headshot
Braden
Holtby
College None
Team Washington Capitals
70G
6'2"Height
211Weight
29Age
0Exp
Braden Holtby's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 18.6 FanDuel pts Braden Holtby is the #2 ranked goalie. At $8800 he is expected to be the #1 goalie. Based on the projection, Holtby is worth $9K. Ben Bishop (18.7 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 18.2 FPs, a value reached in 36 of 85 games (42%). The combined 'cover percentage' for goalies priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.

  • 4/22 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: WAS 2.7 (#2 Most Today) @ CAR 2.8 (#1 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 18.58 Fantasy Points (#2), 0.52 wins (#1), 0.44 losses (#4 most), 28.52 saves (#1), 2.74 goals allowed (#2 most), 91.2 save percentage (#3)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Holtby is overrated on DraftKings with a projected 4.6 DK pts (#2 among goalies). He is the #1 highest priced goalie ($8200). At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $8.2K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Ben Bishop (4.7 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.6 FPs, a value reached in 36 of 85 games (42%). The combined 'cover percentage' for goalie priced at $4.0K and above is 40%.

Holtby is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Braden Holtby had a good fantasy season and was a 'second tier' fantasy star. He is the #10 ranked fantasy player this season. Even though he missed his fair share of games, had played enough to make his overall fantasy rank better than what it is based on average fantasy points where he is the #20 goalie. He showed an upward trajectory as the season went on. He averaged 5.8 FPs in his first 19 games and 6.5 FP in his final 20 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.77 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Holtby when he 'goes off' is 16 fantasy points (his average is 5.8FPs).

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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

His per game fantasy average is down 13 percent from two seasons ago.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 13.2 fantasy points per week and had 9 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 6 weeks where he was +20% above average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 19.1 FD points and 4.8 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -2.6 and on FanDuel it was -10.4 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 9 and 36 on FanDuel. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
2018WAS59321915340716032.8222
2017WAS54341604306815302.9902
2016WAS63421306368012792.0700
2015WAS6648907384114132.2016
2014WAS734120210424715792.2222
2013WAS48231504265612642.8527
2012WAS3623121120899042.5822
2011WAS742013611512.4900
2010WAS14102127362221.7910
Career (9 Seasons)42025710854024085991352.471021
2018-19 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
Games in October842014402513.4110
Games in November1063015832202.2602
Games in December954005402713.0010
Games in January823014092804.1100
Games in February1054015962702.7200
Games in March1393017793012.3100
Games in April1100060101.0000
CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
Games Won323200019125431.6910
Games Lost2701905149510604.2512
CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
Home Games321790418458022.6022
Road Games2715100115628013.0700
CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
Before All-Star Break35171203197110223.1122
CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
Amalie Arena21100117703.5900
Barclays Center1100060101.0000
Bell Centre21100102502.9400
Capital One Arena321790418458022.6022
Enterprise Center1010060505.0000
Honda Center1010060505.0000
KeyBank Center1010059404.0700
Little Caesars Arena1100060202.0000
Madison Square Garden1100065201.8500
NYCB Live1100060101.0000
Nationwide Arena21100117211.0300
PNC Arena22000125703.3600
PPG Paints Arena201011201105.5000
Rogers Arena1100060202.0000
Rogers Place1010058303.1000
SAP Center at San Jose1100060101.0000
Scotiabank Arena21100118703.5600
T-Mobile Arena1010059404.0700
TD Garden1100060202.0000
United Center10000234010.4300
Wells Fargo Center22000119502.5200
CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
After All-Star Break241570214365812.4200
vs Anaheim Ducks202001181105.5900
vs Arizona Coyotes1010059303.0500
vs Boston Bruins32100178311.0110
vs Buffalo Sabres21100119502.5200
vs Carolina Hurricanes44000245902.2000
vs Columbus Blue Jackets41200204511.4700
vs Calgary Flames1100060303.0000
vs Chicago Blackhawks2100082604.3900
vs Dallas Stars1000163403.8102
vs Detroit Red Wings33000180501.6700
vs Edmonton Oilers1010058303.1000
vs Florida Panthers2000182906.5900
vs Minnesota Wild1010058202.0700
vs Montreal Canadiens32100162602.2200
vs New Jersey Devils22000120311.5000
vs Nashville Predators1010060606.0010
vs New York Islanders32100178401.3500
vs New York Rangers22000127502.3600
vs Ottawa Senators1100060202.0000
vs Philadelphia Flyers33000179602.0100
vs Pittsburgh Penguins412012381403.5300
vs San Jose Sharks21001122803.9300
vs St. Louis Blues1010060505.0000
vs Tampa Bay Lightning311011791204.0200
vs Toronto Maple Leafs312001761103.7500
vs Vancouver Canucks22000120402.0000
CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
vs Vegas Golden Knights21100119603.0300
vs Western Conference Tms1768029806103.7312
vs Own Division221550112914622.1400
vs Eastern Conference Tms4226110324279932.4510
All-Star Games22000207021.0000
Outside Own Division37171404211611413.2322
Overall59321905340716032.8222
2018 Game Log
OCTOBERSTATISTICS
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
10/03vsW7-060100025251.00010
10/04@L7-661001734410.82900
10/10vsW5-260100229310.93500
10/13vsL4-258010424280.85700
10/17vsW4-362100329320.90600
10/19vsL6-52000047110.63600
10/22@W5-260100222240.91700
10/25@L4-158010328310.90300
NOVEMBERSTATISTICS
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
11/01@L6-460010538430.88400
11/03vsL4-363001433370.89202
11/07vsW2-160100141420.97600
11/09vsL2-159010234360.94400
11/11vsL4-159010318210.85700
11/19@W5-442100022221.00000
11/21vsW4-260100237390.94900
11/23vsW3-160100131320.96900
11/26@W4-160100132330.97000
11/30vsW6-360100333360.91700
DECEMBERSTATISTICS
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
12/02vsL6-558010619250.76000
12/04@L5-359010423270.85200
12/08@W4-060100028281.00010
12/11vsW6-260100235370.94600
12/14@W6-565100522270.81500
12/19vsL2-158010228300.93300
12/21vsW2-160100136370.97300
12/27vsW3-160100128290.96600
12/31vsL6-360010628340.82400
JANUARYSTATISTICS
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
01/03@L5-260010537420.88100
01/06@W3-260100223250.92000
01/10@W4-260100239410.95100
01/12vsL2-129000110110.90900
01/18vsL2-058010223250.92000
01/20@L8-52300047110.63600
01/22vsL7-662001736430.83700
01/23@L6-358010531360.86100
FEBRUARYSTATISTICS
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
02/01vsW4-360100327300.90000
02/03vsL1-059010138390.97400
02/05vsW3-260100230320.93800
02/09vsL5-462001526310.83900
02/12@L3-057010229310.93500
02/14@W5-160100125260.96200
02/17@L5-260010534390.87200
02/21@W3-260100240420.95200
02/23@L5-259010433370.89200
02/26vsW7-260100221230.91300
MARCHSTATISTICS
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
03/01@W3-160100120210.95200
03/03@W3-265100222240.91700
03/06@W5-359100327300.90000
03/08vsW3-060100025251.00010
03/12@L5-359010425290.86200
03/14@W5-260100222240.91700
03/16@L6-358010429330.87900
03/20vsL5-462001523280.82100
03/22vsL2-158010225270.92600
03/24vsW3-160100135360.97200
03/26vsW4-160100127280.96400
03/28@W3-260100224260.92300
03/30@W6-360100325280.89300
APRILSTATISTICS
DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
04/04vsW2-160100133340.97100