DAILY FANTASY VALUE

McDavid is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 21.3 FD pts (#2 among centers). At $9200 he is expected to be the #1 center. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $10.5K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Nathan MacKinnon (21.4 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 18.5 FPs, a value reached in 41 of 76 games (54%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

• 4/4 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: EDM 3.1 (#10 Most Today) vs SJ 3.4 (#5 Most)
• PROJECTION (POS RANK): 21.45 Fantasy Points (#2), 1.63 points (#1), 0.61 goals (#2), 1.02 assists (#1), 2.94 shots on goal (#11), 0.3 PIM (#50 most), 0.53 blocked shots (#50)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 5.6 DraftKings pts McDavid is the #2 ranked center. At $7700 he is expected to be the #1 center. Based on the projection, McDavid is worth $8.7K. Nathan MacKinnon (5.8 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 5 FPs, a value reached in 42 of 76 games (55%). The combined 'cover percentage' for center priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

McDavid is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Connor McDavid is the number one fantasy center and the #20 ranked player overall. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 25 games he averaged 4.1 fantasy points which was higher than his start (3.6 FP) and his ending average (3.6 FP). He is young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. Our projected ceiling for McDavid when he 'goes off' is 14 fantasy points (his average is 3.8FPs).

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UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

As a young player he has improved year-to-year. His three season trend show an increase of 15% in fantasy points per game.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 10.7 fantasy points per week and had 11 weeks where he exceeded that by 20% and 10 'bad' weeks where he came up 20% short of his average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 19.2 points and on DraftKings it was 5.1 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 1.6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 9 and 35.2 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.