headshot
Jake
Guentzel
College None
Team Pittsburgh Penguins
59RW
5'11"Height
180Weight
24Age
0Exp
Jake Guentzel's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Guentzel is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 15.2 FD pts (#14 among wings). At $7900 he is expected to be the #7 wing. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $7.6K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Mikko Rantanen is also priced at $7900 and is a better option at this price. Instead of Guentzel consider these better options at lower salaries: Artemi Panarin (16.3 FP), Cam Atkinson (17 FP), Filip Forsberg (15.3 FP), Claude Giroux (16.1 FP), and Phil Kessel (15.8 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 15.7 FPs, a value reached in 25 of 73 games (34%). The combined 'cover percentage' for wings priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

  • 3/19 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: PIT 3.1 (#7 Most Today) @ CAR 3.4 (#2 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 15.16 Fantasy Points (#14), 0.99 points (#16), 0.52 goals (#4), 0.47 assists (#22), 2.5 shots on goal (#37), 0.4 PIM (#65 most), 0.64 blocked shots (#37)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 4.1 DraftKings pts Guentzel is the #7 ranked right wing. He is the #6 highest priced right wing ($6800). Based on the projection, Guentzel is worth $6.7K. Cam Atkinson is also priced at $6800 and is a better option at this price. Instead of Guentzel consider these better options at lower salaries: Claude Giroux (4.3 FP) and Phil Kessel (4.2 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.2 FPs, a value reached in 26 of 73 games (36%). The combined 'cover percentage' for right wing priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

Guentzel is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among right wings for the rest of week 25 is #18, which is less than his market rank of #16. When compared to other right wings in week 26 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Sam Reinhart (10.1 FP), Michael Frolik (8.2 FP), Teuvo Teravainen (9.4 FP), Gustav Nyquist (12.1 FP), and Reilly Smith (8.8 FP). Starting in 83% of leagues he is expected to produce 9.1 fantasy points (WK 26). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #13 right wing of the week, but he is projected to be the #23 right wing. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 1.2 short of expectations.

He is projected for 7.85 fantasy points in week 26 (#23 RW) in 3 games.


  • Jake Guentzel last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Both the market and projections have the exact same expectations for Jake Guentzel. Based on ownership percentage (96%), Jake Guentzel has a market rank of #16 among right wings. Projections also rank him #16. He is projected for 26 fantasy points in 9 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #12 highest average. The market ranks Jake Guentzel behind Pavelski and above Voracek but the projections rank Voracek over Jake Guentzel.

    His rank in goals is better than his SOG rank indicating a relatively high shooting %.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    Jake Guentzel was the number #15 ranked wing and the #60 ranked skater overall. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (73). Based on average fantasy points he is the #19 wing. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 24 games he averaged 3.1 fantasy points which was higher than his start (2.5 FP) and his ending average (2.5 FP). He is young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Guentzel can be considered a consistent fantasy player. Our projected ceiling for Guentzel when he 'goes off' is 14 fantasy points (his average is 2.7FPs).

    SportsLine has the best NHL picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NBA, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

    STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

    As a young player he improved as you would like. His average Fantasy points increased by 69% this season.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 8.6 fantasy points per week and had 12 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 9 weeks where he was +20% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 14.9 points and on DraftKings it was 4.1 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1 and on FanDuel it was 3.2 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 8 and on FanDuel it was 30.4 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

  • Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018PIT733632680-05401020
    2017PIT822226480-07106565
    2016PIT401617330-010089
    Career (3 Seasons)19574751491013508394
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018PIT19618.419:061775153.0538.88240012
    2017PIT17112.916:291792144.8718.57420020
    2016PIT8119.815:5282054:530:1510005
    Career (3 Seasons)44816.517:204387352:4857:42760037
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in October10527410002520176:082272001
    Games in November146713300103218.8261:313262001
    Games in December155914100104511.1288:523706003
    Games in January118513021003622.2221:232734002
    Games in February13549200003215.6253:383174002
    Games in March107512220202626.9193:002626003
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won3929245333404010826.9733:2594316008
    Games Lost347815-211100888661:078328004
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games3719163511204010118.8696:3088810005
    Road Games36171633131009517.9698:0288714007
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break502423478312013817.4947:54119614007
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Amalie Arena1011-200000020:15280000
    BB&T Center1011100003021:06300000
    Barclays Center1011000002020:48250000
    Bell Centre22243000082537:02530000
    Bell MTS Place1011100000017:30250000
    Canadian Tire Centre2000-100004041:38470000
    Capital One Arena2011000008032:19464002
    Enterprise Center11011000025016:28240000
    Gila River Arena110100000333.321:09270000
    Honda Center130301000742.921:23242001
    KeyBank Center2112-1100042538:40480000
    Lincoln Financial Field1000100002019:31260000
    Madison Square Garden11122000025017:38210000
    NYCB Live1011100003021:59250000
    Nationwide Arena2101-10000333.342:03512001
    PNC Arena12023000045018:22260000
    PPG Paints Arena3719163511204010118.8696:3088810005
    Pepsi Center1011-100000021:19260000
    Prudential Center2112-20000333.335:04450000
    Rogers Arena1022200000014:35220000
    Rogers Place1000000004019:10240000
    SAP Center at San Jose1000-200003022:07242001
    STAPLES Center1202-21100633.322:46250000
    Scotiabank Arena2000-200004037:09470000
    Scotiabank Saddledome11012000025014:57190000
    T-Mobile Arena1022100003020:49260000
    TD Garden1000000004021:24270000
    United Center1000-400003022:00260000
    Wells Fargo Center11012000042520:17254002
    Xcel Energy Center1000-100004018:34250000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break2312921420205820.7446:3857910005
    vs Anaheim Ducks2303-11000933.339:25472001
    vs Arizona Coyotes212320000333.336:30440000
    vs Boston Bruins3213-11020102061:19814002
    vs Buffalo Sabres321301000102054:54720000
    vs Carolina Hurricanes22022000082536:47470000
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets44152001085082:281064002
    vs Calgary Flames22022000045032:28400000
    vs Chicago Blackhawks2101-4000042539:41510000
    vs Colorado Avalanche21120000025039:55530000
    vs Dallas Stars11121000025015:59210000
    vs Detroit Red Wings1000000001018:49210000
    vs Edmonton Oilers2000000008039:41460000
    vs Florida Panthers322440010102061:35830000
    vs Los Angeles Kings2213-21100102043:49520000
    vs Minnesota Wild2022100008035:50500000
    vs Montreal Canadiens32243000082554:05750000
    vs New Jersey Devils4123-10000616.772:33920000
    vs New York Islanders40554000015081:18982001
    vs New York Rangers21234000052034:59420000
    vs Ottawa Senators320200000728.662:08690000
    vs Philadelphia Flyers411210000128.379:541034002
    vs San Jose Sharks2000-200003040:47482001
    vs St. Louis Blues2101-2000052033:49480000
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning3011-2000010063:14760000
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs3000-300005056:22710000
    vs Vancouver Canucks212310000333.334:38460000
    vs Washington Capitals4314210001421.469:29976003
    vs Winnipeg Jets2022100001035:39510000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights21230000052036:27450000
    vs Western Conference Tms27141327-321006720.9504:386424002
    vs Own Division241212241410106817.6457:2858516008
    vs Eastern Conference Tms4622194115304012917.1889:541133200010
    Outside Own Division49242044-2413012818.8937:0411908004
    Overall7336326812514019618.41394:321775240012
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    10/04vsW7-620211050.400018:803:320:18
    10/06vsL5-100000000.000017:052:280:22
    10/11vsW4-2101-10020.500015:631:030:17
    10/13@L4-3000-10050.000019:451:000:00
    10/16vsL3-2101-10030.333020:050:670:00
    10/18@W3-000000000.000017:720:430:00
    10/23@W6-500000040.000019:171:380:00
    10/25@W9-110120020.500014:950:930:00
    10/27@W5-002220000.000014:581:830:00
    10/30vsL6-300020040.000218:732:380:00
    NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    11/01@L3-201100020.000020:801:530:00
    11/03vsL5-0000-10010.000019:223:621:30
    11/05vsL5-101110010.000019:133:130:03
    11/07@L2-100000050.000214:751:620:57
    11/10vsW4-002220000.000015:351:650:00
    11/13@L4-2101-20011.000016:270:900:18
    11/15vsL4-300000040.000021:433:880:00
    11/17@L6-4000-10020.000021:635:631:97
    11/19vsL5-410110060.167016:232:920:00
    11/21vsW5-111210020.500015:981:080:00
    11/23@L2-100000040.000021:401:370:00
    11/24vsW4-230320040.750020:501:221:32
    11/27@W4-301110000.000017:500:770:00
    11/28@L6-3011-10000.000021:323:270:00
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/01vsL4-2011-10030.000018:900:920:15
    12/04vsW6-310110020.500018:601:100:03
    12/06vsW6-203310060.000019:783:020:35
    12/08@L2-100000020.000020:002:530:12
    12/10@W2-101110030.000021:985:280:00
    12/12@L6-3000-40030.000022:002:570:00
    12/14vsW5-3101-10020.500421:471:270:00
    12/15vsW4-301100040.000021:052:181:35
    12/17vsL4-2000-10020.000018:034:420:48
    12/19@W2-101100030.000217:571:670:50
    12/20vsW2-102220040.000017:271:681:13
    12/22@W3-020230040.500018:370:651:60
    12/27vsW5-200000010.000018:820:920:63
    12/29@W6-110110020.500016:470:371:18
    12/31@W3-2000-10040.000018:570:000:58
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/02@W7-211220020.500017:631:231:67
    01/04vsW4-001100010.000018:151:830:55
    01/06vsL5-310100011.000017:681:120:88
    01/08vsW5-101110020.000019:785:030:80
    01/11@W7-430301070.429221:383:030:35
    01/12@L5-2202-21160.333022:774:481:32
    01/15@L5-2000-20030.000222:123:180:00
    01/18@W3-210100030.333021:153:821:63
    01/19@L7-302210030.000020:821:650:87
    01/28vsL6-300000020.000018:353:302:65
    01/30vsW4-200000060.000021:551:671:45
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/01vsW5-320210030.667020:503:230:00
    02/02@L3-2000-20040.000019:430:830:63
    02/05vsL4-0000-10040.000018:422:520:00
    02/07@L3-201110030.000021:103:431:70
    02/09@L5-4011-20000.000020:250:380:00
    02/11@W4-110120040.250420:281:132:65
    02/13vsW3-100000040.000020:522:000:00
    02/16vsL5-410100020.500017:520:930:18
    02/17vsW6-501120030.000017:352:120:55
    02/19@W4-301100020.000018:801:280:88
    02/21vsL4-000000000.000018:672:030:00
    02/23@L4-300010020.000019:520:000:15
    02/26@W5-210100011.000021:281:900:83
    MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    03/01@L4-3000-10020.000018:772:320:72
    03/02@W5-122440030.667017:581:001:12
    03/05vsW3-220220050.400020:700:671:47
    03/07vsW3-001110010.000219:923:051:12
    03/09@L4-1000-10020.000220:772:670:20
    03/10vsW4-211201040.250018:453:220:05
    03/12vsW5-310110011.000218:371:680:00
    03/14@W5-011201020.500019:902:380:00
    03/16vsL5-1000-30030.000017:353:070:42
    03/17vsL2-1000-10030.000021:204:430:00