headshot
Justin
Faulk
College None
Team Carolina Hurricanes
27D
6'0"Height
215Weight
26Age
0Exp
Justin Faulk's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 11.9 FanDuel pts Justin Faulk is the #15 ranked defenseman. At $5500 he is expected to be the #14 defenseman. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Faulk is worth $5.9K. These are 2 better options at lower salaries: Jake Muzzin (12.7 FP) and Jared Spurgeon (11.9 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 11.1 FPs, a value reached in 28 of 71 games (39%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

  • 3/19 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: CAR 3.4 (#2 Most Today) vs PIT 3.1 (#7 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 11.88 Fantasy Points (#15), 0.47 points (#25), 0.13 goals (#25), 0.34 assists (#27), 3.32 shots on goal (#3), 0.6 PIM (#33 most), 1.36 blocked shots (#79)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 3.4 DraftKings pts Justin Faulk is the #13 ranked defenseman. He is the #15 highest priced defenseman ($5300). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $5.3K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Shayne Gostisbehere is also priced at $5300 and is a better option at this price. Jake Muzzin (3.6 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Torey Krug (1.7 FP), Keith Yandle (3.4 FP), and Darnell Nurse (3.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 3.4 FPs, a value reached in 26 of 71 games (37%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

Faulk is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Justin Faulk is a good value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #43 while his projection rank (rest of week 25) is #18. When compared to other defensemen in week 26 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Oscar Klefbom (4.5 FP), Mathew Dumba (4 FP), Nathan Beaulieu (5 FP), Travis Hamonic (5.4 FP), and Erik Karlsson (5.8 FP). Jared Spurgeon (3.7 FP), Ryan Suter (4 FP), Ryan Ellis (3.8 FP), Ryan Pulock (3.9 FP), and Ryan McDonagh (3.3 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Faulk but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 51% of leagues he is expected to produce 4.5 fantasy points (WK 26). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #39 defenseman of the week, but he is projected to be the #52 defenseman. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 0.5 short of expectations. His per game projected FP average is 1 which is less than his actual per game average (1.7).

He is projected for 4.01 fantasy points in week 26 (#50 D) in 4 games.


  • Based on 3/19 start percentages, Justin Faulk is valued behind Brodie and above Parayko and the projections agree for this week.
  • Justin Faulk last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Both the market and projections have virtually the same expectations for Justin Faulk. Ranking by ownership percentage (67%), Justin Faulk is expected to be the #43 defenseman for the rest of the season. Projections rank him #42. He is projected for 13 fantasy points in 11 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#64) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Justin Faulk behind Dumba and above Schmidt but the projections rank Justin Faulk over Dumba.

    His projected shooting percentage is lower than you would like.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    Justin Faulk had a decent season as a solid fantasy starter. He was the #200 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #42 defender. Avoiding serious injury and playing 71 games helped him maintain his value. Based on average fantasy points he is the #61 defender. He was trending up for the season. In his first 23 games he averaged 1.6 FPs. He improved to 2.5 in his final 24 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.9 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Faulk when he 'goes off' is 13 fantasy points (his average is 1.7FPs).

    SportsLine has the best NHL picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NBA, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

    STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

    As a young player he improved as you would like. His fantasy average improved by 31%.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 5.1 fantasy points per week and had 12 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 10 weeks where he was +20% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 9.7 FD points and 2.9 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 1.6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 4.5 and 16.8 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018CAR71821290-041000
    2017CAR76823310-033000
    2016CAR751720370-042000
    2015CAR641621370-0124001
    2014CAR821534490-074000
    2013CAR76527320-021000
    2012CAR38510150-010000
    2011CAR66814220-052000
    Career (8 Seasons)54882170252-1043817001
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018CAR1894.222:181852218.00127.03411018
    2017CAR2113.822:161987222.9340.92480024
    2016CAR2257.623:081987204:1753:00320015
    2015CAR1848.724:011826205:26121:18271011
    2014CAR2386.324:242501222:32162:46300015
    2013CAR1523.323:242264160:57184:21371016
    2012CAR766.624:001134100:33113:2315105
    2011CAR1017.922:501913200:31119:55291012
    Career (8 Seasons)13766.023:16154641535:12922:4025950116
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in October1214531000352.9255:532966003
    Games in November1303310000420299:053676003
    Games in December13134-50010303.3294:1133615105
    Games in January12145-31000342.9262:233036003
    Games in February134261120003013.3288:303368004
    Games in March8156-20000185.6183:422140000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won3981624314010998.1868:43102017106
    Games Lost32055-260000900715:01832240012
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games3431114120010873.4742:35879200010
    Road Games3751015-740001024.9841:0997321108
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break5031417-420101412.11111:321302331014
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Amalie Arena2000-100004040:35460000
    American Airlines Center110101000333.325:13310000
    BB&T Center210111000333.352:31630000
    Barclays Center1000-100002023:04282001
    Bell Centre2000-400006046:59644002
    Bell MTS Place1000-100003021:06232001
    Bridgestone Arena1011-200004024:07240000
    Canadian Tire Centre21120100042545:16520000
    Capital One Arena1000-100004023:35240000
    Enterprise Center1000-100004022:53280000
    Gila River Arena1011000003023:35260000
    Honda Center1000100001023:44255100
    KeyBank Center11010000025024:23280000
    Little Caesars Arena110101000333.319:46210000
    Madison Square Garden2011200006043:04470000
    NYCB Live1000-100002023:07252001
    Nationwide Arena2000-200006043:39500000
    PNC Arena3431114120010873.4742:35879200010
    PPG Paints Arena1000200004023:10250000
    Pepsi Center1011200003022:11270000
    Prudential Center2000-300005043:09512001
    Rogers Arena1000-100001021:35240000
    Rogers Place1000200001021:33270000
    SAP Center at San Jose1000-200004024:00270000
    STAPLES Center1000000002024:14282001
    Scotiabank Saddledome1000-100002022:41260000
    T-Mobile Arena1000000006023:14280000
    TD Garden1011000001021:27260000
    United Center1011200001020:15260000
    Wells Fargo Center1011200004025:26290000
    Xcel Energy Center1022000008021:37242001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break215712920004810.4472:125508004
    vs Anaheim Ducks2000-100004049:55575100
    vs Arizona Coyotes2022200005045:01490000
    vs Boston Bruins31123001042564:43802001
    vs Buffalo Sabres311200000714.367:06784002
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets4000-2000012084:461012001
    vs Calgary Flames2000-200002045:48522001
    vs Chicago Blackhawks2022200003042:21550000
    vs Colorado Avalanche2011300006044:48530000
    vs Dallas Stars21122100052047:40570000
    vs Detroit Red Wings311211000101065:59712001
    vs Edmonton Oilers2000300001041:52550000
    vs Florida Panthers310121000812.575:15900000
    vs Los Angeles Kings2000000003036:34412001
    vs Minnesota Wild1022000008021:37242001
    vs Montreal Canadiens2000-400006046:59644002
    vs New Jersey Devils3000-200007067:08824002
    vs Nashville Predators2022-400008046:01510000
    vs New York Islanders4000-300009089:031006003
    vs New York Rangers40335000015084:411014002
    vs Ottawa Senators3112-21000101067:16760000
    vs Philadelphia Flyers2011200005048:34530000
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins2000000005042:55490000
    vs San Jose Sharks2000-100008046:46520000
    vs St. Louis Blues211220000616.746:45580000
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning2000-100004040:35460000
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs2000200007045:20520000
    vs Vancouver Canucks2000000002042:53500000
    vs Washington Capitals2011-300006046:47530000
    vs Winnipeg Jets2000-400005043:52482001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights211250000812.544:44540000
    vs Western Conference Tms293121571000744.1646:3775613104
    vs Own Division21055-30000590463:5453916008
    vs Eastern Conference Tms425914-230101154.3937:071096280014
    Outside Own Division5081624840101306.21119:501313251010
    Overall7182129540101894.21583:441852411018
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    10/04vsL2-100000010.000021:403:981:07
    10/05@W3-100000020.000020:321:281:70
    10/07vsW8-502230040.000021:183:451:50
    10/09vsW5-300010010.000021:302:153:37
    10/13@W5-402200080.000221:628:231:23
    10/14@L3-1000-10030.000221:102:430:00
    10/16@L4-2000-10020.000020:325:050:00
    10/20vsL3-100010030.000022:623:651:28
    10/22@W3-110101030.333019:772:252:92
    10/26vsW4-300010040.000022:771:800:05
    10/28vsL2-1000-10040.000221:474:181:97
    10/30vsL3-200000000.000022:033:982:13
    NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    11/02@L4-301100030.000023:586:480:70
    11/03@L3-000000060.000023:231:273:55
    11/06@L4-1000-10040.000022:885:282:80
    11/08@W4-301120010.000020:250:001:02
    11/10vsL4-300000040.000023:254:481:47
    11/12vsW3-201100020.000022:100:480:00
    11/17vsL4-100000030.000221:483:733:68
    11/18vsW2-100010020.000223:982:481:38
    11/21vsW5-200020030.000022:800:782:48
    11/23vsW4-100010050.000022:733:470:90
    11/24@L4-1000-10020.000223:071:400:00
    11/27@W2-1000-10040.000023:531:353:05
    11/30vsL2-1000-20030.000026:185:833:32
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/02@L2-000000020.000224:233:122:73
    12/05@L5-1000-20040.000024:001:702:22
    12/07@W4-100010010.000523:734:032:83
    12/11vsL4-100000040.000022:536:201:38
    12/13@L6-4000-30020.000423:451:253:77
    12/14vsL6-5011-20020.000023:206:120:67
    12/16vsW3-001120020.000021:435:021:83
    12/20vsL4-101110030.000222:971:820:00
    12/22vsL3-0000-20010.000019:755:130:55
    12/23vsW5-310130030.333221:233:282:70
    12/27@L3-1000-10040.000023:584:553:47
    12/29@L2-0000-20010.000020:933:722:87
    12/31vsW3-100000010.000023:131:781:68
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/03@W5-301120040.000025:433:181:72
    01/04vsW4-200000030.000019:632:800:88
    01/06@W5-4112-11030.333024:301:583:95
    01/08@W4-3000-10020.000223:122:332:18
    01/10@L3-100000020.000020:272:032:67
    01/11vsW4-300000030.000420:430:971:98
    01/13vsW6-3011-20040.000021:903:883:67
    01/15@L6-201110030.000019:481:621:00
    01/18vsL4-1000-20060.000022:002:350:68
    01/20@W7-400020010.000021:550:001:95
    01/22@L3-2000-10020.000022:681:182:52
    01/23@W5-2000-10010.000021:585:832:23
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/01vsW5-211250020.500021:503:701:37
    02/03vsL4-3000-10000.000223:123:731:85
    02/05@W4-000020040.000023:172:621:60
    02/07@W6-510100020.500024:382:381:47
    02/08@W3-000010030.000023:582:132:00
    02/10@L3-2000-10040.000222:225:671:15
    02/12@W4-100010010.000020:973:351:85
    02/15vsW3-100010000.000020:322:402:23
    02/16vsW3-001120020.000022:451:151:58
    02/19vsL2-100000050.000420:432:950:55
    02/21@W4-310111030.333028:827:322:43
    02/23@W3-010101030.333025:224:253:30
    02/26vsW6-100000010.000012:331:030:00
    MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    03/01vsW5-211230020.500023:872:282:02
    03/02@W4-300000000.000023:700:001:62
    03/05@L4-301100010.000021:454:620:58
    03/08vsL8-1000-30020.000022:772:971:68
    03/09@W5-3011-20040.000024:126:132:13
    03/11@W3-001120030.000022:180:981:88
    03/15@L3-0000-20040.000023:332:150:45
    03/16vsW4-201100020.000022:281:201:58