headshot
Nathan
MacKinnon
College None
Team Colorado Avalanche
29C
6'0"Height
205Weight
23Age
0Exp
Nathan MacKinnon's Fantasy Scouting Report

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Nathan MacKinnon is the number #2 ranked center and the #26 ranked skater overall. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (82). Based on average fantasy points he is the #5 center. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 4.6 FPs in his first 27 games and 2.8 FP in his final 28 games. He is young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. He averaged 3.4 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 11 fantasy points.

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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

His per game fantasy average is up 127 percent from two seasons ago.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 10.3 fantasy points per week and had 12 weeks where he exceeded that by 20% and 11 'bad' weeks where he came up 20% short of his average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 19.4 points and on DraftKings it was 5.4 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1 and on FanDuel it was 3.2 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 9 and 32.5 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
2018COL824158990-01260517666
2017COL743958970-012120485672
2016COL821637530-0240769752
2015COL722131520-0760507540
2014COL641424380-0320201227
2013COL822439630-0850194258
Career (6 Seasons)456155247402264435026733115
YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
2018COL36511.222:052024335.438.73340017
2017COL28413.719:541760267.0022.65553115
2016COL2516.419:562097227:52143:0916008
2015COL2458.618:511696210:2041:4320009
2014COL1927.317:021364155:453:10342012
2013COL24110.017:201735191:315:41260013
Career (6 Seasons)15789.819:16106761387:54225:061855174
2018-19 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games in October1299181200105217.3264:5928710005
Games in November1491423040105915.3309:043424002
Games in December146121831010708.6308:273396003
Games in January10391222000368.3216:132282001
Games in February146410-12010659.2299:173566003
Games in March14681422020669.1322:473776003
Games in April4224210001711.890:43950000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games Won38264167501006018514.1815:4192218009
Games Lost44151732-3020001808.3995:49110216008
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Home Games4120325211504018510.8901:02102314007
Road Games412126479702018011.7910:281001200010
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Before All-Star Break5027447117703021712.41098:431196220011
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Amalie Arena11010000052019:38200000
American Airlines Center2000-1000013047:06490000
BB&T Center1011300003019:26220000
Barclays Center1000000003019:30260000
Bell Centre1000-100001024:08240000
Bell MTS Place3033-2000014066:24720000
Bridgestone Arena2415220101330.841:17460000
Canadian Tire Centre1112-11000333.323:48210000
Capital One Arena110110000616.723:29262001
Enterprise Center2022-200008047:20520000
Gila River Arena21231000042541:23460000
Honda Center212311000911.149:54530000
KeyBank Center12022000045019:20192001
Little Caesars Arena111211010616.721:11230000
Madison Square Garden110110000333.322:33272001
Nationwide Arena1101-2000042520:46240000
PNC Arena11232000052020:58242001
PPG Paints Arena1000-100002021:52252001
Pepsi Center4120325211504018510.8901:02102314007
Prudential Center1033200005021:42232001
Rogers Arena1213-1100082523:56282001
Rogers Place1022200004018:52210000
SAP Center at San Jose211200000714.347:44480000
STAPLES Center11120100042518:12202001
Scotiabank Arena1000200004021:15242001
Scotiabank Saddledome2101-10000101048:55500000
T-Mobile Arena1011-100007023:15260000
TD Garden110110000616.722:44292001
United Center2011-1000010045:58550000
Wells Fargo Center1011200001019:51230000
Xcel Energy Center2000000008048:01550000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
After All-Star Break32141428350301489.5712:4782812006
vs Anaheim Ducks3235-110001612.572:26800000
vs Arizona Coyotes32240100082563:10752001
vs Boston Bruins22132001082544:52522001
vs Buffalo Sabres232540010742.941:43452001
vs Carolina Hurricanes212300000128.342:52512001
vs Columbus Blue Jackets2112-40000616.742:38500000
vs Calgary Flames3202-100001315.471:20772001
vs Chicago Blackhawks511210000303.3116:381300000
vs Dallas Stars424620000267.789:27970000
vs Detroit Red Wings222431020102045:46520000
vs Edmonton Oilers314541000137.760:42654002
vs Florida Panthers2011300007041:22490000
vs Los Angeles Kings323521000102054:57652001
vs Minnesota Wild411210010175.989:12980000
vs Montreal Canadiens2022100003045:02480000
vs New Jersey Devils214540000119.143:44484002
vs Nashville Predators4426-220101921.186:51950000
vs New York Islanders2011-200009041:53520000
vs New York Rangers2224210001118.243:42472001
vs Ottawa Senators22352100082547:36470000
vs Philadelphia Flyers212330000812.543:46470000
vs Pittsburgh Penguins21341000042542:47522001
vs San Jose Sharks312310000128.371:03760000
vs St. Louis Blues4022-5000015090:341020000
vs Tampa Bay Lightning210100000911.142:23440000
vs Toronto Maple Leafs2000100006041:05482001
vs Vancouver Canucks3314-210001816.769:10804002
vs Washington Capitals210100000911.145:24512001
vs Winnipeg Jets5145-11000254115:191250000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
vs Vegas Golden Knights313411000156.764:06762001
vs Western Conference Tms50233255090202379.71114:55124116008
vs Own Division2691423-430201326.8588:016470000
vs Eastern Conference Tms3218264420304012814.1696:3578318009
Outside Own Division5632447624904023313.71223:291377340017
Overall82415899201206036511.21811:302024340017
2018 Game Log
OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
10/04vsW4-110110080.125022:533:320:12
10/06vsW5-211210070.143023:925:780:00
10/09@L5-2101-20040.250020:773:670:12
10/11@W6-120220040.500219:335:780:58
10/13vsL3-210100030.333222:425:450:15
10/16@L3-210110030.333222:553:420:90
10/18@W5-303320050.000221:705:780:15
10/20@W3-112320050.200220:974:380:12
10/22@W4-101120010.000019:852:500:10
10/24vsL1-000000040.000022:755:200:23
10/26vsW6-312330050.200023:803:970:02
10/27@L3-200000030.000024:407:700:00
NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
11/01@L6-5000-30040.000023:301:370:15
11/02@L7-6213-11080.250223:933:420:00
11/07vsL4-1011-20040.000024:473:680:27
11/09@L5-2000-20030.000023:356:280:00
11/11@W4-102220040.000018:872:400:18
11/14vsW6-311210020.500022:132:080:15
11/16vsL3-2000-10030.000021:922:750:25
11/18@W4-312311070.143025:721:620:32
11/21@W7-311201040.250218:202:470:00
11/23@W5-102220020.000019:535:220:00
11/24vsW3-211210060.167022:384:000:00
11/27@W3-220211070.286021:402:230:33
11/28vsW6-313420020.500020:920:000:10
11/30vsL3-2000-10030.000022:955:100:00
DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
12/02@W2-011211060.167021:180:100:03
12/04@L6-3000-10020.000221:872:900:00
12/06@W5-201130030.000019:433:620:00
12/08@L7-110100050.200019:632:570:00
12/11vsL6-402210050.000423:686:030:13
12/14@L4-3011-20060.000025:787:330:03
12/15vsW6-413420070.143019:976:950:12
12/17vsL4-1011-20060.000022:387:300:00
12/19vsW2-102220020.000020:902:820:02
12/21vsL2-100000080.000022:926:970:12
12/22@L6-4101-10020.500021:853:670:00
12/27@L2-1011-10070.000023:254:080:33
12/29vsL3-210100070.143023:724:350:00
12/31vsL3-210110040.250021:884:880:00
JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
01/02vsL5-401110050.000023:324:720:02
01/04vsW6-112311080.125021:1511:900:12
01/08@L7-4022-10040.000022:335:901:03
01/09@L5-310120060.167025:625:230:00
01/12@L3-0000-10010.000024:135:970:08
01/14@W6-300020040.000221:253:250:13
01/16@L5-2112-11030.333023:804:220:00
01/19vsW7-102210020.000014:872:900:00
01/21vsL4-1000-20020.000021:105:580:00
01/23vsL5-201100010.000018:652:630:28
FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
02/02vsL5-1000-20040.000021:754:580:00
02/05vsL6-3011-20020.000021:874:230:05
02/07@L4-310110060.167223:483:220:13
02/09@L4-300000030.000019:500:920:00
02/10@L2-110110060.167222:733:920:45
02/12vsL5-2000-10020.000019:832:780:00
02/14@W4-101110070.000020:723:600:00
02/16vsL3-0000-20040.000020:283:270:00
02/18vsW3-001110040.000019:552:570:28
02/20vsW7-110101050.200022:237:350:02
02/22@W5-300000060.000022:034:750:00
02/23@W5-021311060.333019:885:620:00
02/25vsL4-300000040.000021:932:320:00
02/27vsW3-210110060.167223:483:850:07
MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
03/01@L4-301100020.000023:402:380:07
03/03@L2-100000020.000024:184:930:20
03/05vsW4-311220040.250024:583:950:00
03/07@L4-0000-20040.000023:882:650:05
03/09vsW3-012320030.333022:383:630:08
03/11vsL3-0000-20070.000021:903:900:00
03/15vsL5-3112-20070.143022:532:480:02
03/17vsW3-011220060.167222:034:300:03
03/19@W3-100000050.000023:624:250:00
03/21@W3-100010090.000023:223:620:00
03/23vsW4-200020050.000024:035:320:00
03/24@L2-1011-10040.000023:933:170:23
03/27vsW4-311211040.250221:302:920:00
03/29vsW3-2101-11040.250221:785:000:00
APRILSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
04/01@L3-201100020.000021:552:000:00
04/02vsW6-210111040.250018:153:350:00
04/04vsW3-201110060.000026:686:270:10
04/06@L5-210100050.200024:332:920:27