headshot
Nathan
MacKinnon
College None
Team Colorado Avalanche
29C
6'0"Height
205Weight
23Age
0Exp
Nathan MacKinnon's Fantasy Scouting Report

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

His market rank based on start percentage among centers for week 25 is #1, which is better than his market rank of #6. When compared to other centers in week 25, Patrice Bergeron (9 FP), Connor McDavid (14 FP), Sidney Crosby (12 FP), Leon Draisaitl (12 FP), and Brayden Point (13 FP) are all projected for fewer points than MacKinnon but are starting in more leagues. Starting in 96% of leagues he is expected to produce 13.2 fantasy points (WK 25). It should be a very good week 25 as he is projected to be the #1 center. In addition to a solid projected FP average, he will benefit from playing 4 games.

He is projected for 13.93 fantasy points in week 25 (#1 C) in 4 games.


  • Based on 3/18 start percentages, Nathan MacKinnon is valued behind Bergeron and above Tavares but the projections rank these players in reverse order in week 25.
  • Nathan MacKinnon last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    There are 13 centers owned in 100% of leagues and Nathan MacKinnon is projected to be the #5 among them. Using actual fantasy production and current start percentage as the first and second tie-breaker, his market rank is #6. Based on projections, he is trending up slightly. He is projected for 35 fantasy points in 11 remaining games. He has a lower rank (#8) based on projected fantasy average. The market ranks Nathan MacKinnon behind Bergeron and above Tavares but the projections rank these players in reverse order.

    His ranking is based more in his scoring points than it is in +/- and PIM.

    MacKinnon is not in the 3/18 DFS player pool, but one player who is in the Sportsline FanDuel optimal lineup is Kevin Hayes, and Anze Kopitar is in the DraftKings optimal lineup.

    LAST DAILY FANTASY PERFORMANCE 3/15 VS ANA

    • 22 TOI, 1 G, 1 A, 7 SOG, 0 BS
    • FanDuel: $8400, 31.7 FPs (+$5757 value, +12.9 FPs)
    • DraftKings: $7600, 8.5 FPs (+$4404 value, +3.1 FPs)

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    Nathan MacKinnon was the #27 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #5 center. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (72). Based on average fantasy points he is the #6 center. His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 23 games he averaged 4.4 FPs and that declined to 2.2 in his final 24 games. He is young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, MacKinnon can be considered a consistent fantasy player. Our projected ceiling for MacKinnon when he 'goes off' is 11 fantasy points (his average is 3.5FPs).

    SportsLine has the best NHL picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NBA, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

    CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

    He has increased his FP average by 133 percent from two seasons ago.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 24 fantasy weeks, he was +20% above his weekly average of 10.4 FPs in 10 of them. He had 10 bad weeks where he was 20% below average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    He averaged 19.7 FD points and 5.4 DK points per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 1 and on FanDuel it was 3.2 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 9 and on FanDuel it was 33.3 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
    2018COL723754910-0960463593
    2017COL743958970-012120485672
    2016COL821637530-0240769752
    2015COL722131520-0760507540
    2014COL641424380-0320201227
    2013COL822439630-0850194258
    Career (6 Seasons)446151243394224135026193042
    YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
    2018COL31711.721:591759296.638.13300015
    2017COL28413.719:541760267.0022.65553115
    2016COL2516.419:562097227:52143:0916008
    2015COL2458.618:511696210:2041:4320009
    2014COL1927.317:021364155:453:10342012
    2013COL24110.017:201735191:315:41260013
    Career (6 Seasons)15309.919:11104111349:06224:301815172
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games in October1299181200105217.3264:5928710005
    Games in November1491423040105915.3309:043424002
    Games in December146121831010708.6308:273396003
    Games in January10391222000368.3216:132282001
    Games in February146410-12010659.2299:173566003
    Games in March84610000203511.4184:542072001
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Games Won3123396245706014815.5656:5473314007
    Games Lost41141529-2920001698.3926:00102616008
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Home Games361730477204016210.5789:0589210005
    Road Games362024449702015512.9793:49867200010
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Before All-Star Break5027447117703021712.41098:431196220011
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    Amalie Arena11010000052019:38200000
    American Airlines Center1000-200004023:53220000
    BB&T Center1011300003019:26220000
    Barclays Center1000000003019:30260000
    Bell Centre1000-100001024:08240000
    Bell MTS Place3033-2000014066:24720000
    Bridgestone Arena2415220101330.841:17460000
    Canadian Tire Centre1112-11000333.323:48210000
    Capital One Arena110110000616.723:29262001
    Enterprise Center1011-200006025:47260000
    Gila River Arena21231000042541:23460000
    Honda Center212311000911.149:54530000
    KeyBank Center12022000045019:20192001
    Little Caesars Arena111211010616.721:11230000
    Madison Square Garden110110000333.322:33272001
    Nationwide Arena1101-2000042520:46240000
    PNC Arena11232000052020:58242001
    PPG Paints Arena1000-100002021:52252001
    Pepsi Center361730477204016210.5789:0589210005
    Prudential Center1033200005021:42232001
    Rogers Arena1213-1100082523:56282001
    Rogers Place1022200004018:52210000
    SAP Center at San Jose1011000002023:24270000
    STAPLES Center11120100042518:12202001
    Scotiabank Arena1000200004021:15242001
    Scotiabank Saddledome2101-10000101048:55500000
    T-Mobile Arena1011-100007023:15260000
    TD Garden110110000616.722:44292001
    United Center1000000006022:02260000
    Wells Fargo Center1011200001019:51230000
    Xcel Energy Center1000000003024:24240000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    After All-Star Break22101020-1203010010484:115638004
    vs Anaheim Ducks3235-110001612.572:26800000
    vs Arizona Coyotes21231000042541:23460000
    vs Boston Bruins22132001082544:52522001
    vs Buffalo Sabres232540010742.941:43452001
    vs Carolina Hurricanes212300000128.342:52512001
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets2112-40000616.742:38500000
    vs Calgary Flames3202-100001315.471:20772001
    vs Chicago Blackhawks310100000214.868:40740000
    vs Dallas Stars3246100001711.866:14700000
    vs Detroit Red Wings222431020102045:46520000
    vs Edmonton Oilers2044300009042:33444002
    vs Florida Panthers2011300007041:22490000
    vs Los Angeles Kings323521000102054:57652001
    vs Minnesota Wild311210010128.365:35670000
    vs Montreal Canadiens2022100003045:02480000
    vs New Jersey Devils214540000119.143:44484002
    vs Nashville Predators4426-220101921.186:51950000
    vs New York Islanders2011-200009041:53520000
    vs New York Rangers2224210001118.243:42472001
    vs Ottawa Senators22352100082547:36470000
    vs Philadelphia Flyers212330000812.543:46470000
    vs Pittsburgh Penguins21341000042542:47522001
    vs San Jose Sharks2022100007046:43550000
    vs St. Louis Blues3011-5000013069:01760000
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning210100000911.142:23440000
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs2000100006041:05482001
    vs Vancouver Canucks3314-210001816.769:10804002
    vs Washington Capitals210100000911.145:24512001
    vs Winnipeg Jets4134-21000195.388:38980000
    CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
    vs Vegas Golden Knights20220000011042:48490000
    vs Western Conference Tms40192847-4602018910.1886:1997612006
    vs Own Division2091120-730201018.9444:594800000
    vs Eastern Conference Tms3218264420304012814.1696:3578318009
    Outside Own Division52284371236040216131137:551279300015
    Overall7237549116906031711.71582:541759300015
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    10/04vsW4-110110080.125022:533:320:12
    10/06vsW5-211210070.143023:925:780:00
    10/09@L5-2101-20040.250020:773:670:12
    10/11@W6-120220040.500219:335:780:58
    10/13vsL3-210100030.333222:425:450:15
    10/16@L3-210110030.333222:553:420:90
    10/18@W5-303320050.000221:705:780:15
    10/20@W3-112320050.200220:974:380:12
    10/22@W4-101120010.000019:852:500:10
    10/24vsL1-000000040.000022:755:200:23
    10/26vsW6-312330050.200023:803:970:02
    10/27@L3-200000030.000024:407:700:00
    NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    11/01@L6-5000-30040.000023:301:370:15
    11/02@L7-6213-11080.250223:933:420:00
    11/07vsL4-1011-20040.000024:473:680:27
    11/09@L5-2000-20030.000023:356:280:00
    11/11@W4-102220040.000018:872:400:18
    11/14vsW6-311210020.500022:132:080:15
    11/16vsL3-2000-10030.000021:922:750:25
    11/18@W4-312311070.143025:721:620:32
    11/21@W7-311201040.250218:202:470:00
    11/23@W5-102220020.000019:535:220:00
    11/24vsW3-211210060.167022:384:000:00
    11/27@W3-220211070.286021:402:230:33
    11/28vsW6-313420020.500020:920:000:10
    11/30vsL3-2000-10030.000022:955:100:00
    DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    12/02@W2-011211060.167021:180:100:03
    12/04@L6-3000-10020.000221:872:900:00
    12/06@W5-201130030.000019:433:620:00
    12/08@L7-110100050.200019:632:570:00
    12/11vsL6-402210050.000423:686:030:13
    12/14@L4-3011-20060.000025:787:330:03
    12/15vsW6-413420070.143019:976:950:12
    12/17vsL4-1011-20060.000022:387:300:00
    12/19vsW2-102220020.000020:902:820:02
    12/21vsL2-100000080.000022:926:970:12
    12/22@L6-4101-10020.500021:853:670:00
    12/27@L2-1011-10070.000023:254:080:33
    12/29vsL3-210100070.143023:724:350:00
    12/31vsL3-210110040.250021:884:880:00
    JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    01/02vsL5-401110050.000023:324:720:02
    01/04vsW6-112311080.125021:1511:900:12
    01/08@L7-4022-10040.000022:335:901:03
    01/09@L5-310120060.167025:625:230:00
    01/12@L3-0000-10010.000024:135:970:08
    01/14@W6-300020040.000221:253:250:13
    01/16@L5-2112-11030.333023:804:220:00
    01/19vsW7-102210020.000014:872:900:00
    01/21vsL4-1000-20020.000021:105:580:00
    01/23vsL5-201100010.000018:652:630:28
    FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    02/02vsL5-1000-20040.000021:754:580:00
    02/05vsL6-3011-20020.000021:874:230:05
    02/07@L4-310110060.167223:483:220:13
    02/09@L4-300000030.000019:500:920:00
    02/10@L2-110110060.167222:733:920:45
    02/12vsL5-2000-10020.000019:832:780:00
    02/14@W4-101110070.000020:723:600:00
    02/16vsL3-0000-20040.000020:283:270:00
    02/18vsW3-001110040.000019:552:570:28
    02/20vsW7-110101050.200022:237:350:02
    02/22@W5-300000060.000022:034:750:00
    02/23@W5-021311060.333019:885:620:00
    02/25vsL4-300000040.000021:932:320:00
    02/27vsW3-210110060.167223:483:850:07
    MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
    DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
    03/01@L4-301100020.000023:402:380:07
    03/03@L2-100000020.000024:184:930:20
    03/05vsW4-311220040.250024:583:950:00
    03/07@L4-0000-20040.000023:882:650:05
    03/09vsW3-012320030.333022:383:630:08
    03/11vsL3-0000-20070.000021:903:900:00
    03/15vsL5-3112-20070.143022:532:480:02
    03/17vsW3-011220060.167222:034:300:03