DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 7.7 FanDuel pts Brian Dumoulin is the #59 ranked defenseman. At $3700 he is expected to be the #57 defenseman. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Dumoulin is worth $3.8K. There are many other options (13) at $3700 and Dumoulin is ranked #10 among the 14. Instead of Dumoulin consider these better options at lower salaries: Olli Maatta (7.8 FP), Neal Pionk (8.7 FP), and Matt Roy (8 FP). Torey Krug (6.5 FP), Ron Hainsey (7.6 FP), Niklas Kronwall (6.7 FP), Ben Chiarot (7.6 FP), and Colin Miller (5.2 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Dumoulin but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 7.5 FPs, a value reached in 35 of 72 games (49%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 43%.

• 3/23 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: PIT 2.7 (#21 Most Today) @ DAL 2.8 (#18 Most)
• PROJECTION (POS RANK): 7.69 Fantasy Points (#59), 0.31 points (#60), 0.05 goals (#81), 0.26 assists (#51), 1.3 shots on goal (#78), 0.3 PIM (#89 most), 1.75 blocked shots (#38)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 2.3 DraftKings pts Brian Dumoulin is the #58 ranked defenseman. At $3400 he is expected to be the #67 defenseman. Based on the projection, Dumoulin is worth $3.5K. There are 6 other options at $3400 (Deryk Engelland, T.J. Brodie, Dan Girardi, Noah Hanifin, Jordie Benn, Filip Hronek) and Dumoulin is ranked #4 among the 7. Instead of Dumoulin consider these better options at lower salaries: Olli Maatta (2.3 FP) and Zdeno Chara (2.3 FP). Torey Krug (1.8 FP), Ron Hainsey (2.2 FP), Chris Tanev (1.1 FP), Ben Chiarot (2.2 FP), and Colin Miller (1.5 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Dumoulin but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 2.2 FPs, a value reached in 35 of 72 games (49%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

Dumoulin is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other defensemen in week 26 instead of Dumoulin consider these better options at lower start percentages: Sami Vatanen (3 FP), Michael Stone (2.9 FP), Adam McQuaid (3 FP), Joe Morrow (3.5 FP), and Kris Russell (3.2 FP). Cam Fowler (2.1 FP), Hampus Lindholm (2.4 FP), Erik Johnson (1.7 FP), Nick Leddy (2.4 FP), and Radko Gudas (2.4 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Dumoulin but are starting in more leagues. He is starting in just 13% of leagues and with a projected defenseman rank of #105 in week 26 it makes sense that he is not starting in many leagues.

He is projected for 2.83 fantasy points in week 26 (#105 D) in 3 games.

Brian Dumoulin last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

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REST OF SEASON VALUE

His latest projection based rank among defensemen is #87. Ranking by ownership percentage (21%), Brian Dumoulin is expected to be the #83 defenseman for the rest of the season. Brian Dumoulin's market rank is better than our current projections indicate. With the market overrating them, you may be able to trade them for more than they are worth. He is projected for more FPs than Radko Gudas who has virtually the same market rank (21% Owned) as Dumoulin. He is projected for 8 fantasy points in 7 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #61 highest average. The market ranks Brian Dumoulin behind Gudas and above Pesce but the projections rank these players in reverse order.

His higher assist ranking vs goals ranking makes him a better facilitator.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Brian Dumoulin was not a fantasy star but was worth starting most weeks. He was the number #58 ranked defender and the #241 ranked skater overall. His value was boosted by staying healthy (72 GP). Based on average fantasy points he is the #79 defender. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 25 games he averaged 1.9 fantasy points which was higher than his start (1.3 FP) and his ending average (1.1 FP). His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.66 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 1.5 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 8 fantasy points.

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UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

As a young player he has improved year-to-year. His three season trend show an increase of 114% in fantasy points per game.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 4.5 fantasy points per week and had 11 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 9 weeks where he was +20% above average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 7.2 points and on DraftKings it was 2.1 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 1.6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 3.5 and 12.8 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.