headshot
Matt
Murray
College None
Team Pittsburgh Penguins
30G
6'4"Height
178Weight
24Age
0Exp
Matt Murray's Fantasy Scouting Report

DAILY FANTASY VALUE

Matt Murray is underrated on FanDuel with a projected 20 FD pts (#2 among goalies). At $8600 he is expected to be the #6 goalie. Using our calculation of expected points per dollar, Murray is worth $9.8K. Frederik Andersen (22.8 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Tuukka Rask (15.7 FP), Sergei Bobrovsky (13.3 FP), Carey Price (15.1 FP), Ben Bishop (17.3 FP), and Braden Holtby (19.5 FP) are all projected for fewer points than Murray but have higher salaries. Based on salary, he is expected to have 17.4 FPs, a value reached in 23 of 62 games (37%). The combined 'cover percentage' for goalies priced at $4.0K and above is 36%.

  • 3/19 VEGAS LINE EXPECTATION: PIT 3.1 (#7 Most Today) @ CAR 3.4 (#2 Most)
  • PROJECTION (POS RANK): 19.96 Fantasy Points (#2), 0.56 wins (#3), 0.4 losses (#18 most), 30.69 saves (#1), 2.93 goals allowed (#7 most), 91.3 save percentage (#4)

DRAFTKINGS VALUE: There are 2 other options at $8100 (Pheonix Copley, Carter Hart) and Murray is the best option of these 3. Frederik Andersen (5.7 FP) is projected for more points at a lower salary. Based on salary, he is expected to have 4.4 FPs, a value reached in 23 of 62 games (37%). The combined 'cover percentage' for goalie priced at $4.0K and above is 36%.

Murray is NOT in the SportsLine DraftKings optimal lineup or the FanDuel optimal lineup which are based on the computer model's projection. SportsLine.com also offers premium optimal lineups from Mike McClure, a professional DFS player who has over $1 million in career winnings. He uses his own proprietary model to find great DFS values and often differs from the computer in how a player is projected to play on a daily basis.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

If you are in a league that allows for substitutions during the week Matt Murray is a good value the rest of the week. He has a market rank of #9 while his projection rank (rest of week 25) is #1. When compared to other goalies in week 26 these are 5 better options at lower start percentages: Tuukka Rask (14.9 FP), Petr Mrazek (13.6 FP), Cory Schneider (12.1 FP), Marc-Andre Fleury (16.4 FP), and Ben Bishop (13.9 FP). He is projected for more points than 2 other goalies starting in more leagues: Braden Holtby (10.2 FP) and Andrei Vasilevskiy (6.9 FP). Starting in 72% of leagues he is expected to produce 14.1 fantasy points (WK 26). At his start percentage, he is expected to be the #7 goalie of the week, but he is projected to be the #17 goalie. In terms of total fantasy points he projected to come up 2.3 short of expectations. Even though his per game projected FP average is not better than normal, he will benefit from playing 2 games.

He is projected for 11.84 fantasy points in week 26 (#17 G) in 2 games.


  • Based on 3/19 start percentages, Matt Murray is valued behind Andersen and above Price and the projections agree for this week.
  • Matt Murray last five game log with fantasy points (CBS, FD, DK) and statline.

    Make sure to visit Sportsline for DFS and betting advice. We have picks on every game and line.

    REST OF SEASON VALUE

    Ranking by ownership percentage (86%), Matt Murray is expected to be the #9 goalie for the rest of the season. Our projections indicate that Matt Murray is slightly underrated by the market. His fantasy goalie projection rank is #7. He is projected for 44 fantasy points in 7 remaining games. Based on average FPs, he is even better with the #2 highest average. The market ranks Matt Murray behind Rinne and above Price but the projections rank Matt Murray over Rinne.

    SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

    Matt Murray had a decent season as a solid fantasy starter. He was the number #15 ranked goalie. He would have been in that next tier of goalies if he had played more games. Based on average fantasy points he was the #8 goalie. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 14 games he averaged 8 fantasy points which was higher than his start (4.6 FP) and his ending average (6.4 FP). He is still relatively young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, Murray is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. Our projected ceiling for Murray when he 'goes off' is 16 fantasy points (his average is 6.4FPs).

    SportsLine has the best NHL picks and Daily Fantasy Lineups. In the off-season check out our coverage of all major leagues (NFL, MLB, NBA, Horses, NASCAR, and Golf).

    STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

    He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His fantasy average improved by 19%.

    WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

    Out of 19 fantasy weeks, he was +20% above his weekly average of 13.8 FPs in 7 of them. He had 7 bad weeks where he was 20% below average.

    DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

    His FanDuel average was 21.8 points and on DraftKings it was 5.5 per game. We looked at all of his games that were between the 10th and 90th percentile where the 10th percentile is his floor and the 90th is his ceiling. On DraftKings his floor was -0.2 and on FanDuel it was -0.8 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On Draftkings it was 10 and on FanDuel it was 40 FPs. He has had more good FanDuel games (exceed average by 20%) than bad games (20% below average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

    Career Stats
    YEARTEAMGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    2018PIT41241204233111042.8304
    2017PIT49271603273313312.9212
    2016PIT49321014276611142.4120
    2015PIT1392017492512.0000
    Career (4 Seasons)15292401128578379102.6536
    2018-19 Situational Stats
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Games in October642003352113.7602
    Games in November503012391804.5200
    Games in December55000304711.3800
    Games in January862004812112.6202
    Games in February843014602202.8700
    Games in March952025132112.4600
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Games Won242400014544541.8604
    Games Lost17012048786504.4400
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Home Games211190111606423.3100
    Road Games201330311724622.3504
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Before All-Star Break241570113586732.9604
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    Barclays Center1000165201.8500
    Bell Centre1100060101.0000
    Canadian Tire Centre1000020309.0000
    Capital One Arena1100060101.0000
    Enterprise Center1100060101.0000
    Gila River Arena1100064201.8802
    Honda Center1100060404.0000
    KeyBank Center1000164403.7500
    Lincoln Financial Field1000162403.8700
    Madison Square Garden1100060202.0000
    Nationwide Arena21100119502.5200
    PNC Arena110006001.0000
    PPG Paints Arena211190111606423.3100
    Prudential Center1100060303.0000
    Rogers Place1100062504.8400
    SAP Center at San Jose1010057404.2100
    Scotiabank Arena21100119311.5102
    Scotiabank Saddledome1100060101.0000
    Wells Fargo Center1100060101.0000
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    After All-Star Break1795039734312.6500
    vs Anaheim Ducks1100060404.0000
    vs Arizona Coyotes1100064201.8802
    vs Boston Bruins1100060202.0000
    vs Buffalo Sabres1000164403.7500
    vs Carolina Hurricanes21100119311.5100
    vs Columbus Blue Jackets32100179511.6800
    vs Calgary Flames21100100603.6000
    vs Detroit Red Wings1100060202.0000
    vs Edmonton Oilers22000122602.9500
    vs Florida Panthers22000122301.4800
    vs Los Angeles Kings1100064302.8100
    vs Montreal Canadiens21100119603.0300
    vs New Jersey Devils312001601304.8800
    vs New York Islanders2010197603.7100
    vs New York Rangers1100060202.0000
    vs Ottawa Senators1000020309.0000
    vs Philadelphia Flyers31002187702.2500
    vs San Jose Sharks1010057404.2100
    vs St. Louis Blues2110083503.6100
    vs Tampa Bay Lightning21100117603.0800
    vs Toronto Maple Leafs31200175812.7402
    vs Washington Capitals330001811003.3100
    vs Winnipeg Jets110006001.0000
    CATEGORYGPWLTOTMINSGASOGAAAPIM
    vs Western Conference Tms1183006103012.9502
    vs Own Division1795039834622.8100
    vs Eastern Conference Tms301690417218032.7902
    Outside Own Division241570113486422.8504
    Overall41241204233111042.8304
    2018 Game Log
    OCTOBERSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    10/04vsW7-661100630360.83300
    10/06vsL5-159010524290.82800
    10/18@W3-060100038381.00012
    10/23@W6-562100541460.89100
    10/25@W9-160100138390.97400
    10/30vsL6-3320104590.55600
    NOVEMBERSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    11/01@L3-265000224260.92300
    11/03vsL5-057010526310.83900
    11/05vsL5-140010423270.85200
    11/15vsL4-357010422260.84600
    11/17@L6-42000037100.70000
    DECEMBERSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    12/15vsW4-364100338410.92700
    12/19@W2-160100131320.96900
    12/22@W3-060100039391.00010
    12/27vsW5-260100227290.93100
    12/29@W6-160100130310.96800
    JANUARYSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    01/02@W7-260100228300.93300
    01/04vsW4-060100033331.00010
    01/08vsW5-160100136370.97300
    01/11@W7-460100421250.84000
    01/15@L5-257010424280.85700
    01/18@W3-264100231330.93902
    01/28vsL6-360010626320.81300
    01/30vsW4-260100233350.94300
    FEBRUARYSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    02/02@L3-259010330330.90900
    02/05vsL4-059010328310.90300
    02/11@W4-160100150510.98000
    02/13vsW3-160100138390.97400
    02/16vsL5-440010519240.79200
    02/19@W4-360100333360.91700
    02/23@L4-362001433370.89200
    02/26@W5-260100221230.91300
    MARCHSTATISTICS
    DATETEAMOPPONENTRESULTMINSWLOTLGASVSASV%SOPIM
    03/01@L4-364001426300.86700
    03/02@W5-160100136370.97300
    03/05vsW3-263100232340.94100
    03/07vsW3-060100025251.00010
    03/09@L4-159010329320.90600
    03/10vsW4-260100239410.95100
    03/12vsW5-360100338410.92700
    03/16vsL5-12301049130.69200
    03/17vsL2-165001236380.94700