headshot
Connor
McDavid
College None
Team Edmonton Oilers
97C
6'1"Height
193Weight
22Age
0Exp
Connor McDavid's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

McDavid is overrated on FanDuel with a projected 21.3 FD pts (#2 among centers). At $9200 he is expected to be the #1 center. At his projected points, he is worth a salary of $10.5K (expected pts per $ is calculated daily based on the average of healthy starters). Nathan MacKinnon (21.4 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 18.5 FPs, a value reached in 41 of 76 games (54%). The combined 'cover percentage' for centers priced at $4.0K and above is 42%.

  • 4/4 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: EDM 3.1 (#10 Most Today) vs SJ 3.4 (#5 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 21.45 Fantasy Points (#2), 1.63 points (#1), 0.61 goals (#2), 1.02 assists (#1), 2.94 shots on goal (#11), 0.3 PIM (#50 most), 0.53 blocked shots (#50)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: Projected for 5.6 DraftKings pts McDavid is the #2 ranked center. At $7700 he is expected to be the #1 center. Based on the projection, McDavid is worth $8.7K. Nathan MacKinnon (5.8 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 5 FPs, a value reached in 42 of 76 games (55%). The combined 'cover percentage' for center priced at $4.0K and above is 41%.

McDavid is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Connor McDavid is the number one fantasy center and the #20 ranked player overall. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 25 games he averaged 4.1 fantasy points which was higher than his start (3.6 FP) and his ending average (3.6 FP). He is young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. Our projected ceiling for McDavid when he 'goes off' is 14 fantasy points (his average is 3.8FPs).

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UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

As a young player he has improved year-to-year. His three season trend show an increase of 15% in fantasy points per game.

WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

He has averaged 10.7 fantasy points per week and had 11 weeks where he exceeded that by 20% and 10 'bad' weeks where he came up 20% short of his average.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 19.2 points and on DraftKings it was 5.1 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was 0.5 and on FanDuel it was 1.6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 9 and 35.2 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGPGAPTS+/-PPGWGTFWFL
2018EDM7841751160-0990428490
2017EDM8241671080-0570376533
2016EDM8230701000-0360348458
2015EDM451632480-0350249355
Career (4 Seasons)287128244372492027014011836
YEARTEAMSS%TOISHIFTSPPTOISHTOIPIMMJRMSCMNR
2018EDM24017.122:501998266.8848.80200010
2017EDM27415.021:331940243.2289.2726018
2016EDM25112.021:071998248:5365:49260013
2015EDM10515.218:521030133:2235:0918009
Career (4 Seasons)87014.721:216966892:21239:02900140
2018-19 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games in October119918340204122259:322670000
Games in November1441216-12000449.1305:093428004
Games in December1381624300304219299:133346003
Games in January118715-410203324.2254:262892001
Games in February1141014-410103312.1259:142992001
Games in March14720271011103619.4325:383782001
Games in April4112-40000119.178:06890000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Games Won3427406738519011523.5759:078406003
Games Lost44143549-35400012511.21022:11115814007
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Home Games392141626204012616.7891:289828004
Road Games39203454-3715011417.5889:50101612006
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Before All-Star Break492944731707016018.11118:20123216008
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
Amalie Arena1000-200005018:22232001
BB&T Center1011-100002024:54260000
Barclays Center1011-100005025:52230000
Bell Centre11010100025024:05320000
Bell MTS Place22461200045045:04564002
Bridgestone Arena11120000042521:10220000
Canadian Tire Centre110110000616.724:49260000
Capital One Arena11010100025022:54250000
Enterprise Center2011-100005050:51560000
Gila River Arena242650120666.749:01580000
Honda Center211200010812.545:19550000
KeyBank Center1022100001021:32300000
Little Caesars Arena1022100002018:12200000
Madison Square Garden11120101025024:35240000
Nationwide Arena1033400001021:14250000
PNC Arena1000-100004025:07300000
PPG Paints Arena1011-200004025:06270000
Pepsi Center2112-20000714.342:48470000
Rogers Arena21120100042550:33592001
Rogers Place392141626204012616.7891:289828004
SAP Center at San Jose2134-1000052045:21540000
STAPLES Center2011-300008047:38512001
Scandinavium1022000002023:34250000
Scotiabank Arena1011-200001021:52280000
Scotiabank Saddledome2101-11000616.731:09392001
T-Mobile Arena2123-3000042545:34530000
TD Garden11010000042523:55220000
United Center11011001042522:51220000
Wells Fargo Center11122000052023:25310000
Xcel Energy Center1022100001023:03270000
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
After All-Star Break29123143221208015662:587664002
vs Anaheim Ducks3112-30010101067:27810000
vs Arizona Coyotes352750120771.473:24830000
vs Boston Bruins212310000616.748:53470000
vs Buffalo Sabres21341000042538:35530000
vs Carolina Hurricanes2022-400006044:26560000
vs Columbus Blue Jackets21455000025043:47490000
vs Calgary Flames4202-110101414.375:52852001
vs Chicago Blackhawks313410010714.363:00650000
vs Colorado Avalanche3112-30000911.163:16650000
vs Dallas Stars211230000911.148:27570000
vs Detroit Red Wings2033000005044:23470000
vs Florida Panthers22241000054052:28570000
vs Los Angeles Kings4156-10000147.192:231022001
vs Minnesota Wild325770010922.266:22750000
vs Montreal Canadiens21342100052044:32560000
vs New Jersey Devils2044-100005050:14520000
vs Nashville Predators2112-20000616.745:30430000
vs New York Islanders2123-10010911.149:23442001
vs New York Rangers222412010728.650:14510000
vs Ottawa Senators220200000102048:43550000
vs Philadelphia Flyers232540010742.942:41530000
vs Pittsburgh Penguins2123-31000128.353:32570000
vs San Jose Sharks5358-100001323.1111:091350000
vs St. Louis Blues3011-200006074:33810000
vs Tampa Bay Lightning2033-5000010041:49492001
vs Toronto Maple Leafs2033000005046:22540000
vs Vancouver Canucks415601000812.5100:121116003
vs Washington Capitals220201000728.644:09500000
vs Winnipeg Jets32682200054067:13864002
CATEGORYGPGAPTS+/-PPSHGWGTSS%TOISHIFTSPIMMJRMSCMNR
vs Vegas Golden Knights4325-300001816.788:19992001
vs Western Conference Tms462438622416013517.81037:07116816008
vs Own Division27162036-421408419608:4669612006
vs Eastern Conference Tms321737541503010516.2744:118304002
All-Star Games1011-30000206:3260000
Outside Own Division5125558077050156161172:3213028004
Overall7841751163919024017.11781:181998200010
2018 Game Log
OCTOBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
10/06@L5-202200020.000023:574:280:00
10/11@L4-110100040.250023:922:571:00
10/13@W2-111201020.500024:585:930:57
10/16@W5-422422030.667022:201:770:32
10/18vsW3-202210020.000024:972:481:17
10/20vsL3-0000-20020.000024:336:170:05
10/23vsL6-5112-11080.125028:435:302:42
10/25vsW4-110100050.200021:255:130:17
10/27@W5-311200040.250021:178:520:47
10/28@W2-110110040.250022:852:380:85
10/30vsL4-310120050.200022:277:120:73
NOVEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
11/01vsW4-001110030.000018:574:400:08
11/03@W4-302210020.000018:201:300:15
11/05@L4-210101020.500022:904:400:00
11/06@L5-2000-20050.000218:374:280:17
11/08@L4-1011-10020.000024:903:600:15
11/11vsL4-1000-10020.000020:473:800:00
11/13vsW6-203320030.000020:453:850:17
11/17@L4-2101-11020.500221:481:600:45
11/18vsL6-310100060.167219:332:030:00
11/20@W4-312320030.333023:950:180:00
11/23@L2-1011-10020.000023:423:420:33
11/25@L5-2011-20040.000224:453:400:50
11/27vsW1-000010040.000024:083:200:00
11/29vsW3-201100040.000024:582:820:00
DECEMBERSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
12/01vsW2-110100080.125023:424:320:37
12/05@W3-201100040.000028:028:670:75
12/07vsW7-213440030.333021:051:070:00
12/09vsW1-010110050.200021:727:030:00
12/11@W6-411200050.200022:284:030:00
12/13@L5-4022-10010.000422:872:030:00
12/14vsW4-121320021.000019:272:721:33
12/16@L4-201100010.000023:631:180:17
12/18vsL4-1000-10010.000023:707:220:00
12/22vsL6-3033-30050.000023:452:930:27
12/27vsL4-2022-10010.000227:772:750:00
12/29vsL7-420210050.400019:901:250:18
12/31vsL4-302210010.000022:150:630:85
JANUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
01/02@W3-121320030.667023:534:030:00
01/05@L4-0000-10040.000023:184:930:00
01/06@W4-010110060.167021:901:220:00
01/08@L7-2011-30020.000021:403:771:17
01/10vsW4-321320030.667027:572:370:25
01/12vsL3-210100011.000024:382:000:00
01/14vsW7-211200030.333017:050:400:60
01/16@W3-210101030.333226:924:530:27
01/19vsL5-2000-10030.000023:007:630:45
01/20vsL7-4022-30020.000019:323:780:00
01/22vsL3-2011-10030.000026:184:231:20
FEBRUARYSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
02/02@L5-411220050.200023:424:431:30
02/03@L4-310101020.500024:085:531:53
02/05vsL6-2022-10000.000021:584:630:63
02/07@W4-102210010.000023:053:281:08
02/09vsL5-2011-10010.000020:820:901:52
02/13@L3-1011-20040.000025:102:700:48
02/15@L3-1000-10040.000025:124:881:27
02/16@L5-2011-10050.000025:876:500:00
02/21vsW4-311200040.250223:525:730:00
02/27@L6-2011-20010.000021:872:621:92
02/28@W4-210110060.167024:823:820:67
MARCHSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
03/02@W4-003340010.000021:231:320:17
03/04@W4-302210010.000021:531:232:07
03/07vsW3-202210030.000221:883:220:47
03/09vsL3-202220040.000024:505:821:15
03/11vsW3-211211050.200025:653:730:87
03/13vsL6-3022-10030.000026:676:750:93
03/16@W3-221330130.667025:484:781:83
03/17@L6-3022-10010.000022:731:631:25
03/19@L7-2000-10010.000022:831:523:33
03/21vsW4-111210011.000022:551:430:00
03/23vsL4-3101-10040.250023:901:630:95
03/26vsW8-413420020.500020:170:481:23
03/28vsL3-211220050.200024:371:401:22
03/30vsL5-1000-30020.000022:131:580:55
APRILSCORINGPENALTIESTIME ON ICE
DATETEAMOPPRESULTGAPTS+/-PPGSHGSOGSPCTPIMTOIPPSH
04/01@L3-1101-20030.333022:832:201:38
04/02@L6-2000-20020.000020:521:201:67
04/04vsL3-201100020.000025:083:251:27
04/06@W3-100000040.00009:670:000:48