headshot
Adrian
Kempe
College None
Team Los Angeles Kings
9C
6'2"Height
195Weight
22Age
0Exp
Adrian Kempe's Fantasy Scouting Report

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Based on ownership percentage (7%), Adrian Kempe has a market rank of #79 among centers. Adrian Kempe's market rank is better than our current projections indicate. His fantasy center projection rank is #95. He is projected for 8 fantasy points in 10 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#103) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Adrian Kempe behind Spezza and above Zacha but the projections rank Adrian Kempe over Spezza.

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He has a relatively high shooting percentage.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other centers in week 26 instead of Kempe consider these better options at lower start percentages: Brad Richardson (3.3 FP), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (3.3 FP), Scott Laughton (3.4 FP), Matt Cullen (2.7 FP), and Kyle Brodziak (3 FP). He is starting in just 2% of leagues and with a projected center rank of #107 in week 26 it makes sense that he is not starting in many leagues.

He is projected for 2.37 fantasy points in week 26 (#106 C) in 4 games.


  • Based on 3/21 start percentages, Adrian Kempe is valued behind Goldobin and above Chytil but the projections rank Adrian Kempe over Goldobin in week 26.
  • Adrian Kempe last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    FANDUEL VALUE (3/21): Kempe is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 6.5 FD pts (#66 among centers). At $4000 he is expected to be the #56 center. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $3.2K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Brad Richardson is also priced at $4000 and is a better option at this price. Instead of Kempe consider these better options at lower salaries: Casey Cizikas (8.9 FP), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (7.9 FP), Kyle Turris (8.4 FP), Nick Bonino (8.2 FP), and Chris Tierney (8 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 8.2 FPs, a value reached in 22 of 71 games (31%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 1.8 DraftKings pts Kempe is the #71 ranked center. He is the #66 highest priced center ($3100). Based on the projection, Kempe is worth $2.8K. Lucas Wallmark is also priced at $3100 and is a better option at this price. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Trevor Lewis (2 FP), Kyle Turris (2.3 FP), Adam Lowry (1.8 FP), Colton Sissons (2.2 FP), and Nick Cousins (2 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 2 FPs, a value reached in 26 of 71 games (37%). The combined 'cover percentage' for center priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

    Kempe is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    He was the #443 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #85 center. His center ranking drops to #109 when basing it on average fantasy points. He showed an upward trajectory as the season went on. He averaged 0.7 FPs in his first 23 games and 1 FP in his final 24 games. Given his youth, he should be able to continue showing improvement next season. His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. Our projected ceiling for Kempe when he 'goes off' is 10 fantasy points (his average is 0.8FPs).

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    STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

    As a young player, his dropoff in fantasy production is disappointing. His fantasy average dropped by 43 percent.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 2.3 fantasy points per week and had 14 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 10 weeks where he was +20% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 6 points and on DraftKings it was 1.6 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. When he was bad in DFS, he was really bad with a floor of zero points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 4 and 15.2 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018LA711114250-0020271368
    2017LA811621370-0130263420
    2016LA252460-00106786
    Career (3 Seasons)177293968-4160601874
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018LA10510.514:15147393.2333.83320015
    2017LA11913.413:19160689.976.57491021
    2016LA326.212:1243320:0515:386003
    Career (3 Seasons)25611.313:323512203:1756:02871039
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in October11112-30010214.8142:2722316008
    Games in November15235100001414.3182:012806002
    Games in December13235-400002010186:492846003
    Games in January10011-40000100147:252062001
    Games in February14448-200002913.8223:483060000
    Games in March8224000101118.2130:231742001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won246713400204214.3343:0951210005
    Games Lost475712-160000637.9669:44961220010
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games35358-90010456.7491:0069412006
    Road Games368917-300106013.3521:5377920009
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break495813-100010657.7658:42993300014
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Amalie Arena1000000001017:17240000
    American Airlines Center2000000000025:01424002
    BB&T Center1000-100000014:23200000
    Bell Centre110110010333.310:18202001
    Bell MTS Place1000000001013:15190000
    Bridgestone Arena2011100002032:27430000
    Canadian Tire Centre1000000005012:54200000
    Capital One Arena1011000003017:45220000
    Enterprise Center1011100001012:43190000
    Gila River Arena11011000025015:27230000
    Honda Center1011000004019:09260000
    KeyBank Center11010000025013:29220000
    Little Caesars Arena1000000003014:02212001
    Madison Square Garden121320000366.716:27240000
    NYCB Live1000-100003012:53210000
    Nationwide Arena1000-200000012:39200000
    PNC Arena1000000001015:45210000
    PPG Paints Arena1011-100000014:11230000
    Pepsi Center2000-400001028:54420000
    Prudential Center11010000042516:27240000
    Rogers Arena1000-100001015:43230000
    Rogers Place1000000000011:55200000
    SAP Center at San Jose2000100007031:06480000
    STAPLES Center35358-90010456.7491:0069412006
    Scotiabank Arena1000000001012:48202001
    Scotiabank Saddledome11011000025013:50224001
    T-Mobile Arena2011100002029:37444002
    TD Garden1011-200002016:29240000
    United Center1000000002013:18200000
    Wells Fargo Center110110000333.315:48220000
    Xcel Energy Center2011-100001025:53402001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break226612-200104015354:114802001
    vs Anaheim Ducks2011000004029:02442001
    vs Arizona Coyotes310100000616.742:47620000
    vs Boston Bruins2022-200005032:21450000
    vs Buffalo Sabres2101-1000042528:08470000
    vs Carolina Hurricanes1000000001015:45210000
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets2000-200000022:21360000
    vs Calgary Flames210110000333.323:53384001
    vs Chicago Blackhawks21121001042530:51442001
    vs Colorado Avalanche3000-400001032:31480000
    vs Dallas Stars3000000001040:30654002
    vs Detroit Red Wings2000000004027:02402001
    vs Edmonton Oilers3000100000039:53630000
    vs Florida Panthers2000-200000028:16400000
    vs Minnesota Wild3011-100002038:11582001
    vs Montreal Canadiens210110010333.327:05412001
    vs New Jersey Devils220200000633.330:29460000
    vs Nashville Predators3011100002048:27620000
    vs New York Islanders2000-200006027:33444002
    vs New York Rangers222410000633.329:56430000
    vs Ottawa Senators2000000005030:14400000
    vs Philadelphia Flyers2101-1000052030:36430000
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins2011-100004026:59410000
    vs San Jose Sharks3000100008047:47692001
    vs St. Louis Blues3011000004041:40570000
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning2000-100002034:51440000
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs21011000025022:11342001
    vs Vancouver Canucks3011-200007047:53670000
    vs Washington Capitals2011000003032:10400000
    vs Winnipeg Jets3000-200003045:00642001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights4022100004058:31874002
    vs Western Conference Tms403811-30010496.1566:56828220010
    vs Own Division2024620000326.3289:4643012005
    vs Eastern Conference Tms318614-900105614.3445:5764510005
    Outside Own Division5191019-1400207312.3723:071043200010
    Overall71111425-12002010510.51012:531473320015
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    10/05vsL3-200000010.000216:685:050:53
    10/07vsW4-200000010.000013:001:420:00
    10/09@L2-100000010.000013:250:130:00
    10/11@W3-010110030.333210:300:000:10
    10/13@L5-100000050.000012:900:220:00
    10/15@L4-100000010.000212:800:050:00
    10/18vsL7-2000-10030.000414:671:680:32
    10/20vsL5-1000-10020.000014:651:481:02
    10/23@L4-200000000.00049:930:120:00
    10/25@L4-1000-10010.000210:780:331:93
    10/28vsW4-3011-10030.000013:480:500:00
    NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    11/01vsL5-2000-20020.000014:801:780:85
    11/03vsW4-100000000.00009:700:000:00
    11/06vsW4-100000000.00029:880:000:00
    11/08vsL3-100000010.000012:300:001:27
    11/10vsL1-000000010.000010:050:020:00
    11/13vsL5-110110011.00009:380:070:00
    11/16@W2-100000020.000013:300:870:00
    11/17@L5-301110010.000015:121:870:00
    11/19@W2-001110010.000012:720:000:00
    11/21vsL7-300000000.00003:620:000:00
    11/24vsL4-201100020.000014:700:450:00
    11/25vsW5-200000000.000014:981:200:63
    11/27@W2-1000-10010.000015:722:001:05
    11/29@L3-200000000.000011:921:170:65
    11/30@L4-110110020.500413:830:570:00
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/04vsL2-1000-10020.000012:951:550:00
    12/06vsL6-310100020.500014:030:220:00
    12/08vsW5-101100010.000014:300:700:63
    12/10@L3-100000030.000214:030:900:00
    12/11@L4-310100020.500013:481:830:00
    12/13@L4-1000-20000.000012:651:920:07
    12/15@L4-3011-10000.000014:181:970:00
    12/18vsW4-1000-10010.000216:221:580:00
    12/22@W3-200010040.000018:030:930:00
    12/23@W4-301110020.000215:120:630:00
    12/27vsW2-100000020.000014:381:970:00
    12/29vsL4-100000010.000014:601:330:00
    12/31@W3-2000-10000.000012:831:670:32
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/01@L2-000000000.000214:501:400:00
    01/03vsL6-2000-10010.000017:574:180:00
    01/05vsW4-000010000.000012:980:950:00
    01/07@L3-100000030.000013:070:000:85
    01/10vsL4-100000000.000017:331:930:00
    01/12vsW5-200000040.000012:802:400:00
    01/15@L3-201100000.000015:100:750:00
    01/17@W2-100000000.000015:080:000:13
    01/19@L7-1000-30010.000016:072:920:00
    01/21vsW4-3000-10010.000012:921:980:00
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/02@L4-2000-10030.000012:882:330:98
    02/04@W4-321320030.667016:451:200:95
    02/05@W5-110100040.250016:450:882:35
    02/07@W3-210110030.333015:800:000:42
    02/09@L5-4011-20020.000016:483:930:95
    02/11@L6-401100030.000017:752:002:32
    02/14vsL4-3000-10040.000017:471:781:50
    02/16vsL4-201100030.000015:872:200:82
    02/18vsL3-200000000.000014:422:000:42
    02/21@L2-100000010.000017:333:081:72
    02/23@L6-1000-10000.000014:381:021:37
    02/25@L4-300000010.000017:284:181:15
    02/26@L6-100000010.000015:750:770:97
    02/28vsL4-300000010.000015:481:502:23
    MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    03/02vsW6-311210020.500217:550:570:55
    03/05vsL3-100000000.000016:781:630:58
    03/07vsL4-000000020.000016:032:300:67
    03/09@L4-210110020.500015:450:781:15
    03/10@W3-201100040.000019:152:570:82
    03/14vsL3-100000000.000016:001:820:33
    03/16vsL4-3000-10000.000013:880:851:25
    03/18vsL3-2000-10010.000015:531:150:00