headshot
Olli
Maatta
College None
Team Pittsburgh Penguins
3D
6'2"Height
206Weight
24Age
0Exp
Olli Maatta's Fantasy Scouting Report

REST OF SEASON VALUE

Ranking by ownership percentage (16%), Olli Maatta is expected to be the #89 defenseman for the rest of the season. Projected to be a backup defenseman his value could reach market expectations if there is an injury to the starters. He is projected for 4 fantasy points in 6 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #152 highest average. The market ranks Olli Maatta behind Zadorov and above Toews but the projections rank Toews over Olli Maatta.

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He has a relatively high shooting percentage.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

When compared to other defensemen in week 26 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Connor Murphy (2.8 FP), Michael Stone (2.6 FP), Adam McQuaid (3.2 FP), Kevan Miller (2.6 FP), and Zach Trotman (2.3 FP). He is starting in just 4% of leagues and with a projected defenseman rank of #194 in week 26 it makes sense that he is not starting in many leagues.

He is projected for 1.25 fantasy points in week 26 (#196 D) in 2 games.


  • Based on 3/19 start percentages, Olli Maatta is valued behind Gudbranson and above Stralman but the projections rank Stralman over Olli Maatta in week 26.
  • Olli Maatta last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    DAILY FANTASY VALUE

    DRAFTKINGS VALUE (3/19): Projected for 1.2 DraftKings pts Maatta is the #126 ranked defenseman. At $3300 he is expected to be the #73 defenseman. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $1.9K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Adam Larsson is also priced at $3300 and is a better option at this price. These are 5 better options at lower salaries: Adam McQuaid (1.8 FP), Matt Irwin (1.5 FP), Zach Trotman (1.8 FP), Mark Pysyk (1.6 FP), and Trevor Daley (1.8 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 2.1 FPs, a value reached in 21 of 55 games (38%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defenseman priced at $4.0K and above is 39%.

    FANDUEL VALUE: Maatta is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 4.1 FD pts (#128 among defensemen). He is the #82 highest priced defenseman ($3500). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Maatta is worth $2K. He is projected for more points than 2 higher priced options: Mike Reilly (3.2 FP) and Matt Grzelcyk (2.9 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 7 FPs, a value reached in 21 of 55 games (38%). The combined 'cover percentage' for defensemen priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

    Maatta is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    He was the #473 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #136 defender. His defender ranking drops to #153 when basing it on average fantasy points. His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 18 games he averaged 1.1 FPs and that declined to 0.8 in his final 19 games. He is young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. Our projected ceiling for Maatta when he 'goes off' is 7 fantasy points (his average is 0.9FPs).

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    STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

    As a young player, his dropoff in fantasy production is disappointing. His fantasy average dropped by 31 percent.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    He has averaged 2.7 fantasy points per week and had 9 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 8 weeks where he was +20% above average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 7.2 FD points and 2.1 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 1.6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 3.5 and 12.8 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018PIT55112130-011000
    2017PIT82722290-003000
    2016PIT551670-000000
    2015PIT67613190-002000
    2014PIT201890-000000
    2013PIT78920290-031000
    Career (6 Seasons)35725811065947000
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018PIT651.518:32140644.73116.2810005
    2017PIT1644.318:452087108.15116.53280014
    2016PIT661.518:0313867:01127:1412006
    2015PIT956.319:57183146:07120:20220011
    2014PIT273.720:4251626:1747:3210005
    2013PIT1197.618:29179794:1386:3214007
    Career (6 Seasons)5364.718:539023326:31614:27960048
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in October90225000050173:422392001
    Games in November1405510000240269:093674002
    Games in December15033-20000140287:513912001
    Games in January1111231010175.9197:062752001
    Games in February6011000005091:511340000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won28178111010303.3513:526934002
    Games Lost27055-40000350505:477136003
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games26156-71010372.7487:436676003
    Road Games29077140000280531:567394002
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break491111271010601.7927:48127210005
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Amalie Arena1000100002019:10280000
    BB&T Center1000000000017:26250000
    Barclays Center1011000002020:26260000
    Bell Centre1000000001019:47280000
    Bell MTS Place1011000001020:25270000
    Canadian Tire Centre2000-100001038:16550000
    Capital One Arena2000000006041:10550000
    Enterprise Center1000000001018:33260000
    Gila River Arena1000100000018:17240000
    Honda Center1000100001017:32230000
    Madison Square Garden1000100001017:09230000
    NYCB Live1000-100000020:04280000
    PNC Arena1000200001019:50260000
    PPG Paints Arena26156-71010372.7487:436676003
    Pepsi Center1000100002018:06270000
    Prudential Center1000100002020:42240000
    Rogers Arena1011400001020:17290000
    Rogers Place1000100000018:12282001
    SAP Center at San Jose1000000001018:32250000
    STAPLES Center1000100000018:02250000
    Scotiabank Arena2011000001034:40520000
    Scotiabank Saddledome1011100000021:00280000
    T-Mobile Arena1011000003017:27262001
    TD Garden1000000000017:30250000
    United Center1011000001015:51250000
    Wells Fargo Center100010000004:5770000
    Xcel Energy Center1000000000018:35240000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break6011000005091:511340000
    vs Anaheim Ducks2000000001036:06460000
    vs Arizona Coyotes2011200003037:58480000
    vs Boston Bruins2000-200000036:40510000
    vs Buffalo Sabres1000100002021:19282001
    vs Carolina Hurricanes2000000002035:37500000
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets1000-100001018:35250000
    vs Calgary Flames1011100000021:00280000
    vs Chicago Blackhawks2011-100002034:07520000
    vs Colorado Avalanche2011200003039:06560000
    vs Dallas Stars1011200002017:43270000
    vs Detroit Red Wings1000-100001017:27210000
    vs Edmonton Oilers1000100000018:12282001
    vs Florida Panthers2000100001036:52530000
    vs Los Angeles Kings2011100003039:22522001
    vs Minnesota Wild2000-100001036:14470000
    vs Montreal Canadiens2000-200002037:43550000
    vs New Jersey Devils3011-2000010055:22762001
    vs New York Islanders4011000004079:461050000
    vs New York Rangers1000100001017:09230000
    vs Ottawa Senators3000-100002055:05760000
    vs Philadelphia Flyers2000100000027:03390000
    vs San Jose Sharks1000000001018:32250000
    vs St. Louis Blues1000000001018:33260000
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning3000200003055:26790000
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs3011-100003053:54820000
    vs Vancouver Canucks2011500001039:11520000
    vs Washington Capitals3000-100007060:19810000
    vs Winnipeg Jets21120101052037:51490000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights1011000003017:27262001
    vs Western Conference Tms221910121010263.8411:225626003
    vs Own Division16022-20000250293:513992001
    vs Eastern Conference Tms33033-50000390608:178444002
    Outside Own Division391101191010402.5725:4810078004
    Overall551121371010651.51019:39140610005
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    10/04vsW7-6000-10010.000019:150:001:70
    10/06vsL5-1000-20010.000017:930:151:70
    10/13@L4-300000010.000019:780:781:78
    10/16vsL3-200010000.000018:900:000:00
    10/18@W3-000000000.000016:970:130:87
    10/23@W6-500010000.000218:201:232:65
    10/25@W9-101110000.000021:000:832:35
    10/27@W5-001140010.000020:280:572:78
    10/30vsL6-300010010.000021:481:523:42
    NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    11/01@L3-201100020.000020:431:530:80
    11/03vsL5-0000-10020.000019:233:282:12
    11/05vsL5-1011-20030.000217:601:181:82
    11/07@L2-1000-10020.000020:230:456:47
    11/10vsW4-001110030.000019:680:553:17
    11/13@L4-200010020.000020:701:282:12
    11/15vsL4-300010010.000018:352:272:75
    11/17@L6-4000-10010.000019:281:133:48
    11/19vsL5-400010020.000221:321:522:35
    11/21vsW5-101120020.000017:720:002:13
    11/23@L2-100000000.000017:500:520:00
    11/24vsW4-2000-10010.000018:580:000:43
    11/27@W4-301100010.000020:420:631:58
    11/28@L6-300010020.000018:101:250:32
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/01vsL4-200000000.000022:100:924:02
    12/04vsW6-301110010.000021:000:852:85
    12/06vsW6-200000010.000017:781:272:33
    12/08@L2-100000000.000018:980:484:12
    12/10@W2-1000-10000.000020:073:333:68
    12/12@L6-301100010.000015:851:431:28
    12/14vsW5-3000-20000.000019:170:531:75
    12/15vsW4-301100030.000221:333:652:55
    12/17vsL4-2000-10000.000018:572:182:28
    12/19@W2-100010040.000020:931:676:47
    12/20vsW2-1000-10010.000017:650:002:07
    12/22@W3-000020010.000019:830:003:88
    12/27vsW5-2000-10010.000017:450:001:15
    12/29@W6-100000010.000018:550:001:72
    12/31@W3-200000000.000018:580:000:63
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/02@W7-200010010.000017:150:001:32
    01/04vsW4-010101040.250017:431:550:55
    01/06vsL5-3000-10010.000018:270:002:88
    01/08vsW5-100010010.000019:430:822:42
    01/11@W7-400010010.000017:531:031:10
    01/12@L5-200010000.000018:032:052:25
    01/15@L5-200000010.000018:530:581:20
    01/18@W3-200010000.000018:280:002:95
    01/19@L7-301100030.000217:450:001:18
    01/28vsL6-3000-10050.000017:070:003:85
    01/30vsW4-200000000.000017:921:021:70
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/01vsW5-300000010.000016:820:000:98
    02/02@L3-201100010.000017:700:001:38
    02/05vsL4-0000-20010.000015:780:001:20
    02/07@L3-200000000.000017:430:003:08
    02/09@L5-400010020.000019:170:000:00
    02/11@W4-100010000.00004:950:550:67