headshot
Carter
Hutton
College None
Team Buffalo Sabres
40G
6'0"Height
198Weight
33Age
0Exp
Carter Hutton's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 3.9 DraftKings pts Carter Hutton is the #4 ranked goalie. At $7100 he is expected to be the #13 goalie. Based on the projection, Hutton is worth $7.6K. He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Braden Holtby (3.6 FP), Andrei Vasilevskiy (3.7 FP), and John Gibson (3.4 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 3.6 FPs, a value reached in 25 of 71 games (35%). The combined 'cover percentage' for goalie priced at $4.0K and above is 38%.

  • 3/20 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: BUF 3.1 (#6 Most Today) vs TOR 3.4 (#1 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 3.88 Fantasy Points (#4), 0.36 wins (#7), 0.6 losses (#2 most), 29.33 saves (#1), 3.14 goals allowed (#3 most), 90.3 save percentage (#4)

FANDUEL VALUE: Carter Hutton is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 15.5 FD pts (#4 among goalies). At $7500 he is expected to be the #11 goalie. Based on 3/20 salaries and projected points per dollar, Hutton is worth $8.1K. Garret Sparks is also priced at $7500 and is a better option at this price. He is projected for more points than 3 higher priced options: Braden Holtby (14.2 FP), Andrei Vasilevskiy (15 FP), and John Gibson (13.7 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 14.4 FPs, a value reached in 25 of 71 games (35%). The combined 'cover percentage' for goalies priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

Hutton is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other goalies in week 26 Petr Mrazek (13.8 FP) is projected for more points and is starting in fewer leagues. Frederik Andersen (12.5 FP), Mike Smith (7 FP), Robin Lehner (11.9 FP), Corey Crawford (9.5 FP), and Semyon Varlamov (5.9 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Hutton but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 21% of leagues he is expected to produce 8 fantasy points (WK 26). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #31 goalie of week 26. He is projected to be better than that (the #10 goalie). His per game projected FP average is 4.7 which is better than his actual per game average (3).

He is projected for 13.8 fantasy points in week 26 (#10 G) in 3 games.


  • Based on 3/20 start percentages, Carter Hutton is valued behind Howard and above Luongo and the projections agree for this week.
  • Carter Hutton last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    The projections say that Carter Hutton is an elite fantasy goalie worth starting most weeks. Based on ownership percentage (54%), Carter Hutton has a market rank of #31 among goalies. His projection based goalie rank is #24. There could be a nice opportunity to acquire him before the market realizes he is undervalued. Owners should hold onto him and probably decline offers unless there is an even better goalie option available. Jimmy Howard has virtually the same market rank (54% Owned) and is projected for more points than Hutton. He is projected for 34 fantasy points in 7 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#49) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Carter Hutton behind Howard and above Luongo and the projections agree.

    He is projected for more wins as than you would expect based on his save percentage rank.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    Carter Hutton had an OK fantasy season if you were expecting to have him on the bench and only start in certain weeks. He was the number #25 ranked goalie. His ranking drops to the #50 ranked goalie when basing it on average fantasy points. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 5.5 FPs in his first 14 games and 3.3 FP in his final 15 games. A fast start and slow end is somewhat expected given his age. His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.8 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Hutton when he 'goes off' is 13 fantasy points (his average is 4.8FPs).

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    STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

    Hutton is getting older which might explain his drop-off in production. His fantasy average dropped by 19 percent.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 9.2 fantasy points per week and had 10 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 9 weeks where he was +20% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 14.3 FD points and 3.6 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -3.6 and on FanDuel it was -14.4 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 7 and on FanDuel it was 28 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    2018BUF44172005248311902.8812
    2017STL321770316105632.0902
    2016STL301380214595842.3914
    2015NSH1775049793822.3310
    2014NSH18670410104412.6100
    2013NSH4020110420859112.6212
    2012CHI1010059303.0500
    Career (7 Seasons)18280590229684409112.53410
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Games in October944015312602.9402
    Games in November1183006312502.3800
    Games in December815024832102.6100
    Games in January422002021404.1600
    Games in February714013691903.0910
    Games in March512012661403.1600
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Games Won171700010003402.0410
    Games Lost270200514828503.4402
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Home Games221270212695402.5512
    Road Games225130312136503.2200
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Before All-Star Break3215140318488602.7902
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Amalie Arena20101123602.9300
    Bell Centre110002200.0000
    Bell MTS Place110006510.9200
    Bridgestone Arena1010058202.0700
    Canadian Tire Centre1010059303.0500
    Capital One Arena20101123502.4400
    Enterprise Center1010060404.0000
    Honda Center1100060202.0000
    KeyBank Center221270212695402.5512
    Madison Square Garden1010058202.0700
    Nationwide Arena1100060404.0000
    PNC Arena1010058404.1400
    PPG Paints Arena1100061403.9300
    Pepsi Center1010059202.0300
    Prudential Center1010059303.0500
    Rogers Place10100255012.0000
    SAP Center at San Jose1010058404.1400
    Scotiabank Arena1000026306.9200
    T-Mobile Arena1010056303.2100
    United Center1000165403.6900
    Wells Fargo Center1010060404.0000
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    After All-Star Break1226026353303.1210
    vs Anaheim Ducks1100060202.0000
    vs Arizona Coyotes1100060101.0000
    vs Boston Bruins20101119603.0300
    vs Carolina Hurricanes1010058404.1400
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets1100060404.0000
    vs Calgary Flames1000163201.9000
    vs Chicago Blackhawks20101105804.5700
    vs Colorado Avalanche20200119804.0302
    vs Edmonton Oilers2010043506.9800
    vs Florida Panthers1010059404.0700
    vs Montreal Canadiens33000145502.0700
    vs New Jersey Devils21100119402.0200
    vs Nashville Predators1010058202.0700
    vs New York Islanders1010059202.0300
    vs New York Rangers21100118301.5300
    vs Ottawa Senators1010059303.0500
    vs Philadelphia Flyers21100120603.0000
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins21100121904.4600
    vs San Jose Sharks21100120603.0000
    vs St. Louis Blues21100125703.3600
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning31101183702.3000
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs1000026306.9200
    vs Vancouver Canucks1100064302.8100
    vs Washington Capitals31101183702.3010
    vs Winnipeg Jets21100123301.4600
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    vs Vegas Golden Knights21100116502.5900
    vs Western Conference Tms19790210555202.9602
    vs Own Division1144025912802.8400
    vs Eastern Conference Tms2510110314276702.8210
    Outside Own Division3313160318929102.8912
    Overall44172005248311902.8812
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    10/04vsL4-055010322250.88000
    10/06vsW3-160100143440.97700
    10/08vsW4-260100235370.94600
    10/11vsL6-160010624300.80002
    10/16@L4-156010325280.89300
    10/18@L5-158010434380.89500
    10/21@W4-260100226280.92900
    10/25vsW4-360100319220.86400
    10/30vsL2-163001236380.94700
    NOVEMBERSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    11/01@L4-259010328310.90300
    11/04@L3-158010219210.90500
    11/08@W6-5221000551.00000
    11/10vsW4-364100336390.92300
    11/13vsW2-160100129300.96700
    11/16@W2-165100125260.96200
    11/19@W5-461100436400.90000
    11/21vsW5-260100223250.92000
    11/23vsW3-263100231330.93900
    11/27vsW3-262100236380.94700
    11/29@L5-458010532370.86500
    DECEMBERSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    12/03@L2-158010223250.92000
    12/13vsW3-160100125260.96200
    12/15@L4-365000335380.92100
    12/18vsL5-259010431350.88600
    12/21@L2-158010222240.91700
    12/27@L4-160010428320.87500
    12/29vsL3-264001339420.92900
    12/31vsL3-159010230320.93800
    JANUARYSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    01/08vsW5-160100120210.95200
    01/11@L4-358010426300.86700
    01/14@L7-22501057120.58300
    01/29@W5-460100433370.89200
    FEBRUARYSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    02/01vsL7-340010418220.81800
    02/10vsL3-158010226280.92900
    02/17@L4-159010320230.87000
    02/21@L2-165000139400.97500
    02/23vsW5-260100231330.93900
    02/25@L5-32600039120.75000
    02/26@L5-260010440440.90900
    MARCHSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    03/04vsL4-3180000771.00000
    03/07@L5-465000441450.91100
    03/09@L3-059010240420.95200
    03/14vsL5-060010523280.82100
    03/17vsW4-365100330330.90900