WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Martin Jones is a bad value this week. He has a market rank of #5 while his projection (week 25) rank is #20. When compared to other goalies in week 25 instead of Jones consider these better options at lower start percentages: Tuukka Rask (16 FP), Robin Lehner (17 FP), Corey Crawford (17 FP), Sergei Bobrovsky (15 FP), and Semyon Varlamov (17 FP). Starting in 73% of leagues he is expected to produce 17 fantasy points (WK 25). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #5 goalie of the week, but he is projected to be the #20 goalie. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 3.7 short of expectations. Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing 2 games.

He is projected for 13.56 fantasy points in week 25 (#19 G) in 2 games.

Martin Jones last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

DRAFTKINGS VALUE (3/18): Projected for 5.2 DraftKings pts Martin Jones is the #2 ranked goalie. He is the #6 highest priced goalie ($7700). Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Jones is worth $9.2K. Cam Ward is also priced at $7700, and Jones is a better option at this price. He is projected for more points than 2 higher priced options: Corey Crawford (4.8 FP) and Connor Hellebuyck (4.9 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.4 FPs, a value reached in 31 of 72 games (43%). The combined 'cover percentage' for goalie priced at $4.0K and above is 34%.

FANDUEL VALUE: Martin Jones is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 21 FD pts (#2 among goalies). At $8600 he is expected to be the #3 goalie. Using the salaries and projected points for healthy players in in today's pool to calculate expected points per dollar, Jones is worth $10K. Darcy Kuemper is also priced at $8600, and Jones is a better option at this price. Based on salary, he is expected to have 18 FPs, a value reached in 27 of 72 games (38%). The combined 'cover percentage' for goalies priced at $4.0K and above is 33%.

Jones is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

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REST OF SEASON VALUE

His latest projection based rank among goalies is #3. Based on ownership percentage (87%), Martin Jones has a market rank of #5 among goalies. Martin Jones's projection rank is slightly better than their market rank. There are other goalies with virtually the same market rank (Frederik Andersen, Sergei Bobrovsky, Pekka Rinne, Braden Holtby, Connor Hellebuyck 87% Owned) and Jones ranks #2 out of 6. He is projected for 49 fantasy points in 8 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#9) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Martin Jones behind Andersen and above Holtby but the projections rank Martin Jones over Andersen.

His overall ranking is boosted by getting a lot of wins playing on a good team. His save percentage rank is not as high as his overall.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Martin Jones had a good, but not elite, year in fantasy. He was the number #9 ranked goalie. Even though he missed his fair share of games, had played enough to make his overall fantasy rank better than what it is based on average fantasy points where he is the #25 goalie. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 18 games he averaged 6.5 fantasy points which was higher than his start (4.3 FP) and his ending average (5.7 FP). Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, Jones is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. He averaged 5.5 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 13 fantasy points.

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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

The table below shows his relatively steady fantasy production over the past 3 seasons.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 12.6 fantasy points per week and had 9 weeks where he exceeded that by 20% and 8 'bad' weeks where he came up 20% short of his average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 18 points and on DraftKings it was 4.4 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -3.2 and on FanDuel it was -12.8 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 8.4 and on FanDuel it was 33.6 FPs. He has had more good FanDuel games (exceed average by 20%) than bad games (20% below average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.