headshot
Erik
Gustafsson
College None
Team Chicago Blackhawks
56D
6'0"Height
197Weight
27Age
0Exp
Erik Gustafsson's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Gustafsson is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 12 FD pts (#3 among defensemen). At $6200 he is expected to be the #1 defenseman. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Gustafsson is worth $6.4K. Seth Jones is also priced at $6200 and is a better option at this price. John Klingberg (12.7 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 11.6 FPs, a value reached in 36 of 77 games (47%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 46%.

  • 4/5 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: CHI 3 (#2 Most Today) vs DAL 3 (#4 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 12.02 Fantasy Points (#3), 0.69 points (#3), 0.21 goals (#1), 0.48 assists (#4), 1.95 shots on goal (#6), 0.4 PIM (#17 most), 1.47 blocked shots (#22)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Gustafsson is overrated on DraftKings with a projected 3.3 DK pts (#3 among defensemen). He is the #1 highest priced defenseman ($6000). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $5.4K. Instead of Gustafsson consider these better options at lower salaries: John Klingberg (3.5 FP) and Seth Jones (4.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 3.7 FPs, a value reached in 32 of 77 games (42%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

Gustafsson is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Erik Gustafsson is the number #9 ranked defender and the #69 ranked skater overall. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (77). Based on average fantasy points he is the #15 defender. He trended up as the season went on. In his first 25 games he averaged 1.5 FPs. He improved to 3.2 in the next 26 games. In his final stretch of games he improved to 3.6 per game. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Gustafsson can be considered a consistent fantasy player. Our projected ceiling for Gustafsson when he 'goes off' is 14 fantasy points (his average is 2.8FPs).

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

Based on his fantasy point average, he is on a clear upward swing. His average Fantasy points increased by 65% this season.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 27 fantasy weeks, he was +20% above his weekly average of 7.9 FPs in 10 of them. He had 10 bad weeks where he was 20% below average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 12.6 points and on DraftKings it was 3.5 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 1.6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 5.5 and 21.3 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
2018CHI791743600-043000
2017CHI35511160-000001
2015CHI41014140-000000
Career (3 Seasons)155226890643001
YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
2018CHI16010.622:352019239.639.10340017
2017CHI717.018:3386949.601.026003
2015CHI580.015:2686468:493:014002
Career (3 Seasons)2897.619:473752358:0313:08440022
2018-19 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games in October13156-10000244.2276:293436003
Games in November13325-200102412.5284:033444002
Games in December124610-320101921.1270:003090000
Games in January10099-60000140226:412406003
Games in February1341317020102913.8290:233148004
Games in March14549300004012.5335:363636003
Games in April404430000100100:591064002
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games Won3562228224030659.2765:4587410005
Games Lost44112132-2800009511.61018:261145240012
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Home Games3962632-61010896.7880:0698914007
Road Games40111728030207115.5904:051030200010
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Before All-Star Break4882230-122020819.91057:13123616008
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Amalie Arena1000-300001020:09270000
American Airlines Center21012100025047:23560000
BB&T Center11011001025020:22290000
Bell Centre1000000002018:23242001
Bell MTS Place1011-100000022:08230000
Bridgestone Arena2000-400005052:19530000
Canadian Tire Centre1011000003017:53220000
Capital One Arena11011000042523:24270000
Enterprise Center2011100001044:59522001
Gila River Arena1000000004023:54270000
Honda Center2123-1000025044:59480000
KeyBank Center1011100000020:52212001
Little Caesars Arena1033400001024:18262001
Madison Square Garden1011-200000021:06220000
NYCB Live1011-100000023:56270000
Nationwide Arena1000100003019:57270000
Notre Dame Stadium1011000002025:27262001
PNC Arena1000000003025:43330000
PPG Paints Arena1011000001022:18240000
Pepsi Center311210000714.373:45742001
Prudential Center1000-200000014:17140000
Rogers Arena1011-100002021:44272001
Rogers Place210101000616.739:29492001
SAP Center at San Jose212310000616.751:29550000
STAPLES Center210100000333.348:40510000
Scotiabank Arena1011300001022:52280000
Scotiabank Saddledome1000000001025:07290000
T-Mobile Arena1000-100001026:05290000
TD Garden11010000042523:20232001
United Center3862531-61010876.9854:3996312006
Wells Fargo Center1000-200001020:55262001
Xcel Energy Center22022101054042:19572001
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
After All-Star Break3192130620107911.4726:5878318009
vs Anaheim Ducks3134-10000616.765:03740000
vs Arizona Coyotes311220000911.170:19782001
vs Boston Bruins211200000616.748:47494002
vs Buffalo Sabres2011-100004045:14462001
vs Carolina Hurricanes2011100004049:58600000
vs Columbus Blue Jackets2011000005042:21520000
vs Calgary Flames2022-100004051:36552001
vs Colorado Avalanche5134-100001010123:361294002
vs Dallas Stars413451000714.395:461000000
vs Detroit Red Wings2044400003041:03472001
vs Edmonton Oilers3101-21000911.161:06772001
vs Florida Panthers2101-20010333.341:33550000
vs Los Angeles Kings310100000616.772:09790000
vs Minnesota Wild422441010922.283:291032001
vs Montreal Canadiens2011100006039:51532001
vs New Jersey Devils2011-100003032:18340000
vs Nashville Predators4123-51010128.396:361000000
vs New York Islanders2011-200002048:34510000
vs New York Rangers2011-100001044:07470000
vs Ottawa Senators2011-200005042:17500000
vs Philadelphia Flyers2101-40000616.743:54502001
vs Pittsburgh Penguins1011000001022:18240000
vs San Jose Sharks313400000616.769:55790000
vs St. Louis Blues50223000070112:391332001
vs Tampa Bay Lightning2000-500001040:54520000
vs Toronto Maple Leafs2011100002044:10520000
vs Vancouver Canucks3112-30000119.170:00782001
vs Washington Capitals21012000042542:09532001
vs Winnipeg Jets31451000042570:34814002
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
vs Vegas Golden Knights31231000042571:55780000
vs Western Conference Tms481328413402010412.51114:431244200010
vs Own Division2561622730204912.2582:4064612006
vs Eastern Conference Tms3141519-90010567.1669:2877514007
Outside Own Division54112738-1310101119.91201:311373220011
Overall79174360-6403016010.61784:112019340017
2018 Game Log
OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
10/04@W4-301100030.000017:881:520:00
10/06@W5-401120000.000021:671:470:13
10/07vsL7-6000-20010.000021:302:250:00
10/11@L4-300010010.000220:201:370:00
10/13vsW4-301120010.000021:921:530:00
10/18vsL4-110100040.250023:071:470:00
10/20@W4-100010030.000019:953:170:00
10/21vsL6-3000-20000.000020:753:920:00
10/23vsW3-101100040.000020:073:630:53
10/25vsW4-100010010.000023:023:350:02
10/27@L7-3000-10010.000223:320:600:60
10/28vsL2-1000-20030.000021:623:470:00
10/31@L4-2011-10020.000221:732:670:08
NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
11/01@L4-0000-10020.000218:421:830:00
11/03@L5-300000010.000025:122:380:00
11/08vsL4-301110010.000024:252:220:00
11/10@L4-0000-20010.000220:922:050:00
11/12@L3-200000030.000025:720:000:00
11/14vsW1-000000020.000019:900:900:00
11/16vsL2-100000030.000023:481:950:00
11/18vsW3-100010020.000020:051:630:00
11/21@L4-210110040.250023:401:730:82
11/23@L4-2000-30010.000020:151:420:00
11/24@W5-410110020.500020:370:320:60
11/27vsL8-310110020.500020:151:880:00
11/29@L6-5011-10000.000022:132:530:00
DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
12/01@L5-2000-20010.000027:031:520:48
12/05@L4-210100011.000020:652:930:00
12/06@L4-3000-10010.000026:082:750:07
12/09vsL3-201110040.000021:475:101:23
12/14vsL4-310100030.333021:571:070:02
12/16vsL7-3011-10000.000018:434:170:00
12/18vsW2-111201020.500020:222:870:00
12/20@W5-210121011.000024:351:100:00
12/21@W2-100000020.000023:274:480:23
12/23vsL6-3000-30010.000021:183:280:00
12/27vsW5-202210020.000021:124:570:00
12/29@W3-201100010.000024:635:230:00
JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
01/01vsL4-201100020.000225:454:780:00
01/03@L3-2011-10000.000023:931:780:13
01/06@W5-301100010.000022:303:770:00
01/07vsL4-3022-10030.000226:483:270:00
01/09vsL4-3011-10050.000024:072:520:15
01/12vsL4-302210010.000025:684:720:00
01/14@L8-5000-20000.000014:285:420:00
01/17@L4-3011-20000.000021:103:920:00
01/20vsW8-500010000.000218:751:730:00
01/22vsW3-2000-10020.000024:632:430:97
FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
02/01@W7-301110000.000220:872:720:00
02/02@W4-320211040.500022:127:450:00
02/05@W6-210111040.250021:073:550:03
02/07vsW4-3000-20020.000021:105:070:22
02/10vsW5-201100020.000016:753:170:00
02/12@L6-310100040.250223:333:630:00
02/14vsW5-201110030.000018:024:220:48
02/16vsL5-2011-10020.000022:401:180:00
02/18vsW8-7000-20020.000024:404:370:00
02/20@W5-403340010.000224:301:650:00
02/22vsL5-3022-20010.000226:304:920:78
02/24vsL4-302200030.000025:407:280:00
02/27@W4-3022-10010.000024:335:920:00
MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
03/02@L6-3000-10000.000024:432:700:00
03/03@L5-2101-10050.200027:154:950:00
03/07vsW5-4000-20040.000024:377:970:00
03/09@W2-100000010.000023:033:150:00
03/11vsW7-101120010.000223:351:400:00
03/13@W5-401130010.000022:870:000:00
03/16@W2-000000020.000218:382:100:00
03/18vsL3-210100070.143027:173:820:00
03/21vsL3-1101-20050.200022:982:830:00
03/23@L4-210110040.250225:854:730:08
03/24vsW2-100000020.000023:553:670:00
03/26@L1-000000040.000023:901:251:18
03/28@W5-402220010.000024:332:720:00
03/30@L3-210110030.333024:234:400:00
APRILSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
04/01vsL4-303320010.000426:874:300:25
04/03vsW4-300000030.000025:852:330:00
04/05vsW6-101130020.000022:984:380:00
04/06@L5-2000-20040.000025:283:170:00