DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Fleury is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 15.4 FD pts (#3 among goalies). At $8400 he is expected to be the #1 goalie. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $7.6K. These are 2 better options at lower salaries: Frederik Andersen (17.8 FP) and Martin Jones (17.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 17 FPs, a value reached in 37 of 78 games (47%). The combined 'cover percentage' for goalies priced at $4.0K and above is 45%.

• 4/21 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: LV 3.3 (#1 Most Today) vs SJ 2.7 (#3 Most)
• PROJECTION (POS RANK): 15.4 Fantasy Points (#3), 0.47 wins (#3), 0.49 losses (#2 most), 26.77 saves (#4), 3 goals allowed (#2 most), 89.9 save percentage (#3)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Fleury is overrated on DraftKings with a projected 3.8 DK pts (#3 among goalies). He is the #1 highest priced goalie ($8100). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Fleury is worth $7.4K. These are 2 better options at lower salaries: Frederik Andersen (4.4 FP) and Martin Jones (4.3 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.2 FPs, a value reached in 38 of 78 games (49%). The combined 'cover percentage' for goalie priced at $4.0K and above is 45%.

Fleury is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Marc-Andre Fleury had a good, but not elite, year in fantasy. He is the #6 ranked fantasy player this season. Even though he missed his fair share of games, had played enough to make his overall fantasy rank better than what it is based on average fantasy points where he is the #14 goalie. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 21 games he averaged 6.7 fantasy points which was higher than his start (5.8 FP) and his ending average (5.5 FP). A late season drop-off might be expected given his age. His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.75 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 6 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 15 fantasy points.

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

Getting older predictably resulted in a drop in production. His average fantasy points decreased by 13% this season.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 14.9 fantasy points per week and had 9 weeks where he exceeded that by 20% and 8 'bad' weeks where he came up 20% short of his average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 18.1 FD points and 4.5 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -2.8 and on FanDuel it was -11.2 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 8.4 and 33.6 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.