3202-110001118.249:43562001
Prudential Center1000-100003020:12230000
Rogers Arena1000-100003018:56230000
Rogers Place2011-100005035:45420000
SAP Center at San Jose22131100054039:11390000
STAPLES Center2101-20000333.340:35430000
Scotiabank Arena110110010333.314:33170000
Scotiabank Saddledome1011000002017:33220000
T-Mobile Arena1000000002018:48190000
TD Garden11012000042518:25190000
United Center401819375701011715.4709:038056003
Wells Fargo Center1000-100002019:03220000
Xcel Energy Center23361100065037:50472001
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
After All-Star Break31161733550207321.9561:306222001
vs Anaheim Ducks3314-21000122549:40602001
vs Arizona Coyotes3033100006057:50630000
vs Boston Bruins210110000714.334:47380000
vs Buffalo Sabres2011-100002034:20390000
vs Carolina Hurricanes210110000616.737:01460000
vs Columbus Blue Jackets211200000616.732:49390000
vs Calgary Flames312300000812.547:54580000
vs Colorado Avalanche5303-120001717.691:07992001
vs Dallas Stars4235300101118.271:46790000
vs Detroit Red Wings21341000042531:55420000
vs Edmonton Oilers3011-100007054:51652001
vs Florida Panthers22020100054030:35400000
vs Los Angeles Kings3101-30000714.357:24660000
vs Minnesota Wild434711000837.569:40822001
vs Montreal Canadiens2033200004034:46370000
vs New Jersey Devils2000-100004039:54410000
vs Nashville Predators4112-41000119.165:47775100
vs New York Islanders2022000006035:43420000
vs New York Rangers22131100054037:16400000
vs Ottawa Senators242641000757.136:06450000
vs Philadelphia Flyers2000-300005035:42390000
vs Pittsburgh Penguins2202-1200045037:14420000
vs San Jose Sharks331411000837.561:53630000
vs St. Louis Blues5224-100101910.581:341002001
vs Tampa Bay Lightning2011100003033:43380000
vs Toronto Maple Leafs2202-1001045032:47390000
vs Vancouver Canucks3202010001118.257:05670000
vs Washington Capitals21122000042533:21350000
vs Winnipeg Jets4112-10000911.171:57830000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
vs Vegas Golden Knights321311000102054:57620000
vs Western Conference Tms50242044-6802014416.7893:25102415105
vs Own Division26121123-340207516451:5152011103
vs Eastern Conference Tms32171532650107622.4557:596420000
Outside Own Division562924533901014520999:3311464002
Overall8241357601303022018.61451:24166615105
2018 Game Log
OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
10/04@W4-310120040.250018:283:720:47
10/06@W5-402210040.000017:223:470:00
10/07vsL7-6101-20011.000018:233:750:00
10/11@L4-321311040.500019:054:870:00
10/13vsW4-320210060.333220:083:420:00
10/18vsL4-1011-10030.000021:402:700:00
10/20@W4-110110020.500016:982:950:00
10/21vsL6-300000010.000017:503:900:00
10/23vsW3-101100050.000214:883:230:87
10/25vsW4-111230030.333016:073:100:67
10/27@L7-3000-40030.000013:780:600:00
10/28vsL2-100000020.000219:104:150:00
10/31@L4-2000-10030.000018:932:620:12
NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
11/01@L4-0000-20030.000018:883:002:67
11/03@L5-301100020.000017:553:221:75
11/08vsL4-300000030.000019:922:650:00
11/10@L4-0000-10020.000019:053:400:08
11/12@L3-210110030.333017:100:000:00
11/14vsW1-000000030.000013:770:900:00
11/16vsL2-1000-10040.000016:821:950:00
11/18vsW3-100000020.000017:651:630:00
11/21@L4-200000020.000020:101:680:00
11/23@L4-201110020.000016:221:420:00
11/24@W5-410110011.000015:820:320:07
11/27vsL8-301110030.000017:051:850:00
11/29@L6-5011-30050.000017:502:430:00
DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
12/01@L5-2000-20010.000514:570:820:00
12/02vsL3-201100020.000015:525:480:00
12/05@L4-210100030.333014:484:230:00
12/06@L4-300000020.000018:803:680:00
12/09vsL3-201100030.000021:0210:180:00
12/11@L6-310110020.500017:751:980:00
12/12vsW6-3101-11020.500021:031:580:00
12/14vsL4-300000010.000018:152:150:00
12/16vsL7-310100030.333022:705:570:00
12/18vsW2-100000020.000016:303:100:00
12/20@W5-212310020.500016:551:100:00
12/21@W2-110110030.333216:224:150:28
12/23vsL6-3101-11040.250014:772:400:00
12/27vsW5-201100000.000014:184:030:27
12/29@W3-210101070.143015:055:230:00
JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
01/01vsL4-2000-10030.000016:374:550:00
01/03@L3-200000000.000018:501:780:13
01/06@W5-310101020.500016:203:770:00
01/07vsL4-310100040.250014:833:080:15
01/09vsL4-310101070.143017:022:700:00
01/12vsL4-320201050.400019:104:480:00
01/14@L8-5000-10030.000020:205:030:00
01/17@L4-3101-21020.500021:203:920:00
01/20vsW8-511220020.500013:251:730:00
01/22vsW3-202200060.000017:222:430:00
FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
02/01@W7-301120000.000014:932:120:12
02/02@W4-312300020.500218:786:920:00
02/05@W6-201110020.000016:872:870:00
02/07vsW4-320201050.400019:175:070:00
02/10vsW5-203320020.000015:933:130:00
02/12@L6-310120040.250018:423:370:12
02/14vsW5-200000010.000019:704:720:00
02/16vsL5-2011-10040.000015:831:180:00
02/18vsW8-732521031.000017:824:430:00
02/20@W5-4101-10020.500015:981:270:40
02/22vsL5-3101-11040.250019:404:700:00
02/24vsL4-300000040.000020:486:780:00
02/27@W4-3202-21040.500020:305:300:00
MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
03/02@L6-3000-20010.000017:702:470:00
03/03@L5-201110020.000019:824:950:00
03/07vsW5-4000-30020.000019:407:730:00
03/09@W2-110110020.500017:483:670:00
03/11vsW7-102220000.000013:621:400:00
03/13@W5-410110030.333014:550:000:00
03/16@W2-002220010.000013:751:680:00
03/18vsL3-200010030.000018:983:570:00
03/21vsL3-1000-20030.000016:652:530:00
03/23@L4-2000-20010.000018:454:750:00
03/24vsW2-100010020.000022:003:670:00
03/26@L1-000000030.000022:821:671:05
03/28@W5-420201030.667019:372:720:00
03/30@L3-210100020.500022:884:470:00
APRILSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
04/01vsL4-300010010.000018:553:950:00
04/03vsW4-300010030.000016:722:970:00
04/05vsW6-101110030.000017:254:520:00
04/06@L5-2011-20010.000017:903:170:00