DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Projected for 14.5 FanDuel pts Evgeni Malkin is the #5 ranked center. He is the #1 highest priced center ($8400). Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Malkin is worth $7.3K. These are 4 better options at lower salaries: Ryan O'Reilly (15.3 FP), Sidney Crosby (15.8 FP), Steven Stamkos (15.8 FP), and Brayden Point (14.7 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 16.6 FPs, a value reached in 24 of 71 games (34%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 43%.

• 4/16 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: PIT 3 (#4 Most Today) vs NYI 2.5 (#8 Most)
• PROJECTION (POS RANK): 14.49 Fantasy Points (#5), 0.97 points (#5), 0.34 goals (#10), 0.63 assists (#2), 2.79 shots on goal (#3), 1.2 PIM (#1 most), 0.42 blocked shots (#26)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 3.9 DraftKings pts Malkin is the #7 ranked center. At $6500 he is expected to be the #5 center. Based on 4/16 salaries and projected points per dollar, Malkin is worth $6.3K. Instead of Malkin consider these better options at lower salaries: Logan Couture (3.9 FP) and Tomas Hertl (3.9 FP). Based on salary, he is expected to have 4 FPs, a value reached in 36 of 71 games (51%). The combined 'cover percentage' for center priced at $4.0K and above is 44%.

Malkin is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Evgeni Malkin had a decent season as a solid fantasy starter. He is the #109 ranked fantasy skater this season and the #26 center. His value would have been slightly higher if he had played more games. Based on average fantasy points he is the #19 center. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 3.6 FPs in his first 22 games and 2.8 FP in his final 23 games. A fast start and slow end is somewhat expected given his age. His standard deviation divided by his average is 1.28 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Malkin when he 'goes off' is 12 fantasy points (his average is 2.6FPs).

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

Malkin is getting older which might explain his drop-off in production. His average fantasy points decreased by 30% this season.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 7.4 fantasy points per week and had 10 weeks where he came up short (below 80% of average) and had 9 weeks where he was +20% above average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 14.5 points and on DraftKings it was 3.9 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 1.6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 6.5 and 24.5 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.