headshot
Erik
Johnson
College None
Team Colorado Avalanche
6D
6'4"Height
225Weight
31Age
0Exp
Erik Johnson's Fantasy Scouting Report

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other defensemen in week 26 instead of Johnson consider these better options at lower start percentages: Sami Vatanen (2.9 FP), Connor Murphy (2.4 FP), Michael Stone (2.9 FP), Adam McQuaid (3 FP), and Joe Morrow (1.8 FP). He is starting in just 19% of leagues and with a projected defenseman rank of #168 in week 26 it makes sense that he is not starting in many leagues.

He is projected for 1.67 fantasy points in week 26 (#169 D) in 2 games.


  • Based on 3/24 start percentages, Erik Johnson is valued behind Shattenkirk and above Mayfield but the projections rank Mayfield over Erik Johnson in week 26.
  • Erik Johnson last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (3/24): Projected for 9.9 FanDuel pts Erik Johnson is the #13 ranked defenseman. At $4100 he is expected to be the #11 defenseman. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Johnson is worth $4.7K. Instead of Johnson consider these better options at lower salaries: Jeff Petry (11.7 FP) and Jaccob Slavin (10.1 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 8.6 FPs, a value reached in 25 of 73 games (34%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Johnson is projected for 2.9 DraftKings points and is fairly ranked. At $4400 he is expected to be the #13 defenseman. Based on the projection, Johnson is worth $4.5K. Jaccob Slavin (2.9 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 2.8 FPs, a value reached in 24 of 73 games (33%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 37%.

    Johnson is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Ranking by ownership percentage (29%), Erik Johnson is expected to be the #75 defenseman for the rest of the season. The projections indicate that he is likely to fall short of high market expectations. The projections have him 45 spots lower in the rankings. This is not necessarily a player you would start every active week. He is projected for 5 fantasy points in 8 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#151) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Erik Johnson behind Hainsey and above Mayfield but the projections rank Mayfield over Erik Johnson.

    He has a relatively high shooting percentage.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    Erik Johnson had a decent season as a solid fantasy starter. He was the number #75 ranked defender and the #285 ranked skater overall. His value was boosted by staying healthy (73 GP). Based on average fantasy points he is the #101 defender. He was trending up for the season. In his first 24 games he averaged 1.2 FPs. He improved to 1.5 in his final 25 games. His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. He averaged 1.3 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 12 fantasy points.

    SportsLine has the best NHL picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NBA, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

    STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

    Getting older predictably resulted in a drop in production. His fantasy average dropped by 24 percent.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 3.8 fantasy points per week and had 13 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 8 weeks where he was +20% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 8.1 points and on DraftKings it was 2.4 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 4 and 12.8 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018COL73616220-000000
    2017COL62916250-003001
    2016COL46215170-001000
    2015COL731116270-030001
    2014COL471211230-032000
    2013COL80930390-022000
    2012COL310440-000000
    2011COL73422260-011000
    2010STL-COL77821290-032000
    2009STL791029390-062000
    2007STL69528330-043001
    Career (11 Seasons)71076208284-402216003
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018COL1374.421:54197728.45233.1338219
    2017COL1685.425:261901109.93227.63582119
    2016COL962.122:03135196:38130:129102
    2015COL1756.323:262102149:21225:45502115
    2014COL11510.424:241455124:07117:0133119
    2013COL1575.723:002258211:4180:28611218
    2012COL640.020:4487658:2873:5118009
    2011COL1552.620:501996169:10114:5226208
    2010STL-COL1615.022:492247209:50188:08562118
    2009STL1865.421:252248256:4763:03793127
    2007STL1054.818:101547258:0518:14280014
    Career (11 Seasons)15195.022:12199581672:301472:20456168148
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in October1206680000270262:293407101
    Games in November14213-20000287.1300:1337119112
    Games in December14022-40000180316:063850000
    Games in January8123-10000224.5162:401922001
    Games in February1423580000287.1320:1439510005
    Games in March11123-30000147.1238:112940000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won3421113320000593.4729:1491519107
    Games Lost39459-260000785.1870:39106219112
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games352101260000653.1741:0692825115
    Road Games38461000000725.6858:47104913104
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break483111410000953.21041:28128828214
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Amalie Arena1000000000020:55260000
    American Airlines Center210100000333.344:30590000
    BB&T Center1000200001020:40240000
    Barclays Center11121000042525:12280000
    Bell Centre1000-100004023:47260000
    Bell MTS Place312330000714.366:33824002
    Bridgestone Arena2000100000045:01560000
    Canadian Tire Centre1000-200004021:59250000
    Capital One Arena1000200005022:16250000
    Enterprise Center1000-200001020:01300000
    Gila River Arena2011100004037:21490000
    Honda Center2000000006049:56600000
    KeyBank Center1000100000021:17250000
    Little Caesars Arena1000100001029:22300000
    Madison Square Garden1000000006022:54320000
    Nationwide Arena1011000002022:02310000
    PNC Arena1000-100001022:50265100
    PPG Paints Arena1000-100002023:37310000
    Pepsi Center352101260000653.1741:0692825115
    Prudential Center1011300001021:37270000
    Rogers Arena1000-400000019:10282001
    Rogers Place1000100000022:49250000
    SAP Center at San Jose1000-300002019:03210000
    STAPLES Center1000-100001022:11250000
    Scotiabank Arena1000200005023:53290000
    Scotiabank Saddledome2101-1000042546:34530000
    T-Mobile Arena1000-200001023:12310000
    TD Garden1000-100002028:07330000
    United Center1000000000020:49292001
    Wells Fargo Center1000100002024:11300000
    Xcel Energy Center2000000003046:58530000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break2535850000427.1558:2568910005
    vs Anaheim Ducks3000-200006072:59870000
    vs Arizona Coyotes2011100004037:21490000
    vs Boston Bruins2000000003052:01620000
    vs Buffalo Sabres2011300004040:30520000
    vs Carolina Hurricanes2000-200001043:30525100
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets21232000042543:51610000
    vs Calgary Flames3101-1000042568:10840000
    vs Chicago Blackhawks4011000004092:371102001
    vs Dallas Stars412300000714.385:221130000
    vs Detroit Red Wings2000100002051:55610000
    vs Edmonton Oilers2000100000042:53490000
    vs Florida Panthers2000200003043:19520000
    vs Los Angeles Kings3000-300003050:46580000
    vs Minnesota Wild3000100005066:43810000
    vs Montreal Canadiens2000-100005048:30530000
    vs New Jersey Devils2011300001039:40490000
    vs Nashville Predators3000000004066:21840000
    vs New York Islanders211210000714.345:33520000
    vs New York Rangers2011100009044:26602001
    vs Ottawa Senators2011-200006039:41522001
    vs Philadelphia Flyers2033400009046:32580000
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins210130000812.548:28610000
    vs San Jose Sharks2000-400004043:06500000
    vs St. Louis Blues3000-300002056:317315110
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning2000000002043:30540000
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs2000100009046:26500000
    vs Vancouver Canucks3000-600004065:15884002
    vs Washington Capitals2000200007044:51550000
    vs Winnipeg Jets412350000812.585:321106003
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights2000-100002043:34572001
    vs Western Conference Tms41369-120000575.3877:10109329117
    vs Own Division2125730000306.7453:0657123114
    vs Eastern Conference Tms3231013180000803.8722:438849102
    Outside Own Division5241115300001073.71146:47140615105
    Overall7361622600001374.41599:53197738219
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    10/04vsW4-100010020.000019:750:522:63
    10/06vsW5-203330070.000022:350:174:12
    10/09@L5-201100020.000022:030:225:48
    10/11@W6-100010000.000021:280:008:88
    10/13vsL3-200000000.000021:601:074:57
    10/16@L3-200000060.000022:900:224:57
    10/18@W5-301130010.000021:620:533:37
    10/20@W3-1000-10010.000522:830:152:18
    10/22@W4-100010020.000024:180:134:40
    10/24vsL1-000000020.000022:580:874:20
    10/26vsW6-301100020.000217:700:120:70
    10/27@L3-200000020.000023:651:076:50
    NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    11/01@L6-5000-10020.000025:050:134:50
    11/02@L7-6000-40000.000219:170:332:27
    11/07vsL4-1000-10040.000021:330:371:97
    11/09@L5-2101-10030.333220:330:330:95
    11/11@W4-100010000.000022:820:003:55
    11/14vsW6-300010010.000023:900:003:67
    11/16vsL3-200000020.000022:580:003:37
    11/18@W4-300000040.000025:650:002:47
    11/21@W7-3000-10010.000022:181:033:68
    11/23@W5-100010020.000018:150:333:15
    11/24vsW3-2011-10030.000021:750:201:50
    11/27@W3-200000000.000022:080:432:72
    11/28vsW6-310140060.167024:850:321:88
    11/30vsL3-200000000.0001510:371:052:02
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/02@W2-000010010.000029:370:002:32
    12/04@L6-3000-10020.000023:620:001:30
    12/06@W5-200020010.000020:670:085:25
    12/08@L7-100000000.000020:920:282:90
    12/11vsL6-400000000.000020:070:183:88
    12/14@L4-3000-20010.000020:020:032:82
    12/15vsW6-401110010.000019:120:283:63
    12/17vsL4-100000030.000020:350:003:87
    12/19vsW2-100000010.000024:720:353:55
    12/21vsL2-100000030.000027:050:735:40
    12/22@L6-401100020.000019:200:001:97
    12/27@L2-1000-20010.000023:200:033:12
    12/29vsL3-2000-10000.000021:250:030:00
    12/31vsL3-2000-20020.000026:573:122:30
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/02vsL5-4000-10020.000024:053:252:47
    01/04vsW6-101110030.000221:532:180:95
    01/08@L7-401100020.000023:900:072:55
    01/09@L5-310100020.500021:520:301:50
    01/12@L3-0000-10040.000023:780:003:97
    01/14@W6-300020050.000023:880:072:02
    01/16@L5-2000-20040.000021:980:135:05
    01/19vsW7-100000000.00002:020:000:00
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/02vsL5-1000-20020.000021:900:102:38
    02/05vsL6-311220020.500021:820:122:25
    02/07@L4-300020050.000022:270:006:35
    02/09@L4-311210040.250025:200:001:67
    02/10@L2-1000-10020.000028:120:375:35
    02/12vsL5-2000-10040.000022:550:005:27
    02/14@W4-101140020.000222:320:830:80
    02/16vsL3-0000-10010.000026:131:853:95
    02/18vsW3-000010010.000220:370:003:75
    02/20vsW7-100020010.000218:980:003:47
    02/22@W5-300000000.000220:820:003:50
    02/23@W5-000010000.000022:930:576:37
    02/25vsL4-300000020.000022:650:422:65
    02/27vsW3-200000020.000224:180:285:53
    MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    03/01@L4-3000-30020.000019:050:003:38
    03/03@L2-100000020.000024:280:003:08
    03/05vsW4-300000010.000022:550:153:18
    03/07@L4-0000-10010.000023:900:071:38
    03/09vsW3-001120040.000019:220:001:30
    03/11vsL3-0000-10000.000020:670:020:55
    03/15vsL5-3000-20000.000023:050:303:02
    03/17vsW3-000000000.000018:050:034:72
    03/19@W3-100000010.000023:320:673:50
    03/21@W3-110110020.500020:600:001:85
    03/23vsW4-201110010.000023:501:973:80